Early Week Streamers for June 16th – June 19th

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  • By Anthony Kates

    Last Updated on June 16, 2025 7:12 am by Anthony Kates | Published: June 16, 2025

    This year, we’ve decided to do two streaming articles a week for our premium subscribers. The podcast only provides one day of streamers at a time (a day ahead), whereas the streamer articles will provide three and four day streaming outlooks, giving you a leg up on those non-premium Sports Ethos members (and those in your league who don’t use Sports Ethos at all…even though they should).

    The articles will come out every Sunday and every Thursday. As I will be producing Sunday’s article, at the time it is published, it will have the most up-to-date information for Monday through Wednesday’s pitching schedules and streams. If there are any changes, the article will be updated to reflect that, so check back daily. On Monday night, I’ll update Wednesdays streamers, as I have more information and less TBD spots on the schedule. On Tuesday night, I will update and post any streams for Thursday, as there will be more information available for the few Thursday games we will have and there should be no TBD spots on the schedule for that day.

    You will notice that I have very few single digit percentage rostered players during the early part of the week and that’s because I do not want to assume a ton of risk early in the week. There is zero reason to be desperate before Friday, at the earliest, so there is zero reason to take on any kind of high risk stream. But, if you DO want to have risk on a daily basis with your streams, I will highlight the low-rostered and/or high risk streams that might have a modicum of upside, but I wouldn’t personally start, after I’ve discussed the streams I do recommend.

    **All stats for Monday and Tuesday streamers are through Friday’s games, Wednesday’s and Thursday’s are through Monday’s games.**

    Monday – June 16th – Probable Starters

    Mick Abel – PHI – @ MIA – 36%

    Abel has three starts in the big leagues, with his most recent start being the worst of the three. To be fair to him, it was against the Cubs, who terrorize pitchers where ever they play. Prior to that, he held the Jays and the Pirates to one earned run over 11.1 innings and had 11 strikeouts. His barrel and hard-hit rates are terrifying, at 11.4% and 54.5% respectively, but small sample with two above average offenses in his first three starts. He has been more of a fly ball than ground ball guy, which is scary with those statcast numbers in hand. The good news is he has allowed just 76.7% contact, which is slightly below league average for qualified pitchers, a 32% chase rate, and a 12% swinging strike rate, which would be top 25 if he qualified.

    The Marlins are a below average team at home against righties over the past month, withe their 94 wRC+ coming in as the seventh lowest. They have the 10th lowest wOBA, ninth lowest OPS and the sixth lowest strikeout rate. They’ve struggled to hit for power, with just a .130 ISO. They have the second highest ground ball rate, which is 14.2% higher than their fly ball rate, and the third lowest line drive rate. They do have the fourth highest hard hit rate, but they’ve only hit five home runs against RHP at home over the past month, even though they have the 20th most plate appearances in that time. They’ve scored just 32 runs, tied with Seattle for seventh fewest, and have hit into nine double plays, tied with the Dodgers for sixth most.

    A solid outing here would make Abel’s spot in the rotation a little more secure and facing a poor performing team like the Marlins might be just what he needs after allowing three home runs against the Cubs.

    High-risk: Mitch Spence vs Astros, Lucas Giolito @ Mariners, Kyle Freeland @ Nationals, Lance McCullers Jr. @ Athletics, Jose Soriano @ Yankees, Bobby Miller vs Padres, Jake Irvin vs Rockies

    Tuesday – June 17th – Probable Starters

    Shane Smith – CWS – vs STL – 34%

    I know, it’s a bit weird to see a White Sox started listed as a streamer, but the 2024 Rule 5 draftee has been nothing short of remarkable for the White Sox. He has been the team’s ace since his first start of the season and has been pretty great over his past five starts. In that time frame, he pitched 25 innings, allowed eight earned runs, three home runs and 12 walks, while striking out 26. While the command has been a little out of control, he’s been limiting home runs by forcing hitters to hit the ball on the ground 40.6% of the time, though they have been ripping it to the tune of a 53.6% hard-hit rate (though, only two of the five games had a hard-hit rate over 47.4%, so it probably should be much lower). He allows just a 73.4% contact rate, which is well below league average, has a 13.3% swinging strike rate and has attacked hitters early and often, with a 67% first-pitch strike rate and a 54.1% zone rate.

    The Cardinals have been one of the least productive teams when facing right handed pitching on the road over the past month, with their 73 wRC+ the third lowest in the league and just one point ahead of the White Sox. They also have the third lowest wOBA and OPS, the fourth lowest ISO and they are tied with the Athletic for the fourth highest strikeout rate. They hit slightly more ground balls than fly balls, have middle of the pack hard and soft hit rates and, though they have the third fewest plate appearances against RHP on the road of the past month, they have the fewest HR, four, and the second fewest runs scored, 21. They have hit into six double plays, tied with three other teams for 19th most and have the tied-for third fewest stolen bases, two, with the Red Sox and Reds.

    This feels like a situation that Smith should thrive in, producing a solid overall line while limiting a poor offense from hitting a home run or scoring many runs period. I don’t want to believe he can get the win, because the Cardinals are the better overall team, but he should throw at least five innings, something he has done eleven out of thirteen starts this season.

    High-risk: Mike Soroka vs Rockies, Zack Littell vs Orioles, Matthew Liberatore @ White Sox, Randy Vasquez @ Dodgers, Bailey Falter @ Tigers, David Festa @ Reds, Chad Patrick @ Cubs, Cal Quantrill vs Phillies, Justin Wrobleski vs Padres, Kyle Hendricks @ Yankees, Ryan Gusto @ Athletics, Antonio Senzatela @ Nationals, Slade Cecconi @ Giants, Ben Brown vs Brewers, Walker Buehler @ Mariners, Dean Kremer @ Rays, JP Sears vs Astros, Will Warren vs Angels


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    June 16, 2025, 12:03 am