• Nearly three weeks in the books, so you know the drill by now.

    Injuries to Watch

    Impending Evaluations

    Zion Williamson (left hamstring) should be evaluated next week and we should get an update on a return-to-play timeline (or they will just say he is out “at least two more weeks” or something.

    Keegan Murray (left hand) should be evaluated next week. He could be viewed as a low-end 9-cat stash if you have the spare adds, but he isn’t a guy you have to go out and grab yet. If you have the spare adds however, feel free to do it.

    Brandon Clarke (right knee) should be re-evaluated by the end of next week. He might be zapped of fantasy upside after so many lower-body injuries though. He clearly just has bad knees now and he had an Achilles injury back in 2023, so all of that added up together might make him shaky, even for deep leagues.

    We might hear something on Jaden Ivey (right knee) at the end of next week, but that might be a “ramping up and aiming to return in two weeks” type of update.

    Georges Niang (left foot) should be evaluated within the next few days. He is always a deep-league source of triples if the Jazz decide to utilize him. Another PF might not be fun for Taylor Hendricks and Kyle Filipowski, but the Jazz should be prioritizing their young talent. “Should” is not a guarantee, unfortunately.

    Timelines Getting Close

    Zach Edey (left ankle) has been practicing in the G League and should return fairly soon. New head coach Tuomas Iisalo used him a lot more than former head coach Taylor Jenkins did at the end of last season, so he is an IL/IR stash if you have the space. However, I think we should also acknowledge that this is a huge man coming off ankle surgery, so he could be eased in slowly. Still, I think the upside for big-man stats is palpable enough to take the swing wherever he is available.

    TJ McConnell (left hamstring) was ruled out for “at least one month” on October 9, so we are a few days away from the earliest potential update on a return. Pacers rookie Kam Jones (back) is being re-evaluated on November 9 himself. Jones may or may not be a thing for deep leagues given how shorthanded the team is in terms of guard play. McConnell has a path to 12-team value, but isn’t a must-add player until we get good news. If McConnell is hanging around on waiver wires in 14-team leagues or deeper however, he is a definite stash.

    De’Aaron Fox (hamstring) is past his initial timeline to return by the end of October, but we haven’t gotten a real update yet. Hopefully he is back soon.
    Update: The announcement that Fox is back came right after this was posted.

    Gabe Vincent (left ankle) could be close if he is more on the two-week end of the 2-4 week timeline. Rookie Adou Thiero (left knee) should also be close but isn’t guaranteed to be a fantasy impact guy. Vincent is a shaky fantasy player too (only good when he has a hot hand), but would negatively impact Marcus Smart and company when he returns.

    Other Injury Notes

    Bam Adebayo (toe) is day-to-day according to the Heat.

    Anthony Davis (left calf) was called day-to-day on Wednesday and was “upgraded” to doubtful for Friday. A return should be imminent.

    On Tuesday, Billy Donovan said the Bulls hope Coby White (calf) can play “in a couple weeks” and also hope he can “practice by next week.” At the time of the comment, White was only doing individual work like start-stop movements, cutting and conditioning.

    On Wednesday, Jason Kidd said they are hoping to get Dereck Lively II (knee) back next week.

    Bennedict Mathurin (right foot) and Andrew Nembhard (left shoulder) both have murky timelines and could return at any point. That makes them tough to stash, but have them on your watch-list if they are on the wire. Be ready to pull the trigger.

    Let’s also not forget that Dorian Finney-Smith (left ankle) exists, as with a murky timeline he can pop up at any time and begin taking minutes from guys we actually like for fantasy in Houston. He should have a role, but that doesn’t mean you should make any wild moves right now.

    Paul George (left knee) could also be back at any time. We know he has been practicing fully since the regular season kicked off.

    Scoot Henderson (left hamstring) has a broad 4-8 week timeline but is about five weeks into it, so he may or may not appear soon. I think I’d lean closer to 6-8 weeks, however. You aren’t stashing Henderson right now.

    Schedule Breakdown

    The number of games played will dictate weekly lineups, but if you have fringe 12-team players from a team with two games in daily lineup formats, you may want to consider dropping them and streaming their spot instead.

