Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Football Preview for the 26-27

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  • By Jon Mosales

    Last Updated on June 23, 2026 11:09 am by Jon Mosales | Published: June 23, 2026

     

    I was big on the Falcons last season.  I thought Drake London was primed to join the elite of the elite and I thought Michael Penix Jr. was finally going to be an answer at QB and if I’m being generous, I could claim 1/2.  Penix was a bust despite three top-12 finishes.  The Week 3 shutout to CAR spoke volumes and should have triggered a bigger warning.  Either way, he got hurt again, missed the second half of the season and now will be battling with Tua Tagovailoa for QB1.  The QB situation remains murky at best, but two is better than one if you don’t have a real one.  This offense needs stability at the QB position and while I’m not optimistic either one could have a top-10 season, I do think they could be top-15 in FPPG at QB compared to 27th last season.  They were also 29th at WR which seems impossible with London and Darnell Mooney.  Mooney was terrible after a near-1000 yard season and London was the WR7 in FPPG and the WR19 overall.  It did look like London was on the right track as he was the WR1/2 in three of four weeks, but the knee injury essentially ended his season even though he played the last three games.  With two “quality” QBs potentially under center, the ground for London seems more stable and his ADP hasn’t budged.  It will likely cost you a first round pick to draft him and the only WR with a worse QB situation is MIN.  London only had a 21.4 TS%, compared to league-leader JSN at 36%.  London profiles as a true WR1 and I could see his TS getting a big bump and ending closer to 30 than 20.  There are no WR threats on this roster and London and JSN share many similar traits.  Kyle Pitts was the TE2, but in name only as he scored more TDs in Week 15 than he did the rest of the season.  Pitts is fine and probably led your team to the fantasy finals if you made playoffs, but he’s just not trustworthy.  Pitts is going as the TE7 and there just isn’t any reason to think he has more to give.  900 and five TDs seems to be his ceiling and while that’s fine production, you can get that further down in your draft.  Pitts was the TE2 by default as George Kittle, Tucker Kraft and Brock Bowers got hurt, Tyler Warren fell off without a QB and Colston Loveland took off late.  

    Player most likely to beat ADP: RB Bijan Robinson (ADP 1, RB1)

    This is clearly a bit, but Robinson only scored two rushing TDs in the first 10 games and still finished as the RB3.  Without Tyler Allgeier to vulture TDs, Robinson is due for some positive regression. 

    Player most likely to fade based on ADP: TE Kyle PItts (ADP 86, TE8)

    PItts was the TE2 and now going as the TE8, so it feels like there is value there.  Last season was the best of his career, so even his ceiling isn’t that exciting.  

    Late-round Flier that could blow up: None

     

    Writer’s Season Win Prediction: 8-9

    It’s almost criminal to go this far without mentioning Bijan Robinson, but he’s essentially his own nation-state for fantasy.  He would have been the WR27 in terms of receiving yards and if you drafted him, you had a 50-50 chance of winning your league as he was the RB4/Rb4/RB2 in the fantasy playoffs.  No one denies Bijan is true stud, a generational talent or possibly the best dual-threat RB in fantasy.  The only question is do you take him first overall? He’s been the RB2/Rb2 in b2b seasons, but had 2300 yards, nearly doubled his receiving yardage but also halved his rushing TDs (14 to 7).  Robinson had a pitiful 49.3% red zone rushing share and the new coaching staff hopefully pivots back to the superstar as Tyler Allgeier had eight rushing TDs.  While Brian Robinson will be a capable backup, Robinson should be good for double-digit rushing TDs this season.   He’s never missed a game in his three-year career and is just about the most exciting player in the NFL.  The Falcons had a solid 46/54 run/pass split, but they don’t need to be run-heavy like BAL or BUF with such a potent receiving back.  They were 5th in RB targets (23%), but only 24th in PPG.  That’s the rub with ATL.  Bijan and London are two of the best in the game, but they don’t have much help.  The o-line was fine, but slipped from being a top-10 unit two seasons ago.  When deciding between Bijan or Jahmyr Gibbs, everything matters and while Bijan is a slightly better talent, the o-line and offense overall is a massive edge to Gibbs.  You can’t go wrong either way, but I would go Gibbs over Bijan, especially when I factor in the schedule (Lions 1st, Falcons 20th).


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    June 23, 2026, 11:09 am