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July 3, 2026, 2:13 pmLast Updated on July 3, 2026 2:13 pm by Jon Mosales | Published: July 3, 2026

Despite being a playoff team, things seemingly broke down in Philly. That proved true when AJ Brown was officially traded to New England after months of speculation. The Eagles were prepared for that moment, trading up in the first round to select receiver Makai Lemon out if USC with pick 20. The Eagles were one of the most disappointing teams in fantasy last season. They drove GMs crazy with their refusal to pass and as a result open up the offense to the myriad of weapons. The problem was the public and the Eagles coaching staff were coming at the issue from different sides. The Eagles started 4-0, so how bad was it really, but the issues became systemic and as a result, AJ Brown is gone and Saquon Barkley went from the most dominant RB in fantasy to the RB14, who formerly racked up fantasy points by sheer volume instead of explosiveness. Barkley’s fall from grace was near historic as the o-line fell from the best unit to one that is now middle of the pack. As a result, despite Barkley being the RB4 in snap %, his YPC fell from 5.8 to 4.1 and he went from 17 runs of 20+ yards to only four last season. The smart money faded Barkley last season, but what do we do now after the o-line should be better and the 47/53 run/pass split could be closer to 50-50. Barkley is going as the RB9, right in the middle of the second round, surrounded by younger RBs who might be more explosive. The stat that tells the entire story is Barkley had an insane 3.55 yards before contact per attempt, which easily led all running backs and last year, that number fell to 2.11. The usage should remain elite, although Tank Bigsby is a solid backup, at age 29, is there any more room for another peak or is Barkley chasing a ghost? I won’t be drafting Barkley and or any other Eagle if I can help it. They changed the OC, bringing in Sean Mannion, but I don’t see a philosophical shift. The defense should again be a top-five unit and the recipe is obvious. Run the ball, limit TOs and control the clock. Does that sound like a fantasy supernova?
After four straight seasons of 400+ points, the Eagles scored 379 and it felt like a 100 the way the media treated them. Despite everyone crushing them for not letting the offense cook, they threw the least amount of TOs in the NFL. Everyone likes to blame Jalen Hurts, but he finished as the QB9, compared to QB8 two seasons ago and actually threw seven more TDs than he did when they won the Super Bowl. The problem is that no one was complaining when Barkley was breaking off 40 yard runs every game and this offense was ugly and plodding to watch. The results were fine for real football, but for fantasy they were 14th-23rd in FPPG at QB/RB/WR/TE. No one was great with the exception of Dallas Goedert, who scored 11 TDs (more than in his last three seasons combined). AJ Brown went from the WR12 in FPPG to the WR11, so he actually had a similar season despite all the negative hoopla. DeVonta Smith was the WR17 in 2024 and the WR20 last season. So as dramatic as everyone was being, the offense actually wasn’t that much different outside of Barkley. The problem is and was when Barkley isn’t other-worldly, the voices of discontent start to get louder.
Regardless of whose fault it was, Brown is gone and now Smith gets to try his chops as a WR1. He’s going as a top-15 WR, which seems fair considering his best finish is the WR10 in 2022. With Brown gone, Smith should see a massive target spike, but he already had a TS% of 24.3, so how can he go for a team that only throws the ball 31 times per-game. Smith is a clear alpha and has been a WR2 in name only while next to Brown. He can clearly handle the usage, but if we are chasing ceilings, it’s hard to find one that high on a run-first team with a great defense. Smith only had four TDs last season, compared to eight two seasons ago, so that is one number that should positively regress. I like Smith, but I don’t see him having top-five potential in his current situation. I’m fine drafting him, but I won’t seek him out on draft day.
Player most likely to beat ADP: Dallas Goedert (ADP 117, TE13)
I’m breaking one of my rule here chasing an outlier season, but Goedert is only 31 and now has a great chance to see even more red zone targets with AJ Brown out. Goedert has 10 TDs on only 15 red zone targets last season.
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