My Guys for the 2025 fantasy season – No Matter What

  • We have covered a lot of ground this summer and have broken down rankings, done best ball drafts, highlighted sleepers and busts and it can get a little overwhelming.  So, I want to shrink the narrative a bit and get back to what fantasy football is at its core.  Whether you have one fantasy team or a dozen, it’s always smart to diversify, but sometimes you got to follow your gut and go all-in on certain players.  That can be the difference between a successful fantasy season where you are in the money and one where you come up just short in every league.  No one can control the chaos that reigns every season, but if you can scrape a few edges together, it goes along way towards helping you navigate the ups and downs that occur week-to-week.  Last season, I was all-in on Nico Collins and got him in every league.  For the first five weeks I looked like a genius and was dominating all my leagues and then the wheels fell off.  The game is the game.  This isn’t an exact science, but there are trends you try and get ahead of.  James Cook was another player I loved as he had nearly 1500 all-purpose yards two seasons ago, but almost no TDs.  Everything broke his way last season and he tied for the league-lead in rushing TDs. So it’s all about potential value and untapped production.  We are looking for players who might be mispriced in the market and have a change to outperform their ADP or at least move up into another tier.  If we can ensure we get these players in our drafts, it provides a massive advantage over the rest of our league, but the most important part is we have to bold and right.

    Jaxon-Smith Njigba – 

    I have been riding JSN since he was a rookie and I see no reason to abandon ship now.  His ADP is higher than it’s ever been, but the risk of busting has also been taking out of the equation.  There is a lot of chatter about Cooper Kupp eating into his slot usage, but I don’t think Kupp has anything left to offer. JSN was the WR20 in FPPG and is going as the WR15.  When we break down the last season, JSN started slow, but finished on a tear and that is who I think he is going forward.  In Weeks 9-18, he was the WR8 in fantasy points per game, ranking 11th in target share (25.4%), tenth in receiving yards per game (82.4), and ninth in yards per route run and first downs per route run.  There are big changes in SEA as DK Metcalf and his 108 targets have been vacated.  So are Tyler Lockett and his 74 targets.  The SEA offense was pass-heavy last season, rankings 4th with a 37/63 rush/pass split, but that should even out with a more balanced attacked focused on running the ball.

    The floor is hardened steel and a 100 catch season should be easy-money, but what is the most likely outcome?  There are a lot of moving parts with Sam Darnold in town, but he had a nearly identical passing season to Geno Smith with the exception that Darnold had 14 more passing TDs.  Darnold might not be capable of winning a Super Bowl, but as long as he doesn’t turn into a pumpkin, he’s a value-add for JSN and gives him a chance to have a top-10 season.  The knock on him is that he was much better in the slot last season and doesn’t have game-breaking speed ala Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson, but speed is only part of the equation.  Volume is king over everything else and even with SEA going to a more balanced offense, I like JSN to lead the league in targets.  The sweet spot is where he is going in drafts, packaged around Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and Mike Evans.  This is a no-brainer for me.  If I did 100 drafts, I would take JSN 100 times out of 100 over those three.  He’s got youth, volume and opportunity on his side and if he can improve his 13 red zone targets (WR24) and explosive play potential (WR20 on 20+ yard receptions), I see him finishing as the WR10 and would take him after Drake London.


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