• Welcome back to another edition of Streamer Tidd-Bits. If you use months as a reference point for the MLB season, then the conclusion of this upcoming week will bring an end to the first third of the year. Wild! Scoring is still down across the league, and the collective ERA of the adds we will be reviewing this week may be our best yet. Despite that, between our Merit Based adds for the week of 5/6 – 5/12 and the Matchup Based ones for 5/13 – 5/19 we only went 1-3. Even though he didn’t earn a win in the three starts since we recommended him, Bryse Wilson came through with a 2.45 ERA and 1.36 WHIP across 14.7 IP. His teammate and fellow Merit Based suggestion, Tobias Myers, pitched well but not well enough to earn a win. His numbers compared favorably to Cody Bradford’s when we gave Bradford a win for his last start before he hit the IL, but unlike Bradford, Myers earned his win in a relief appearance when he was assuredly no longer rostered.

    The Dodgers must read Streamer Tidd-Bits because they pulled Landon Knack when he was one out away from qualifying for the win. I thought hard about bypassing my own criteria and giving him a win, but ultimately decided to stick to the rules I laid out at the start of the year. And with Ryan Feltner disappointment struck again. Good luck figuring out when he’s going to have a good start. The year-to-date record of both groups of recommendations stand at one game under .500, which I think is very respectful considering the level of talent we are able to choose from, but I think we can get both records on the good side of .500. Without further ado, here are the detailed stats of our last round of Matchup and Merit based recommendations, followed by those for the week of 5/27 – 6/2.

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    5/6 – 5/12 Merit Based Results:

     

    Tobias Myers: 1 GS (2 app), 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 4 BB, 8 Ks, 1.80 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 1 Win

    Grade: Loss

     

    Bryse Wilson: 3 GS, 14.7 IP, 11 H, 4 ER, 9 BB, 10 Ks, 2.45 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 0 Wins

    Grade: Win

     

    Year-to-date Merit Based stats: 24 GS, 127.7 IP, 133 H, 60 ER, 51 BB, 101 Ks, 4.23 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 6 Wins

    Year-to-date Merit Based record (W-L-N/A): 4-5-1

     

    5/13 – 5/19 Matchup Based Results:

     

    Ryan Feltner @ SF: 4.0 IP, 7 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 2 K, 11.25 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, Loss

    Grade: Loss

     

    Landon Knack vs CIN: 4.7 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 Ks, 1.93 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, No Decision

    Grade: Loss

     

    Year-to-date Matchup Based stats: 12 GS, 60.3 IP, 58 H, 25 ER, 23 BB, 47 Ks, 3.73 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 1 Win

    Year-to-date Matchup Based record (W-L-N/A): 5-6-1

     

    Note: Unless otherwise specified, all stats referenced in this article are through 5/22, and all players are rostered in 30% or fewer of NFBC Main Event leagues.

     

    Merit Based Adds

     

    Ryne Nelson ARI, 25% Rostered – Over the last two weeks (three starts) Ryne Nelson has struggled while pitching to a 6.75 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. However, in his most recent appearance as the “follower” he threw five scoreless innings against the Dodgers, earning the win. When we look under the hood, Nelson has been a victim of some bad luck over this period, as evident by an absurd BABIP against of .541 and a LOB% of 55.6%. He’s only walking 2.1% of batters over this stretch and his SIERA and xFIP are 3.60 and 3.35, respectively. Nelson always had some prospect pedigree, and if he continues to pitch like this his fortune should turn.

     

    Jose Quintana NYM, 16% Rostered – After being heavily rostered to start the season, Quintana was most likely mass dropped following his nightmare start against the Rays where he allowed eight earned runs over 2.7 innings pitched. Over his last three appearances he only has a 4.96 ERA, but his 0.98 WHIP is why we’re discussing him right now. As with Nelson, (and our Matchup Based recommendations too) Quintana has done an excellent job limiting baserunners via the walk, as his walk rate has been 3.1% during this time. His SIERA and xFIP are both around 4.00, and just the value he can bring to the backend of fantasy rosters as a solid, serviceable veteran starter shouldn’t be overlooked. If you have the roster space and are in a position where you wouldn’t have to start Quintana each week, I think taking a flier and hoping he figures things out is worth it.

     

    Matchup Based Adds

     

    Tyler Alexander TB, 7% Rostered vs OAK – Most of the pitchers facing our typical streaming targets are all widely rostered in the Main Event, so we really have to scrape the bottom of the free agency barrel this week. First up is Tyler Alexander of the Rays, who is someone I have already streamed for a two-start week in one of my 15-team leagues this year. Over the last two weeks he only has seven strikeouts in 14.3 innings pitched, but despite pitching to a 5.28 ERA he has a 0.78 WHIP. As I alluded to earlier, his low WHIP is supported by an excellent 3.7% walk rate during this time. Additionally, over the last two weeks the A’s have the second worst wRC+ against left-handed pitchers while striking out against them 30.2% of the time.

     

    Jose Urena TEX, 0% Rostered @ MIA – Our final recommendation of the week is Jose Urena, who gets a juicy matchup against the Marlins in Miami. Unlike the previous pitchers we’ve discussed, Urena actually has excellent numbers over the last two weeks (2.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP). The only downside is that he isn’t striking batters out, as his K/9 is below 4.5. His SIERA and xFIP are both around 4.00 during this time, but he’s been extremely lucky as he’s had a .195 BABIP against and 97.8% LOB%. This recommendation is solely for the matchup though. Urena pitches for the Rangers and has averaged just under six innings pitched per start over his last three starts. Assuming he can pitch that deep into the game and can limit the damage against him, I like his chances at earning a win.

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