2025 Week 14 TNF Fantasy Football Preview : DAL @ DET

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  • By Jon Mosales

    Last Updated on December 4, 2025 11:02 am by Jon Mosales | Published: December 4, 2025

    TNF – Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions

    Point spread: DAL +3 | DET -3

    Moneyline: DAL +145 | DET -175

    Total: Over 54.5 | Under 54.5

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    Overview:

    This total in this game just keeps sky rocking and for good reason.  These might the two worst secondaries in the league right now.  DAL and DET are giving up the 5th and 7th most fantasy points to WRs, but DET will likely be without Amon-Ra St. Brown.  That means Jameson Williams supernova game and you could argue he’s a better start that CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens this week.  This game is going to a strict pass-first game on both sides as each defense has been elite vs. the rush and terrible vs. the pass.  DAL is somehow allowing the 32nd most fantasy points to RBs over the last four while DET is 26th.  This game is TNT for TNF and the only goal you should have is to get as many fantasy receivers in as possible.  Dallas has the NFL’s top-ranked offense, averaging 393 yards a game, and ranks second with 29.3 points per game. Detroit averages 376 yards of offense, ranking third, and 29.2 points to tie for third in the league.

    Quarterbacks:

    Dak Prescott is playing the best football of his career and now gets his matchup of the season.  DAL ranks 4th in EPA/per pass and DET is giving up the 7th most fantasy points to QBs.  His worst finish is QB6 over the last three weeks and I would have him as the QB1 this week.  Underdogs vs. a broken defense with a healthy offense in a pass-heavy, pass-funnel, negative game-script.  What more could you ask for?  DAL is 5th in neutral pass rate and the ceiling for him in this game is the best game of his career.  Dak has thrown for at least 300 yards in b2b games, so let’s call that his floor.  The Lions defense has been picked apart by Jordan Love and Jameis Winston the last two weeks and this will be its toughest test.  Jared Goff is in line for similar production with b2b top-10 finishes, but the ceiling isn’t quite the same without Amon-Ra St. Brown and run-heavy gameplan.  Goff is about as steady as it gets, but it’s an ideal spot as DAL is allowing the 2nd most points to QBs last four games.  The Lions offense also plays better at home, but without St. Brown and Sam LaPorta as targets, Goff will either have to check down to his RBs, overload Jameson Williams or increase the usage or rookie WR Isaac TeSlaa.  This game is going to he so high-scoring, it might be all three.

    • Running Backs:

    Jahymr Gibbs went from the RB1 two weeks ago, so the RB27 last game.  The DAL defense has gotten exponentially better at defending the RB position lately, so don’t expect Gibbs to crazy again.  Over this stretch, the DAL defense has allowed fewer than 40 rushing yards per game.  While the sheer volume might not be great, the amount of points that the two teams will put up puts Gibbs in an ideal spot to put up a monster fantasy day, TDs rule the day and Gibbs has scored three TDs in two of the last four games.  What to do about David Montgomery?  He has three straight games under 10 carries and 35 rushing yards, so there isn’t much hope that Montgomery is able to break through.  He’s only scored in two of the last five, so the floor is bad and the ceiling isn’t great either.  Gibbs is the only RB to trust on DET this week.  Javonte Williams has at least 17 carries in three straight games, so his bell cow status isn’t in jeopardy.  He has gone four games without a rushing TD and it will be tough sledding vs. a DET defense that will force DAL to pass in the red zone.  Williams is still a great start week again due to the point total.  He might not have a great ceiling, but he’s a near lock for a top-20 finish.

     

    Wide Receivers: 


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    December 4, 2025, 11:02 am