Dolphins 17, Chargers 23 (Chargers(+3) Under 52.5)

Pregame: Both of these teams come into play needing a win to better their wild card positions. This should be a fun game involving two high-flying offenses with amazing weapons. The Dolphins are 8-4, and the Chargers are 6-6, and both teams are equally desperate for a win. The Dolphins, with a win, put themselves in a position to beat the Bills the following week and gain the tiebreaker for the division. The Chargers need this win to gain the 7th seed in the AFC. This should be a fun, high-scoring game with great quarterback play.

Postgame: Brandon Staley game-planned perfectly for this Dolphins’ offense. Staley saw Tyreek Hill twice a year when he was with the Chiefs, so he was more than familiar with his game. By minimizing Tyreek, he made Tua very uncomfortable and pushed him out of his comfort zone. Tua was also extremely inaccurate, which is very off-character for him. On the other side of this game, Justin Herbert played a near-perfect game. He was able to silence his doubters and make the Tua vs. Herbert argument much more interesting. 

Dolphins

QB

Pregame: Tua Tagovailoa ended a phenomenal stretch last week, as he completed 54.5% of passes for 295 yards, two touchdowns, two interceptions, and a fumble. Before last week, Tua hadn’t turned the ball over since Week 4. He’s seen good volume and great efficiency, which could be a spot where he has to throw a lot. Terron Armstead is off the injury report, and this is great news for Tua and this offense. Tua looks like a top-12 quarterback going into this week.  

Postgame: Tagovailoa struggled on Sunday night. He completed just 10-of-28 passes for 145 yards and one touchdown. This resulted in a season-low 24.6 quarterback rating. Tua focused in on Tyreek Hill all night, despite him seeing extra attention on nearly every play. He also looked very inaccurate, which is unusual for him. This seems like a flukey game in an otherwise outstanding season for Tua, but fantasy managers have to be worried that this game is on tape now, and other defensive coordinators might mirror this game plan. 

RB

Pregame: Raheem Mostert out-snapped Jeff Wilson Jr for the first time in a while during last week’s loss to San Fransisco. Mostert played 28 total snaps, while Wilson played just 17. Both of these backs had horrible games, however, as they combined for 8 carries for 33 yards. The Chargers are a great matchup, though, as they allow the third-most fantasy points and the most yards per carry to opposing running backs. It’s hard to tell what the distribution of touches will be like for this backfield, but if you need to start one of them, know that you’re doing it in one of the best matchups in fantasy. 

Postgame: Wilson left this game early with an injury and didn’t return. He only managed to carry the ball four times for 26 yards. He did not practice early this week with a hip injury, so fantasy managers may need to prepare for him to sit in week 15 against the Bills. Raheem Mostert carried the ball 11 times for 37 yards while adding one catch for seven yards. He was inefficient against a poor Chargers’ run defense, but if Jeff Wilson misses this week, he could be set up for an increased role.

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WR

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