One Fantasy Football Nugget From Every NFL Team for the 26-27 Season

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  • When trying to sort through the chaos of the fantasy football season, I like to separate teams into categories of must-draft, stayaway and ambiguous.  Obviously there is a massive difference in ceiling and capability between the Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns, but value is value and there is always something to like about every team in the NFL.  Obviously doing a deep dive on each team is the best method to get in the weeds, but it’s also good to have a cursory understanding of each team.  So, enjoy as I provide one fantasy nugget for all 32 teams.

    1. Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons were 3rd in FPPG at RB and 29th at WR.  Drake London is among the best WRs in football and was the WR7 in FPPG.  With two semi-competent QBs to feed London, they should be far better than 26th in passing TDs this season.

    2. Arizona Cardinals – The ARI offense threw the most passes in the NFL (41.6) and had the 29th best defense (28.8 PPGA).  The QB position might be messy and the o-line a work in progress (23rd), but the Cardinals remain a gold mine for fantasy.  Sometimes, you don’t bet on talent, you bet on circumstances.  Their running backs had the fewest carries in the NFL (299) and while the shiny new RB will get his touches, game-script is going to dictate ARI slinging the rock again this season.

    3. Baltimore Ravens – Zay Flowers was the WR1 in Week 1 and Week 18, but only scored two TDs in all the game in-between.  The BAL WRs were 26th in FPPG and only saw 52% of the targets (27th), while the offense ran the ball 54.3% of the time — the highest run rate in the NFL.  There is plenty of upside if BAL starts throwing to the WRs and the decline of the BAL TE duo might signify that transition.  They threw 23 passing TDs after having 41 two seasons ago.

    4. Buffalo Bills – Everyone is excited about DJ Moore, but their rushing attack ranked 1st in the NFL with 2,714 yards on the ground, they ran the ball 547 times (1st in NFL) and they scored 30 rushing touchdowns (1st) and their ground game averaged 5.0 yards per carry — 2nd in the NFL.  This is a run-heavy team first and that isn’t changing overnight.

    5. Carolina Panthers – The resurgent CAR offense was only 27th in PPG (18.3) and 19th or worst in FPPG at every skill position.  This team might be in a similar position that ARI was in with Kyler Murray as Bryce Young is holding the offense back.  Tetaroia McMillan is a star, but how high can he fly with Young?

    6. Cincinnati Bengals – CIN ran the ball just 37.3% of the time — the 2nd most pass-heavy team in the NFL, yet Chase Brown was the RB6 from Week 6-18.  Brown is elite despite the pass-heavy nature of the offense 34/66 run/pass split.  CIN will keep the ball in the hands of Joe Burrow and that’s perfect for Brown.  Ideally, they improve on the 18% RB targets (14th) as defenses scramble to contain Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins

    7. Cleveland Browns – CLE had 32nd ranked o-line last season and as a result were 26th in rushing attempts, 27th in rushing yards, 25th in rushing TDs and 28th in YPR (3.8).  Quinshon Judkins had at least 20 carries in six games and looks to be an old-school bell-cow RB.  If the o-line can improve to a top-20 unit, Judkins could be a league-winner.

    8. Chicago Bears – The Bears scored the third-most points in franchise history and were a top-10 unit in almost every category.  The offense is just getting started though and the entire team is a must-draft.  They have a top-three o-line and were great running the ball, but the passing game is about to take off.  Last season, the Bears ranked 10th in pass attempts per game and first overall in total plays per game.  I couldn’t be higher on the CHI offense this season.

    9. Detroit Lions – The Lions are right there with CHI, but they are more top-heavy.  Their RBs scored 20 rushing touchdowns — 2nd most in the NFL and the WRs scored 24 receiving TDs — 2nd most in the NFL.  They scored 83 less points than two seasons ago, but look for them re-bolster the o-line and get back to basics.

    10. Denver Broncos – The Broncos were more pass-heavy than expected (42-58 run/pass split), especially with a dominant o-line (ranked 4th).  With two solid RBs backed by a mobile QB, the DEN running attack should get back on track.  They were 13th in FPPG at RB, but targeted the RBs 20% of the time (7th).  JK Dobbins gets hurt every week, so RJ Harvey has a chance to really separate himself from the herd.

