November 2, 2022, 3:33 pm
Eagles (-800) @ Texans (+14): O/U 45
No, you didn’t read that wrong – the one-win Texans are 14-point home underdogs to the undefeated Eagles. Philly brings with them the third-best scoring offense and fourth-best scoring defense, both of which should have no issues handling the Texans and produce plenty of fantasy points in the process. Houston’s scoring defense is actually almost league-average, yet they’re the third-worst team in terms of yards given up. The Eagles are six-best in red zone scoring percentage, so the Texans will have their hands full.
The biggest trade deadline move between these two teams was the Eagles’ huge acquisition of DE Robert Quinn. More on the fantasy D/ST ramifications there, but another fun nugget is that Quinn could become the first player in NFL history to play 18 games in a season since the Eagles already had their bye in Week 7 and the Bears had played a full slate leading up to the trade.
Jalen Hurts has paved his way to fantasy’s overall QB4 at the midseason mark with a lot of consistency. He has only two sub-20 point efforts but has also not scored less than 16.9 points in any game. Hurts will actually face his stiffest test of the season yet in the Texans, who have actually given up the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. However, that’s not necessarily against quarterbacks who play like Hurts, because the Texans are actually the single most vulnerable team in the NFL against running backs and we know how much the ground game anchors Hurts’ fantasy production.
After a few seesaw weeks, Sanders finally strung together back-to-back double-digit fantasy efforts (albeit sandwiching their bye week) over his last two outings. That Steelers game was actually the first time all season he had single-digit carries, but that was largely due to the game being out of hand early, resulting in Sanders being given the fourth quarter off along with the rest of the Eagles starters. As such, he should be coming into this mouthwatering matchup against the worst defense against fantasy running backs extremely fresh, having only toted the rock nine times in two weeks because of the bye. There’s still no threat to his workload from anyone else on the depth chart at the moment at the RB position, so he should be locked in for a great game.
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