Jacksonville Jaguars Team Preview for the 26-27 Fantasy Football Season

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  • By Jon Mosales

    Last Updated on May 28, 2026 1:40 pm by Jon Mosales | Published: May 28, 2026

     

    While the New England Patriots are going to be the blueprint for any rebuilding team, they struck lightning in a bottle and might not have created a replicable foundation to stay on top.  The Jaguars are more of a step-by-step rebuild and they might finally be sustainable with an offense that could easily be top-five this season.  They finished 6th in scoring (27.7 PPG) and while they started underwhelming and weren’t singularly great at any skill position (6th at QB, 16th at RB, 9th at WR and 25th at TE in FPPG), they were a tale of two halves and peaked in the right one.  They ran the 4th most plays and clearly blossomed under offensive genius Liam Cohen.  This wasn’t just the best Jaguars offense in recent memory, it was the best in the history of the franchise,  They scored 474 points, they scored 57 more points than the second-best Jags team.  The most insane part of their season is that they got essentially nothing from Travis Hunter and Brian Thomas Jr., the two players everyone wanted for fantasy last season.  Fantasy can often be more art than science and while Travis Etienne had a monster bounce-back season, he’s no longer on the roster and the WR1 is up for grabs.  This might be the only offense that is primed to be a monster and no one knows who the elite fantasy options are.  Bhayshul Tuten gets the bump and while he wasn’t great as a rookie (RB51), he has a clear path to fantasy stardom if he can improve upon his 3.7 YPC from his rookie season.  The o-line is a perpetual problem with this team and it’s a not great situation to reach for Tuten who is going around the RB25.

    The real crux of this team centers around Trevor Lawrence, who finished as the QB4 and single-handily swung the fantasy playoffs like few players in fantasy history.  Lawrence finished as the QB1, QB2 and QB5 in the fantasy playoffs and if you went against him, there was a good chance your team lost.  The only pressing question is whether Lawrence can sustain his top-finish or was his breakout season more of a fluke.  I’m betting fluke, but betting against Cohen and his stable of WRs is a risky proposition.  The biggest outlier for Lawrence’s season is his nine rushing TDs and while he is semi-mobile, any breakthrough for fantasy is going to come his arm, not his legs.  The 29 passing TDs were a career-high and with Hunter likely to spend most of his time on defense, it essentially comes down to how you feel about a BTJ resurgence after his sophomore slump.  Which Jags teams is going to show up this season? The one that only scored more than 27 points once before the Week 8 bye or the one that scored more than 27 in seven of the last ten.  I’m willing to bet it’s the second-half offensive juggernaut Jags who show up because it often takes half a season for a team to adapt to a new coaching philosophy.  Even then Lawrence is going around the 10th QB and while there is value there, it’s never ideal to bank on a QB after his breakout season, but we saw with Baker Mayfield two seasons ago, lightning can strike twice.  The most pressing and only real question is what to do with the WRs?  Parker Washington finished as the WR27, while BTJ fell off a cliff as the WR42, but mid-season trade acquisition Jakobi Meyers finished as the WR32.  I’ll address this later in the article.

    Player most likely to beat ADP: WR Brian thomas jr (ADP 90, WR38)

    There is not a single expert in the entire world who foresaw the BTJ fall-off as he was the WR4 as a rookie and looked primed to dominate the position for seasons to come.  Now after his WR42 finish, we’ve firmly established his floor and ceiling and there might not be a bigger gap in fantasy.  As bad as the numbers were, the eye test was worse as his YAC went from 564 to 159.  He had 10 drops, only two TDs and only went over 80 receiving yards twice after going over that mark 10 times as a rookie.  There is just too much room for his crush his ADP based on where he is going now.

    Player most likely to fade based on ADP: RB Bhayshul Tuten (ADP 65, RB25)

    It feels like we are drafting Tuten at his ceiling as he hasn’t shown he can handle the workload of an RB1 or even produce at that level.  Without an improved o-line, there is nothing to suggest he is a capable of a top-20 finish when there are so many other explosive RBs around the same spot.

    Late-round Flier that could blow up: RB Chris Rodridguez (ADP 133, RB45)

    If we are fading Tuten, then it only makes sense to invest in the understudy.  Rodriguez has shown flashes on the Commanders and if Tuten stumbles, Rodriguez could work into a timeshare or even overtake Tuten altogether.  Rodriguez has six top-30 finishes last season, so he’s the natural sleeper choice.

     

    Writer’s Season Win Prediction: 11-6

    Wide receivers, wide receivers and more wide receivers.  If you factor in Travis Hunter, the Jags have four capable WRs, all who could separate from the herd and be fantasy stars this season.  The best part of having a glut of talent is no one knows how to price it properly.  BTJ, Washington and Meyers are going within a handful of picks of each other, so it’s almost like you can’t miss.  I would love to be able to tell you how to rank these three WRs, but I can’t.  Washington had the best overall season, BTJ has the best talent, but Meyers has the best pedigree.  Just off the top, I would rank them BTJ, Meyers, Washington, but let’s dive in a little more.  The thing is, the cream rises to the top and Washington was the clear WR1 but the end of the season.  He had four top-12 finishes in the last six weeks and had 29 targets over the last three games.  Washington has the highest TS% at 17.1, with BTJ at 16.6 and Meyers led the way with 19.8 after the trade.  It was clear that Lawrence grew frustrated with BTJ and his drops and pivoted to Washington and Meyers late in the season.  BTJ led in air yards with 1319 to Washington’s 1192, but it’s hard since Meyers spend half his season on Vegas.  Washington haddouble the red zone targets of BTJ (14-7), but it was Meyers who led everyone with 15 red zone targets in only nine games.  If you want to know who a QB trusts, look for where he throws the ball where it matters.  Digging even further, it’s the playoff games that reveal trust from both the QB and the coaching staff.  Washington has 12 targets compared to four for Meyers and two for BTJ.  While all the hype points to BTJ, everything else points to Washington and Meyers.   Now the copout move is to simply draft Lawrence and then it doesn’t matter who pops, but I like to thread the needle and I think I can figure out the best way to rank the three.  Now all three have a good chance at outperforming their ADP and if I’m being honest, it’s likely outside factors that will have the final say, as injury risk rules all in the NFL.

    Washington and Meyers clearly have the trust of Lawrence as BTJ did most of his damage with backup Mac Jones.  While it’s easy to blame last season on injuries and lack of focus and possibly just a failure of unrealistic expectations from a historical rookie season, for me it’s all about precedence.  Meyers has been around a while and has never finished as a top-20 WR.  You know you are going to get between the WR20 and WR30 with an outside chance at a top-20 season.  That’s fine and that sort of production will definitely help your team.  Washington is a little more volatile without the track record, but was his WR27 finish the start of something or the end? It might be reductive and it might blow up in my face, but I’m all about chasing ceilings with my WRs and I can’t get past the WR4 finish that BTJ had as a rookie.  Washington is solid and Meyers is occasionally great, but am I winning my league with either? That’s what I’m after because if you took BTJ late in your draft in his rookie season, that’s what happened.  You won your league and I’d rather bet on history repeating himself than a new precedent setting season by someone else.


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    May 28, 2026, 1:39 pm