    11. Dallas Cowboys – The DAL offense didn’t let down, as the WRs led the NFL with 253 catches for 3,605 yards on 387 targets — 1st in all three categories.  They ran the most plays, threw the third-most passes and scored the 7th-most points.  CeeDee Lamb was the WR22 (14 games) and if he can stay healthy, he should be primed for a full-on revenge season.  The defense was 32nd in PPGA (30.1), DAL again is the team to target.

    12. Green Bay Packers – The Packers were a top-five run-heavy offense (49/51 run/pass split) despite having the 27th ranked o-line.  Josh Jacobs might be suspended and even so, he’s on the downward trend of his career.  The GB offense could finally pivot to be a pass-first offense and take the shackles off Jordan Love.  Nearly half the WR targets are up for grabs and one of Christian Watson, Jayden Reed or Matthew Golden are finally going to have a great fantasy season.

    13. Houston Texans – The RBs were 28th in FPPG and only targeted at the 27th highest rate (14%) and the o-line ranked 24th hasn’t markedly improved.  They added David Montgomery, but he’s getting a massive downgrade in situation.  The Texans have talent, but the defense is too stingy to allow the offense to roll.  Nico Collins is the only player I’m heavily targeting, maybe Jayden Higgins.

    14. Indianapolis Colts – Jonathan Taylor scored 15 TDs before the Week 11 bye and three after it.  After Jones was out of the lineup (Achilles), Taylor was the RB22 in fantasy points per game with 21.6 touches and 75.4 total yards per game.  Betting on the Colts is all about which team shows up.  I’m fine betting they fix the issues that happened post-Jones injury.

    15. Jacksonville Jaguars  –  The Jags had the most prolific scoring season (474 points) in the history of the franchise and they might just be getting started.  They have three potentially elite WRs, but the RB room is the one that is up for grabs.  Bhayshul Tuten is being drafted like he’s a star, but he was only 3.7 YPC but the Jags o-line finally looks stable.  I don’t trust Tuten based on his ADP, but I do love the JAC offense.

    16. LA Rams – I faded the Rams last season and paid the price.  I can’t zag now.  They were 2nd in FPPG at QB and WR and I’m betting they aren’t close to those numbers this season.  Stafford is a year older, Puka Nacua is dealing with off-court issues, Davante Adams is another year older and the defense should be elite.  This team will run the ball more (43-57 run-pass split) and the only player I like for fantasy is Blake Corum.

    17. LA Chargers – LAC hired Mike McDaniel to run the offense and they should improve upon a 30th ranked 0-line assuming the line gets healthy.  Tell me if you’ve heard this before, the Chargers are going to roll.  The offense was pass-heavy 43-57 (run/pass split) and only targeted RBs 14% of the time, but who cares.  Omarion Hampton is primed and McDaniel is great at assimilating RBs into the offense.  Look for LA to pivot from leading league in WR targets (68%) and finally start running the ball.

    18. Las Vegas Raiders –  Their RBs produced just 1,179 rushing yards — the fewest in the league.  The offensive line allowed 64 sacks — most in the NFL and the offense ranked last in total yards (4,632).  They were 30th in FPPG at QB, 31st at RB and 32nd at WR.  It can only go up, but how far?  The o-line should be competent with C Tyler Linderbaum in town and that should free up Ashton Jeanty to finally get past the line of scrimmage (26.7% stuffed rate).

    19. Kansas City Chiefs – Ken Walker should finally give KC a run game.  He was 3rd in explosive rate last season and the KC o-line should be able to hold blocks and open up lanes better than the SEA line.  The passing offense ranked 16th with 3,947 yards and they scored 362 points, ranking 21st.  Pat Mahomes should be ready for Week 1, but will this team every be a great offense again?  A viable run game should make everything easier, but KC is hardly a must-draft team with all the issues surrounding Rashee Rice.

    20. Minnesota Vikings – The QB battle continues and as bad as JJ McCarthy was, the o-line crumbled (29th) and they scored 112 fewer points than two seasons ago.  The WRs went from being 4th in FPPG to 21st and that’s the key to the whole ball game.  They added Jauan Jennings and while Kyler Murray might be better than McCarthy, this team has a ton of talent, but no direction.

    21. New Orleans Saints – The offense looked solid by the end of the season, a 28th ranked o-line meant the RBs were 32nd in FPPG.  They finished 28th in PPG at 18, but hope is back in Nola.  Tyler Shough looks legit and was on pace for 4,261 yards over a 17-game season.  They added Travis Etienne who was great last season and while the offense will be fine, the o-line remains a problem. A 40/60 run/pass split and only 14% Rb target rate doesn’t inspire confidence in the RB position.

