• Every Sunday this season, I will share my pitching guide for that week. It will include a table of the projected 2-start starting pitchers and their opponents, with my recommendations on starts and sits, plus my pitching streams for the week.

    NameTeamStart 1OpponentStart 2Opponent
    Green Means Start Yellow Means Proceed With Caution Red Means Sit
    Kyle Bradish BAL Jun 22 @ LAA Jun 28 vs WAS
    Jake Bennett BOS Jun 22 @ COL Jun 27 vs NYY
    Sonny Gray BOS Jun 23 @ COL Jun 28 vs NYY
    Carlos Rodon NYY Jun 22 @ DET Jun 28 @ BOS
    Ryan Weathers NYY Jun 23 @ DET Jun 28 @ BOS
    Drew Rasmussen TBR Jun 22 vs KCR Jun 28 vs ARI
    Shane McClanahan TBR Jun 23 vs KCR Jun 28 vs ARI
    Shane Bieber TOR Jun 22 vs HOU Jun 27 vs TEX
    Trey Yesavage TOR Jun 23 vs HOU Jun 28 vs TEX
    Anthony Kay CHW Jun 22 vs CLE Jun 27 vs KCR
    Gavin Williams CLE Jun 22 @ CHW Jun 28 vs SEA
    Framber Valdez DET Jun 22 vs NYY Jun 27 vs HOU
    Casey Mize DET Jun 23 vs NYY Jun 28 vs HOU
    Michael Wacha KCR Jun 22 @ TBR Jun 27 @ CHW
    Luinder Avila KCR Jun 23 @ TBR Jun 28 @ CHW
    Zebby Matthews MIN Jun 22 vs LAD Jun 28 vs COL
    Aaron Civale ATH Jun 23 @ SFG Jun 28 @ LAA
    Hunter Brown HOU Jun 22 @ TOR Jun 27 @ DET
    Sam Aldegheri LAA Jun 22 vs BAL Jun 28 vs ATH
    George Kirby SEA Jun 23 @ PIT Jun 28 @ CLE
    Kumar Rocker TEX Jun 22 @ MIA Jun 27 @ TOR
    Jack Leiter TEX Jun 23 @ MIA Jun 28 @ TOR
    Grant Holmes ATL Jun 22 @ SDP Jun 28 @ SFG
    Tyler Phillips MIA Jun 22 vs TEX Jun 28 @ STL
    Kodai Senga NYM Jun 22 vs CHC Jun 27 vs PHI
    Nolan McLean NYM Jun 23 vs CHC Jun 28 vs PHI
    Jesus Luzardo PHI Jun 22 @ WAS Jun 27 @ NYM
    Alan Rangel PHI Jun 23 @ WAS Jun 28 @NYM
    Foster Griffin WAS Jun 22 vs PHI Jun 27 vs MIA
    Zack Littell WAS Jun 23 vs PHI Jun 28 vs MIA
    Edward Cabrera CHC Jun 22 @ NYM Jun 27 @ MIL
    Brady Singer CIN Jun 22 vs MIL Jun 28 @ PIT
    Brandon Woodruff MIL Jun 22 @ CIN Jun 28 vs CHC
    Mitch Keller PIT Jun 23 vs SEA Jun 28 vs CIN
    Andre Pallante STL Jun 22 vs ARI Jun 27 vs MIA
    Kyle Leahy STL Jun 23 vs ARI Jun 28 vs MIA
    Merrill Kelly ARI Jun 22 @ STL Jun 27 @ TBR
    Eduardo Rodriguez ARI Jun 23 @STL Jun 28 @ TBR
    Ryan Feltner COL Jun 22 vs BOS Jun 28 @ MIN
    Michael King SDP Jun 22 vs ATL Jun 28 vs LAD
    Adrian Houser SFG Jun 22 vs ATH Jun 28 vs ATL
    WordPress Data Table Plugin

    For my recommended pitching streams, I will only suggest pitchers who are rostered in fewer than 50% of Yahoo leagues. All starts are projected, but are subject to change due to injury, a team deciding to have a bullpen day, expand to a six-man rotation, etc. Stats are through Sunday morning.

    Monday, June 22

    Eric Lauer – LAD – @ MIN – 11%

    Lauer has performed fairly decently as a member of the Dodgers, producing two quality starts in four games, with a 14:5 K:BB and five home runs allowed over 22.1 innings pitched. He has had some pretty incredible batted ball and strand rate luck, with a .206 BABIP and 94.1% strand rate. His hard hit rate and average exit velocity have been quite great, at 33.8% and 87 MPH respectively, but a 45.5% fly ball rate has led to an elevated home run rate. Though he has a fantastic chase rate, 36.7%, his strikeout rate has remained low due to an 84.1% contact rate and an 8% swinging strike rate.

    Minnesota has struggled over the past month when facing left-handed pitching, posting the second worst wRC+ (78), tied with the Orioles. They have the second lowest OPS, .638, ninth lowest walk rate, 7.3%, and a middling strikeout rate (12.3%, 16th worst). They have the second lowest line drive rate and the eighth highest ground ball rate, though they have hit nearly as many fly balls as ground balls. They have the 13th most plate appearances against left-handed pitchers over the past month but have hit 10 home runs, the eighth most and tied with five other teams; have scored 28 runs, the seventh fewest and tied with the Angels; and have ground into five double plays, ninth most and tied with the Red Sox, Tigers and Rockies.

    Tuesday, June 23

    None

    Wednesday, June 24

    Griffin Jax – TBR – vs KCR – 36%

    Jax has looked much more comfortable as a starter over his past six starts, throwing 26 innings with a 28:4 K:BB, six home runs allowed, a 3.46 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. His barrel rate is far higher than you would like, though he allowed half of his barrels over his past six games in just one start (5) and has a hard hit rate over 38.5% in just two of those six starts as well. He has allowed more ground balls than fly balls, but has an elevated line drive rate that could punish him more in the future if he cannot reign it in now. He has held hitters to a 68.7% contact rate while generating a 36.7% chase rate and a 15.3% swinging strike rate – all three numbers put him closer to elite than average.

    The Royals have been right around league average, performance wise, when facing a right handed pitcher over the past month, posting a 101 wRC+, the 12th lowest in the league, a .736 OPS, 15th lowest, and a .159 ISO, ninth lowest. They have hit far more fly balls than ground balls and have the fourth highest hard hit rate over the past month, though they have only hit 21 home runs, 21st most in the league, over the 19th most plate appearances against right-handers since May 22. They have scored 89 runs, the 14th most and tied with the Blue Jays, and have ground into 11 double plays, 13th most and tied with the Mariners, Reds, Marlins and Mets.


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