• Fish Fisher (@Fish_Fisher4)

    Arthur Fils vs. Dominic Stricker, 7/18 at 6:00 am EST (Gastaad)

    Fils ML -120 bet 1.2 to win 1 (FanDuel)

    This line is an overreaction to the altitude. While it will help Stricker’s game it will benefit Fils as well, and he is the far better clay court player. Stricker will likely be fatigued from his Wimbledon run and I don’t think he will have the patience to hang around with Fils on the dirt, elevation or no. This is -135 at most books so there is value here


    Sebastian Ofner vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry, 7/18 at 11:00 am EST (Bastaad)

    Ofner +3.5 games -115 bet 1.15 to win 1 (Bovada)

    This is another spot where most books have the line heavily juiced. Ofner is in form coming off of a Challanger title, and I see no reason for Etcheverry to be such a big favorite when Ofner had the mental advantage. I think this will be a brawl where Ofner will target the Argentine’s backhand and cover such a large spread


    Doug Reid (@doug_reid34)

    San Diego at Toronto, 7:07pm EST
    – San Diego ML (-108), 1.08 units (Fan Duel)

    San Diego starts right handed Joe Musgrove and Toronto counters with Alek Manoah. This is simply a play on Musgrove pitching well lately and moreso not being convinced that Manoah has completed bounced back after his stint in the minors to refind himself.  Manoah looked good against a very weak Detroit lineup so I think San Diego will be able to get to him on a warm night in Toronto with the roof open.
    Miami at St. Louis, 7:45pm EST
    – Miami F5 Over 1.5 (-130), 1.3 units (Draft Kings)
    St. Louis starts left hander Jordan Montgomery who has righted the ship after a very slow start however, most of his recent starts have been against very average teams. Miami is anything but average against lefties as they are best team in both batting average at .313 and on-base percentage at .363 and are fifth in slugging percentage at .452, to go with 124 wRC+ which is the third best in MLB. Add that all up and I like Miami to get to Montgomery for at least two runs in the first five innings.

    Keith Cork (@EthosKeith)

    MLB Bets for 7.18:
    – White Sox ML (+102) 0.5u to win 0.51u (FD)
    – Diamondbacks ML (+180) 0.5u to win 0.9u (FD)
    – Royals ML (+130) 0.5u to win 0.65u (PB)
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