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The Titans are going to be a very popular offense that could explode for fantasy option this summer. After the Pats set the blueprint, the Titans merely need a facsimile of that to be successful. Enter Cam Ward and the traditional sophomore leap along with the acquisition of some weapons and an improved o-line. I’m just not sure I see it. The Pats got “lucky” and had a bunch of markers go their way, the Titans had the fourth-worst point differential in franchise history and didn’t make any major moves to fix the trenches. A 22nd ranked o-line isn’t inspiring anyone and while 4th overall pick Carnell Tate should dramatically improve the passing game, what is the foundation that this offense will rely on after finishing 32nd in FPPG at QB, 30th at RB and 27th at WR. They were 30th in PPG at 16.7 and while yes, teams have made multiple leaps in one off season, I think this team is still in the infancy stages of their rebuild. I might even consider the entire team a stayaway, although it remains impossible to quit on Tyjae Spears. If you believe in Cam Ward, then it makes sense to believe in the Titans, but I’m not feeling it. The markers are there though if you want to disagree. You always want to look at how a player finished the season and Ward did it in spades. His ADP of QB25 gives him plenty of room to improve and he threw for multiple TDs in each of the last four games he played in fully. The lack of running is a death blow for me, along with a lack of weapons and a supporting protection unit. I keep digging trying to find a smoking gun or a reason to believe the second-year leap is coming, but the more I dig, the less I like.
Tony Pollard was the best fantasy player on TEN last season with a RB23 finish, but he didn’t really help teams and more was a stop-gap solution. Pollard was fine, not sensational, but reliably consistent with only two top-12 finishes and finishing outside the top-35 only twice. You can tread water with a RB like that and he’s great in a pinch when you lose inevitably get the injury bug, but did he win anyone a fantasy title? Pollard is supposed to be a dual-threat back, but he’s gone three seasons without a receiving TD and the Titans were 17th at targeting RBs. His ADP at RB32 is fine and he might beat that, but he won’t destroy it and I would much rather take a pick with more upside at that point in that draft.
The WR position in TEN has seemingly been cursed since AJ Brown was traded. The Calvin Ridley renaissance was short-lived as no WR had more than 550 yards last season (Elic Ayomanor 515). The hope is that Tate locks up the WR1 spot and the hierarchy sets itself, but rookie WRs are never a sure thing as Marvin Harrison Jr. has sadly taught us. If you want to believe Tate is a budding superstar and him and Ward will feature the best young stack in fantasy, I can’t blame you, but at this point in the summer, I’m not on board.
Player most likely to beat ADP: WR Wan’Dale Robinson (ADP 105, WR45)
Robinson is a tough nut to crack because his trajectory wasn’t linear and all of sudden last season he expanded his route tree and increased his YPR from 7.5 to 11.0. You just don’t see that happening to WRs in their 4th season and as a result he had the same amount of targets, but finished as the WR16 instead of WR41. So if you believe the breakout was real, which I do since he did with multiple QBs, you get to draft him closer to his floor than his ceiling. I’m in.
Player most likely to fade based on ADP: Carnell Tate (ADP66 WR31)
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I have been crazy about fantasy sports even before I knew what it was. Some people use stats as a tool and some use the eye test. I like to believe I have the perfect blend of both and that extra special spider sense that separates me from the herd. I have been nominated for one FSWA Football Article of the Year award and am just getting started. My only fear is that I will become too good at fantasy football and have to retire early like Michael Jordan. You won’t see me leave my house without at least one of my (four) dogs and if you are lucky enough, you will catch me cruising top-down with all four in tow.
