-
May 25, 2026, 5:16 pmLast Updated on May 25, 2026 5:21 pm by Jon Mosales | Published: May 25, 2026

The poor Jets as they seem destined to perpetually kick the can down the line season after season. Last season started brilliantly and then it was all downhill. The thing with the Jets is when they self-destruct, they do so with reckless abandon. The Jets weren’t just bad, they were historically bad for them. They allowed the second-most points in franchise history and the second-worst point differential. For a team that’s been around for 65 years, that is quite the accomplishment. If you are going to spiral, you might as well do it at all the way and trading Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams to restock the draft shelves. They also got WR Adonai Mitchell, who is among my favorite players to break out this season. I will go into depth more with Mitchell, but he’s got all the tools to be a fantasy stud this season. They also drafted TE Kenyon Sadiq in the first round, who could follow in the foot steps Brock Bowers and Tyler Warren to be a fantasy stud right out of the gate. The problem is and seemingly always will be at QB, where smartly the Jets have their eyes on next season to “finally” get their franchise signal-caller. That’s not great news for this season as a trade for Geno Smith is a stop-gap at best and at worst, a stealth tactic to tank and have multiple shots at a top-pick for the next draft. The frame work is there for the Jets to be a sneaky fantasy option as they defense is going to struggle again and that’s always a good sign. Perennially “almost” superstar Breece Hall was locked up and Garrett Wilson remain two of the best talents in the league, but they also are famous for frustrating fantasy GMs who reach for them hoping this is the season they finally break out. The Jets could easily have a WR1, a RB1 and a TE1, but without a capable QB to get them the ball in stride, what’s the point? Smith went from throwing 4315 yards two seasons ago, to 3025 last campaign and it was clear he had run out of magic. He’s only 35, so he could still squeeze a little juice out, but I remain skeptical and view the entire Jets team as a stayaway at this current juncture.
Player most likely to beat ADP: Kenyon Sadiq (ADP 158, TE20)
We’ve seen a rookie TE blow the roof off his ADP for three straight seasons, so why should that change now. Mason Taylor had a solid rookie season, but Sadiq is a different animal and there is just too much value to pass taking him late in your draft. People were down on Tyler Warren last season because the Colts had plenty of other weapons, but he proved too good to fail. There is a path were Sadiq posts a top-10 season and swings your draft because TE is the one receiving spot that isn’t as QB dependent. There is just too much of proven track record not to take him. Costs nothing and could win you everything.
Player most likely to fade based on ADP: Breece Hall (ADP 40, RB17)
Hall is fine. He’s got all the tools, but at some point you are who your stats say you are. Hall has been the RB18 in b2b seasons, so you are drafting him closer to his ceiling than his floor. He’s never had more than five rushing TDs in a season and he’s the perfect example of a fantasy GM falling in love with the talent and not the production. The Jets have a top-20 o-line, which again is fine, but the Jets figure to be playing from behind all season and aren’t likely to improve on their on 45/55 run/pass split.
Late-round Flier that could blow up: Adonai Mitchell (ADp 169, WR64)
This will be a common theme all summer. I will bang the Mitchell drum until it breaks. Wilson is the clear WR1 and it’s not clear if this team can support two elite WRs, especially with a potentially elite TE, but I don’t care. Mitchell is a natural route runner and while his efficiency wasn’t great, only bringing down 33 of 74 targets, it’s impossible to ignore the strides he made post-trade. The Jets might not be the ideal offense to invest it, but Mitchell won’t cost you more than a late-round pick and honestly, he’s easily got top-40 upside as a floor. Sometimes you just know, and Mitchell is going to be one of my favorite late-round sleepers period.
Want to get access to Nathan’s article? You’ll need to have a SportsEthos NFL FantasyPass membership. Click here to learn more and sign up!
Premium Access Required

