• Fish Fisher (@Fish_Fisher4)

    Alexander Schvenko vs. Casper Ruud, 7/20 at 6:30 am EST (Bastaad)

    Schevenko +5.5 games -145 bet 1 to win 0.7 (Bovada)

    This is a strange line, so lower exposure. Ruud does have some points to defend during this swing, but he is historically poor immediately following majors. His opponent is tough and won’t go down without a fight, and is being priced too long for me


    John Isner vs. Tommy Paul, 7/21 at 12:30 pm EST (Newport)

    Isner +2.5 Games -111 bet 1.11 to win 1 (FanDuel)

    Isner ML +180 bet 0.5 to win 0.9

    I love the big man in this spot. Paul does not have his best on grass historically and his numbers were abysmal last time out, less than 50% first serves in and less than 50% won on his second serve, against a far worse opponent than Isner as well. Isner thrives at this event, and getting a serve bot with such long odds is too good for me to pass up.


    Alexander Zverev vs. Andrey Rublev, 7/21 at 8:00 am EST (Bastaad)

    Zverev ML -130 bet 1.3 to win 1 (Bovada)

    This is at -145 on most books. Zverev likes clay slightly more and I think this tournament means more to him. I expect Rublev to still be a bit hungover from Wimbledon. The Russian also put in an abysmal 57% of first serves last round compared to 80% from Zverev

    Doug Reid (@doug_reid34)

    Milwaukee at Philadelphia, 12:35pm EST
    – Milwaukee ML +106, 1 unit (Fan Duel)
    Milwaukee starts right handed Corbin Burnes and Philadelphia counters with righty Taijuan Walker.  This is simply a play on Burnes versus Walker and catching a plus Moneyline with Milwaukee.  Burnes hasn’t been his usual dominant self this season but in his last three starts has allowed just six hits over nineteen innings with twenty-six strikeouts.  He has also pitched better on the road where he has a 3.39 ERA, and 1.02 WHIP over 61.0 innings.  Walker has looked good since early June but has faced some very average offences in eight starts including the New York Mets twice, Detroit, Oakland, and the Chicago Cubs.  I lean Milwaukee with the starting pitching match-up, and their bullpen has been slightly better than Philadelphia’s, so happy to take the Brewers anywhere down to -110.
    San Francisco at Cincinnati, 12:35pm EST
    – Cincinnati ML +110, 1 unit (Draft Kings)
    San Francisco sends right hander Alex Cobb to the hill while Cincinnati starts young left-hander Andrew Abbott.  The Reds broke the Giants seven game win streak on Wednesday and I see them continuing that trend today as San Francisco is a below average team against left-handed pitching.  Against lefties this season San Francisco is seventeenth in batting average at .252, twentieth in on-base percentage at .312, and twenty-second in slugging percentage at .388, to go with a 93 wRC+ which is twenty-third in MLB.  Abbott has started eight games this season and allowed two runs or less in six of them.  On the other side Cobb has pitched worse on the road with a 4.15 ERA, versus a 1.24 at home, and a 1.44 WHIP on the road versus 1.67 at home. This line has moved to +100 and I would play it down to -100 for the Reds
    Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 6:41pm EST
    – Baltimore ML +154, 1 units (Fan Duel)
    Baltimore starts right hander Kyle Gibson and Tampa sends right Tyler Glasnow to the hill.  This series is a battle for the American League East lead between the teams with the second and third best records in MLB.  Baltimore comes in 8-2 in their last ten while Tampa is 3-7.  Glasnow is definitely a better pitcher than Gibson however, the Rays have limited Glasnow in his return from injury and he has only gone 6.0 innings twice in his ten starts, and never more.  On the Orioles side Gibson has pitched better on the road with a 4.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 66.1 innings.  I think this game is a coin flip between the surging Orioles and the Rays, so catching such a big Moneyline price with Baltimore leads me to their side.

    Keith Cork (@EthosKeith)

    MLB Bets for 7.20:

    • Brewers ML (+105) 0.5u to win 0.525u (PointsBet)
    • Orioles ML (+155) 0.5u to win 0.775u (DK)
    • Cardinals ML (+110) 0.5u to win 0.55u (BetMGM)
    • Athletics ML (+160) 0.25u to win 0.4u (PointsBet)
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