April 28, 2023, 9:42 am
UPDATE: Pirates @ Nationals & Orioles @ Tigers have been postponed
A huge day of baseball on the board this Friday. Aces going all over the place in DeGrom, Castillo, Bieber, and Rich Hill, just to name a few. Last night, the Braves somehow blew a 4-0 lead by giving up 5 runs in the 9th inning to the Marlins. The Mets almost followed that up with what would have been an equally stunning (and hilarious) choke job by giving up a grand slam in the 8th inning, only to be saved by Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil in the bottom half of the 8th. Those 2 NL East rivals start what should be an entertaining 4-game series at Citi Field today. Elsewhere, the Dodgers hope to end their losing streak with reinforcements joining the squad in HR leader Max Muncy and makeshift closer Brusdar Graterol.
This is for the Friday 4/28 slate at 4:05 PST.
Thrive Fantasy Picks
Luis Castillo over 6.5 Ks
Ozzie Albies over 2.5 Total Bases
Jose Ramirez over 1.5 Hits + RBIs
Braves ML @ -145
This one is pretty straightforward. You have the Braves ace going against what should’ve been Justin Verlander or Max Scherzer. No disrespect to David Peterson, but he has almost as many earned runs as he has innings pitched. I expect the Braves to be out for blood after blowing that game last night.
Brewers ML/Rays ML @ +179
The Brewers go against Tyler Anderson who has seen a massive drop off compared to how he was performing for the Dodgers last year. Giolito has also been disappointing and the Rays look unstoppable while the White Sox don’t even have the decency to float around .500 like they usually do.
DFS Pillar Plays
I suggest playing one of the following $10,000+ aces: DeGrom, Castillo or Framber. All three should be rock-solid. As your secondary pitcher, Fried is the most reliable. He would be leading the majors among starters with his 0.60 ERA, if he qualified. He had a slight injury scare that caused him to miss a start earlier in the year, but going 107 pitches his last outing indicates there’s nothing to be worried about durability-wise. Last start he only gave up 3 hits in 6 ⅔ innings vs. the Houston Astros.
Rowdy is currently 5th in MLB with 8 home runs on the year. He’s top 20 in RBI and the Brewers are coming up against Tyler Anderson, who has given up 5+ runs in each of his last 3 starts. The matchup plus the relatively affordable price make him an intriguing play.
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Acuña leads the league in stolen bases with 13, which is 3 better than second place. The Braves have played 26 games, so that puts his average at a ridiculous .5 SB/game. He also leads the league in hits and is 3rd in all of MLB in batting average. He faces David Peterson, who would normally be 5th in this Mets rotation. Peterson has a 7.36 ERA and has given up 21 earned runs in 25.2 innings this season. He’s the top priced hitter on the board, but based on his performances this year, he’s likely to justify that pricing.
DFS Value Plays (<$3000 Salary)
The A’s have been in some high scoring contests and Langeliers has shown some good power this year. The Reds have Luis Cessa going who is carrying a 10.80 ERA. The Athletics catcher has 3 HR in his last 5 games and had one yesterday in that big 4th inning vs Ohtani.
I’m not sure why Paul DeJong continues to be listed at this price. If he’s playing, he’s a productive member of this Cardinals lineup. He was at $2,500 yesterday and got 21 points. He was listed at $2,200 the day before and he got 12 points. I could understand keeping him at that price if he were playing only half the game, but he got 4 at bats in each of the last 2 games.
The rookie outfielder is hitting .299 on the year and has slotted right into the middle of this Astros batting order. The Astros play the Phillies with Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola has not looked himself this year and has given up 9 runs in his last 3 starts. Julks will have plenty of opportunities with the talent ahead of him in the lineup.
Position Player Name Salary P Max Fried $7,700 P C Shea Langeliers $3,200 1B Rowdy Tellez $4,400 2B 3B SS Paul DeJong $2,200 OF Ronald Acuña Jr. $6,500 OF OF Corey Julks $2,600 REMAINING BUDGET $23,400 for 4 players. Avg Rem/Player $5,850