    22. New England Patriots – The Pats were top-10 in FPPG at QB/RB/WR/TE last season and I think it’s safe to say history won’t repeat itself.  The Pats just traded for AJ Brown which gives Drake Maye a true WR1 to pair with the best deep-ball thrower in the NFL.  Brown hasn’t looked right the last couple of seasons, but I think he’s got one more alpha-WR season left.  There will be no discounts and with Romeo Doubs also in town, there are plenty of weapons, but Brown is a difference-maker and will be hungry to prove himself.

    23. Miami Dolphins – MIA had a top-10 o-line last season and just drafted the best tackle in the draft.  De’Von Achane is going to be insane this season next to a running QB.  The rushing offense ranked 14th with 2,044 yards and I expect that number to sky-rocket this season.  Achane was the RB5 and while MIA might again not target RBs at the third-highest rate, I think he has a legit shot at being the RB1 this season.  I might take him top-five this season.

    24. New York Jets – The Jets offense was terrible last season and I’m not sure how much better it will be this season.  Geno Smith might be cooked and the team is clearly looking ahead to next season.  I’m not drafting anyone on the Jets except for AD Mitchell.  They only threw 14 passing TDs — fewest in the NFL and while that number will go up, it probably won’t be north of 20.  They were pass-heavy two seasons ago and were 22nd in pass attempts last season.  It’s impossible to know which way this team will zag and the only thing going for them is a defense that gave up 29.6 PPG.

    25. New York Giants – The Giants are the sexy fantasy team this season.  They have a stud QB, RB and WR, but can all three ever be healthy at the same time?  They ran the ball 511 times — 2nd most in the NFL and their QB(s) added 616 rushing yards — 2nd most among all QBs.  A 47/53 run/pass split with a top-15 o-line means this could offense could look more BUF/BAL than CIN/DAL.  Might be prudent to invest in Dart/Skattebo rather Nabers/Likely.

    26. Philadelphia Eagles – The o-line has slipped to being a top-15 unit and no AJ Brown means the offense is going to need some juice.  They weren’t great anywhere last season, finishing between 14-23 in FPPG at QB/RB/WR/TE.  Jalen Hurts’ 421 rushing yards last season marked a five-year low, and his streak of four straight seasons with double-digit rushing touchdowns was snapped, as Hurts had only eight TD runs in 2025.  Was it a blip or the start of a trend?

    27. Pittsburgh Steelers – PIT boasts a top-three o-line, two stud RBs and two stud WRs.  This might be the best offense in a decade, but they wer3 30th in WR targets and 24th in FPPG at QB.  Can Aaron Rodgers dial up one more season with a truly elite supporting cast? I might take that bet if it wasn’t for Mike McCarthy at HC.

    28. San Francisco 49ers – SF had a year from hell, but was still top-10 in PPG (25.7) with a 44-54 run/pass split.  CMC was elite and SF led the league in RB targets, which meant only 46% for WRs, but with George Kittle out, expect the WR targets to go up.  CMC had over 400 touches and that never bodes well for the following season.  Bet on all the other skill players to fill the void if he goes down.

    29. Seattle Seahawks – JSN was insane and I was on him early.  The offense was great with 28.4 PPG (3rd) and a 50-50 run/pass split.  With Ken Walker gone and Zach Charbonnet hurt, expect them to air it out more than usual, but can JSN repeat? They don’t target the RBs (14%) or TEs (22%), so there is plenty of reasons to support JSN running it back.

    30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – I got burned by the Buccs last season, but I remain undeterred.  TB was 2nd in WR targets (67%), but have the 26th ranked o-line and a terrible defense.  There are a ton of reasons to bet on a bounce-back and I won’t leave my drafts without Emeka Egbuka this season.

    31. Tennessee Titans – The offense was a joke, finishing 30th in PPG (16.7), 32nd in FPPG at QB, 30th at RB and 27th at WR.  They added Carnell Tate and Cam Ward sophomore year is always a safe bet, but I still think this team needs more one season in the oven.

    32. Washington Commanders – The year after the year after.  They have a bottum-five defense, a top-20 o-line and a generational QB.  I throw out all the stats and bet on Jayden Daniels to be great.  I don’t like Terry McLaurin or the pass-catchers, but Jacory Croskey-Merritt might be a stud, but it’s Daniels or bust for me.

     

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