July 21, 2023, 12:34 pm
Here’s some Pick ‘Em plays our team is looking at for today’s MLB slate!
Writer’s Record: 35-29-3 (+.75 Units)
Lance Lynn OVER 7.0 Pitcher Strikeouts
All season long the Twins have ranked in the bottom or near the bottom when it comes to striking out. They became the first team to 1000 strikeouts in their previous game and we are only a month removed from Lynn’s 16 strikeout gem against the Mariners. He’s continued his strong play of late, averaging 7.75 strikeouts over his last four since that game. Lynn ranks 7th in SwStr% and 24th in K% this year. He’s also top-10 in total strikeouts, which might be surprising to some given his rocky start to the season. Minnesota has struck out 86 times over the past seven games, good for 12.3 strikeouts per game. In Lynn’s other start against the Twins this year, he struck out 10 batters in six innings.
Kodai Senga OVER 6.0 Pitcher Strikeouts
Since June, Kodai Senga has really started to look comfortable with his spot in the rotation. In his two July starts, Senga struck out 21 batters and walked only three. Those came against the Dodgers and the Diamondbacks, two of the best teams in the NL. Crucially, for anyone playing his strikeout over, he has gone north of 100 pitches in four straight starts. Senga will be in Boston to take on his countryman, Masataka Yoshida, and the Red Sox.
Alex Wood UNDER 4.0 Strikeouts
The Nationals, as a team, do not strike out that much. They rank 2nd in fewest strikeouts over the season. Since Alex Wood’s return in May, he has made 11 starts and has gotten more than four strikeouts in only three of those starts. Outside of Logan Webb, the Giants’ rotation has been less than stellar. In six starts since June, Wood has averaged only 69 pitches per start.
Corey Seager OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Corey Seager welcomes his former team to Globe Life Field tonight. Tony Gonsolin, right-hander for the Dodgers, gets the start and Seager is hitting .356 against righties this season. Seager is also hitting an absurd .370 at home. In 16 July games, Seager has a hit in 13 of them. You can also look at Seager over 0.5 singles, but the matchup against a struggling Gonsolin does not scare me off total bases.
Corey Seager OVER 0.5 Total Hits
This is a great price for someone who has registered a hit in almost every July contest. As stated above, the matchup is extremely favorable against Gonsolin, who has given up four or more runs in four out of his last five starts. Seager loves to hit at home and he will be fired up to see some of his old teammates.
Bryce Harper UNDER 1.5 Total Hits + RBIs + Runs
If you haven’t seen Harper’s at-bat that is circulating where he totally eats six pitches without moving, seek it out. He was under the weather allegedly, but that is a poor excuse for the effort or non-effort shown by Harper. He actually has looked better in July than in previous months, but in the most recent series against Milwaukee, he failed to go over 1.5 hits runs or RBIs in either of the three games.