October 12, 2022, 2:39 pm
Commanders (+1) @ Bears (-110): O/U 38
The Thursday Night Football game between the Commanders and the Bears has the lowest over/under through the first six weeks of this season. The Commanders have not scored more than 17 points since Week 2, while the Bears have only scored over 19 points twice this season. Both teams have fairly strong defenses and even with the crazy-low 38 point over/under, this game could very easily hit the under and be the most boring game of the season. With that being said, there is a handful of fantasy-relevant players. The passing game of the Commanders has produced multiple weekly top-12 performances from their wideouts thanks to the play of the current QB9 Carson Wentz, while the Bears have had very strong performances by both of their running backs.
Surprisingly, Wentz is the QB9 through five weeks, producing three games with at least 22.9 fantasy points. The problem is, he has been below 9.3 fantasy points in the other two contests and it’s tough to see a world where Wentz lights up this defense with this game projecting to be such a low-scoring affair. The Bears have also allowed the ninth-fewest passing yards per game, which poses a threat to a strong performance by Wentz. The Commanders have a team-implied point total of less than three touchdowns, so fantasy GMs should likely try to find a different streaming option in standard leagues, although Wentz remains relevant in superflex formats.
Brian Robinson, J.D. McKissic and Antonio Gibson: The Commanders backfield is one of the biggest unknowns in the NFL. With the return of Robinson last week, things have substantially changed from the first four games, but it seems likely that he takes over the early-down work. Robinson led the backfield in rushing yards and attempts, although it was a very underwhelming 22 yards on nine rushes. Gibson had six touches, while McKissic was targeted seven times in the passing game. None of the three backs currently have any value or upside, but once Robinson takes over the workhorse role, then things will become much more clear. All three are best to avoid in all formats.
Want to read the rest of our fantasy preview as well as get access to the rest of our premium content? You’ll need to have a FANTASYPASS membership. Click here to learn more and sign up!