    Weekly Info

    Games played:

    15 teams with 4 games: MIL, ORL, ATL, LAL, CLE, POR, PHO, DAL, NOR, CHA, GSW, UTA, LAC, SAS, SAC

    14 teams with 3 games: DET, BKN, BOS, IND, TOR, WAS, HOU, DEN, NYK, OKC, MIN, MIA, CHI, MEM

    1 team with 2 games: PHI

    For the managers in leagues with Weekly Lineups, the only Sixer I would trust is Tyrese Maxey because he can get over 80 minutes across two games since Nick Nurse is a mad scientist and Maxey’s conditioning is elite.

    Since the Wolves and Bucks both have two back-to-backs, I think there is a chance that Giannis Antetokounmpo and Anthony Edwards (recent hamstring injury) both at least one leg of those, but you should start them regardless. They would be two-game start players, so three games is fine if they play both legs of one set and just sit one leg in the other set.

    The Grizzlies have three games and a back-to-back, and while Ja Morant does not sit every back-to-back, there could be a risk there since he does sit them often enough for it to be a worry. You likely have to start him and hope for the best but if you have strong depth, you could look elsewhere in a Weekly Lineup setting.

    Daily Info

    Back-to-backs (B2B):

    2 teams with 2 B2Bs: MIL, MIN

    15 teams with 1 B2B: ORL, ATL, LAL, CLE, PHO, CHA, GSW, UTA, SAC, DET, BOS, DEN, NYK, OKC, MEM

    13 teams with no B2B: POR, DAL, NOR, LAC, SAS, BKN, IND, TOR, WAS, HOU, MIA, CHI, PHI

    Low-traffic game days:

    Tuesday (6 games): GSW, UTA, SAC, BKN, BOS, IND, TOR, DEN, NYK, OKC, MEM, PHI
    Thursday (3 games): ATL, CLE, PHO, UTA, IND, TOR
    Saturday (5 games): MIL, LAL, CLE, CHA, IND, TOR, DEN, OKC, MIN, MEM

    • IND, TOR play TUE – THU – SAT
    • UTA plays: MON, TUE, THU, SUN
    • CLE and MIL play MON, WED, THU, SAT
    Game volume:

    Monday: 9 games
    Wednesday: 12 games
    Friday: 9 games
    Sunday: 8 games

    The Pacers and Raptors both have amazing schedules. On the Pacers, you have Aaron Nesmith (3s, steals, points, maybe rebounds), Isaiah Jackson (rebounds, maybe blocks) and Jarace Walker (counting stats, poor percentages) for standard formats. Ben Sheppard (3s, maybe points, maybe rebounds) and Jay Huff (3s, blocks) are coming off good games on Wednesday night (November 5), but I think they are just hit-or-miss deep-league options until we see consistency.

    On the Raptors, the streaming options are not enticing for standard formats unless Jakob Poeltl or someone else is out. However, deep-league options include Jamal Shead (assists, steals), Sandro Mamukelashvili (3s, rebounds, maybe points), Gradey Dick (3s, points if he gets hot) and maybe Collin Murray-Boyles (maybe points/rebounds, maybe 3s/steals/blocks).

    The Jazz schedule is also amazing since they avoid the 12 games on Wednesday. If you can fit the streamers in on Monday, you could have your Jazz players for the entire week. Jusuf Nurkic (rebounds), Kyle Filipowski (points, rebounds, 3s, maybe assists/steals) and Taylor Hendricks (3s, steals, blocks, rebounds) are all worth a look. That would also be hoping that Flip and Hendricks trend up with the recent news on Walker Kessler (shoulder) being done for the season. Svi Mykhailiuk (threes) is also an option if he continues to start. Walter Clayton Jr. (points, 3s, assists, steals) can be given a strong deep-league look while Kevin Love (rebounds, 3s) and Ace Bailey (maybe points, 3s, rebounds, steals, blocks…maybe) might get by in a 20-team format or deeper. I will admit that Filipowski is being marginalized right now, but it’s partially a gamble based on a positive schedule and hoping you are the beneficiary of the Jazz pivoting away from Nurkic soon to prioritize the young talent. If that happens midway through a multigame stream, boom, you might have a rest-of-season hold on your hands.
    Isaiah Collier (assists) is also one to watch if he enters the rotation, but he has been a DNP-CD since he returned from injury. Brice Sensabaugh (points, 3s) is also barely in the rotation, but would also be one to watch if the role improves.

    The Cavs and Bucks don’t have as ideal a schedule as you definitely won’t be able to use streamer-level players on a 12-game Wednesday unless you have injuries. Thursday-Saturday pair of games is very nice, however.

