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April 26, 2025, 7:50 am
It’s Saturday and we’ve another amazing Playoff slate! We’ll start off with Cavaliers (-5.5) @ Heat matchup, with a 213 O/U and Darius Garland questionable, then we’ve got OKC (-15) trying to close out the series against Memphis with a 221.5 O/U, Ja Morant questionable and Scotty Pippen Jr. trying to emulate his 1st half of game 3, which he ended with six made threes and 50.25 fpts. After that, we’ve got the exciting Nuggets @ Clippers (-6), with an O/U of 212.5 points and Denver in need of their 2nd star, Jamal Murray, to step up as he did in past playoffs and lastly, we’ve got the Rockets @ Warriors (-3.5), with a 203.5 O/U and Jimmy Butler status still being up in the air with a deep muscle contusion. Let’s get straigh to it!
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Injury Report
To stay up-to-date on all of the injury news with up-to-the-minute updates, make sure to check out our LIVE Injury Report!
Tonight’s Prop
Tonight’s Draft Kings Games Picks
Nuggets +6
Cavaliers -5.5
DFS Pillar Plays
Nikola Jokic
Position: C
Salary: $11,500
67.25, 63.75 and 65.25 were Nikola Jokic’s fpts scored in the first three games of the series, and Jokic has just an average usage rate of 25.8% over the last two games of the series, down considerably from his 29.5% season mark. So, despite posting truly incredible fantasy numbers, Jokic still has room to grow from his 60+ fpts performances if his usage takes the shape of his regular season mark. On top of that, the Joker still has room to improve elsewhere, and believe me, it feels extremely strange to write a phrase like that. He’s shooting 65% from the free-throw line, and the Joker never shot below 80% from the charity stripe in a playoff run before, and, tied to his usage rate, he’s averaging the least fga this series when compared to every single one of his other six playoff years. It doesn’t end there, as his total rebounding % is also the lowest it has ever been in the playoffs. These dips in statistical categories have been looked over due to Jokic’s 42 mpg in this series, but if he pairs these positive regression markers with the playing time he’s been getting, we’re due for an all-time performance.
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