October 10, 2023, 3:47 am
We are down to two games a day now and on Tuesday, those two games belong to the American League. The Twins and Astros will be in the early game and Baltimore will be clinging on for dear life at Globe Life in the other ALDS matchup. The reduced slate means we only get four pitchers to choose from and we have to play two of them. You can go for cheap and hope you get a good performance out of Dean Kremer or Cristian Javier or you can go chalk for Sonny Gray and Nathan Eovaldi who are likely to see more innings. I think the latter is the way to go as the cheaper options might be pulled early due to the depth of options available for managers at this point in the postseason, especially with the extra day’s rest.
This is for the 10/10 1:07 PM PST classic slate on Draftkings.
Houston Astros ML (+110) @ Minnesota Twins
This mostly has to do with the attractive price for the defending champs to take the first game in Minnesota. Pablo Lopez was excellent against the Astros in game two and it required that effort and an otherworldly “how you like me now” game from Carlos Correa for the Twins to take a game in Houston. It’s more likely that Sonny Gray has an average performance than one as dominant as Lopez had. The Astros are not going to go down without a fight and I think this game being early hurts the home team.
DFS Pillar Plays
As I stated, you probably want to target the guys who are more likely to see increased game action at the pitcher spot. If you wanted to pair Eovaldi with Javier or Kremer, I think I’d prefer Javier due to Dusty Baker’s old-school management style and Javier’s decent performance to end the regular season. The Twins also are very strikeout-prone so that could help Javier’s point total. As for Eovaldi, in his lone postseason appearance this year, he was sensational against the Rays. Before that, he was struggling but Eovaldi was a crucial part of that Red Sox team that won in 2018 and he showed why experience in the postseason can be valuable. The Orioles, on the other hand, might have shown some of their lack of postseason experience in dropping two games at Camden Yards. Nasty Nate will need to show up as the Rangers’ ace and he should have a longer leash than most other starters would get due to his experience and the shaky bullpen behind him.
The rookie Evan Carter has gotten on base 11 times in four games this postseason. Six of those were walks and four of the five hits he’s had have gone for extra bases. The 21-year-old has not shown any nerves and he is one of the storylines of the postseason so far. The Rangers will face off against Dean Kremer to start, but should be getting a healthy dose of the Orioles’ bullpen.
Carlos Correa made it to third on the list for career postseason RBIs after leading the Twins to victory in game two. The Twins will head back to the land of lakes and they should be able to get to Cristian Javier. In the four wild card and ALDS games, Correa is hitting .533. This clearly means a lot to Correa and he is showing up in a big way. He is a bargain under $4,000 for the player with the most hits so far this postseason.
DFS Value Plays (<$3500 Salary)
Aaron Hicks has been at the middle of these games, both for positive and negative reasons. His bat has been pretty impactful in the first two games of this series. Hicks had a whopping five RBIs in game two with the first two coming in the first inning when things looked so bright in Baltimore. As one of the veteran guys in this locker room, he can provide a boost to the rest of the young guys and maybe help the Orioles stay alive in this series.
I think you’ll be in a decent position if you play one of the two Rangers catchers. Heim has made some incredible plays behind the plate, but he has also quietly registered a hit in all four postseason games the Rangers have played thus far. He has benefitted from the extra at-bats that come from being in this lineup and he can provide a steady few points, which is what you need at the catcher spot.
Position Player Name Salary P Nathan Eovaldi $8,800 P C Jonah Heim $3,300 1B 2B 3B SS Carlos Correa $3,900 OF Evan Carter $4,700 OF Aaron Hicks $3,100 OF REMAINING BUDGET $26,200 for 5 players. Avg Rem/Player $5,240