    On the Cavs, Sam Merrill is always good for boom-or-bust 3s and Lonzo Ball (assists, steals, 3s but will sit a leg of the B2B) can give you numbers in limited minutes. Darius Garland (toe) should sit a leg of the Wed-Thurs B2B too. De’Andre Hunter (points, 3s, possible rebounds & apparently assists — that may drop with Darius Garland back) is a strong option if he isn’t on a roster too. Jaylon Tyson (balanced) might be interesting for deep leagues if he slides back to the bench as expected, but if someone goes down and he starts, he could have boom-or-bust 12-team upside. Larry Nance Jr. (balanced) might also get it done in a 20-team league as a stream.

    On the Bucks, Gary Trent Jr. might be worth the hold for the week and could be a play on Wednesday for 3s, steals and points. AJ Green is the ultimate 3-point specialist too. If Bobby Portis was dropped, that’s FG%, points, treys and boards. Ryan Rollins should just be on a roster. Cole Anthony (points, 3s assists) and Kyle Kuzma (points, 3s, maybe rebounds) could also be options for standard leagues. Kuzma is a roller coaster though, so who knows?

    Daily B2B Outlook for Streaming: 

    (W3) Sun-Mon (W4) B2B: MIL, DET, ORL, MIN
    Mon-Tues B2B: UTA
    Tues-Wed B2B: NYK, OKC, GSW, SAC, BOS, DEN, MEM
    Wed-Thurs B2B: CLE, ATL, PHO
    Thurs-Fri B2B: None
    Fri-Sat B2B: MIL, MIN, CHA, LAL
    Sat-Sun B2B: None
    (W4) Sun-Mon (W5) B2B: DAL, NOR, LAC, CHI

    It is worth noting that there is no weekend back-to-back (Saturday-Sunday) to pile on a couple of extra games at the end. You could feasibly add a Jazz player for Monday, Tuesday and Thursday (one add), then stream one player on Friday, Saturday and Sunday if you have the space for each of those days. You can also use the Friday-Saturday back-to-back to give yourself two adds on Sunday if needed.

    You can also use two spots for Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday (IND, TOR) and then have two streams for Sunday. The alternative is one stream for Tuesday and Thursday, then one of the Fri-Sat B2B teams and finish up on Sunday.

    I’m just throwing out ideas. You can string together different patterns based on your own team and what spots you consider streamable with knowledge of how heavy each game day is. You can also adjust to suit for other platforms For example, ESPN’s one add per day (seven adds per week) means you can likely have two streaming spots.

    Looking for more help with your lineup and streaming decisions? Check out our Fantasy Basketball Tools! 

    Values Have Not Settled Yet

    Here is a snippet from my Season Segments Analysis article for our Draft Guide.

    Desmond Bane 2024-25 Season in Segments

    You can see that Bane was awful through the first 14 games, which is the period from the start of the 2024-25 season to the first week of December (first six weeks). He than gave us second-round value the rest of the way, finishing with third-round value on paper. Bane is off to a bad start again and he is also adjusting to a new team. Even if we want to say Bane will be worse in Orlando, I think we can still say top-50 or even top-60 upside is easily attainable as a conservative estimate with the known upside to be even better than that. What I am saying is, don’t make a rash move if you have Bane. If you don’t have Bane, we are still in buy-low territory.

    Tyrese Haliburton is not playing this season, but I am going to use his poor start in 2024-25 to add to my argument. Values have not settled yet!

    To finish off, I also have an example pertinent to this season with Nikola Vucevic, one the greatest fantasy trolls of all time. Here is Vuc getting off to a hot start in 2024-25 before cooling off a bit:

    Pay close attention to percentages. Whether worse or better than expected, a lot of them may not be sustainable. That isn’t to say players don’t decline or improve. However, a 35-year-old feels less likely to give you a career season. A 35-year-old also feels more likely to fall off and decline than a guy in his prime years who is off to a bad start.

    Other numbers to pay attention to are minutes and defensive stats. Changes in those areas can also impact overall value significantly. Points and threes are directly linked to percentages, but minutes are also a factor for those and for rebounds or assists. Defensive stats are quite volatile as a low-volume stat. One big game early on could make those numbers look juicier than they should be. A few bad games could also have a player’s defensive stats below expectations.

    Numbers should start ironing out themselves better in mid-December, but for some players with especially good or bad starts, their rankings won’t be close to expectations until mid-January. Jalen Duren did not get going until January last season himself, so be patient.

    Here is Duren’s 2024-25 season segments for good measure.


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