December 29, 2022, 12:10 pm
Cowboys (-625) @ Titans (+12) : O/U 39.5
The Titans have absolutely nothing to play for this week and have all but waived the white flag. Their entire season comes down to a win-and-get-in matchup with the Jaguars in Week 18 and somehow the outcome of this game makes absolutely no difference. Win or lose this week, their playoff hopes comes down to beating the Jags next weekend. Their injury report is littered with key players, including their stud RB Derrick Henry, who is listed doubtful and is trending towards not playing. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are still in the hunt for both the top seed, including a first-round bye, and also the AFC East division title. They need a little help to get there, but winning their two remaining games is key. There are a handful of very strong fantasy options on the Cowboys side of the ball and with them projecting to score a pile of points on Thursday, fantasy GMs may get rewarded handsomely in a potential blowout.
There is not one single startable fantasy option on the Titans side of the ball on Thursday. Malik Willis has shown his inability to complete passes, throwing for less than 100 yards in all six games he has played in. Derrick Henry has been listed as doubtful (let’s be honest, he isn’t going to play) and this game is going to get out of hand very early. If fantasy GMs are absolutely beyond desperate, Henry’s replacement Hassan Haskins could be started in the deepest of formats, but fantasy GMs would need to pray to the fantasy gods that he catches a couple balls and doesn’t ruin their week.
Dak Prescott: Prescott has looked good for the most part since his return, if only he would stop throwing interceptions. He has eight picks over his past five games, but has counter-acted that by throwing for three touchdowns in three of those games. There is a very real chance that the Cowboys win this game by 30 points, so it would not be surprising if the Cowboys passing attack has an off night simply because they will be running the ball more often than normal. With that being said, Prescott is still a fringe QB1 option this week and should have a safe scoring floor for his fantasy GMs.
Ezekiel Elliott & Tony Pollard: Pollard has yet to practice this week, but he remains questionable and did travel with the team to Nashville. If Pollard suits up, both him and Zeke are once again great fantasy options this week. If Pollard misses, Zeke has potential to be the RB1 on championship weekend. The Cowboys are likely going to lean on the rushing attack this week and being 12-point road favorites, the upside for both backs is tremendous.
CeeDee Lamb: Lamb has been on fire through the first two weeks of the fantasy playoffs. He has put together lines of 7-126 and 10-120-2 and rewarded his fantasy GMs tremendously. Ranking as the WR6 on the full season and WR2 in the fantasy playoffs so far, Lamb will be locked into starting lineups on Thursday night.
Michael Gallup: Gallup has been hit-or-miss over the past few weeks. He has two games of at least 13.6 fantasy points, but two games with under 6.0 fantasy points, including a lone two-yard reception game against the Jags. In order to have a fantasy relevant game against the Titans in a run-heavy game script, he will need to score a touchdown, making him a boom-or-bust WR3/4 option.
Dalton Schultz: When Prescott came back from injury, Schultz was on fire. He put together a string of very nice fantasy games. Unfortunately, over the past two weeks that has not been the case. He has posted 2-15 and 3-43 lines through the two fantasy playoffs weeks and has been sliding down the TE rankings. The trick is that the TE landscape this year is historically bad, so fantasy GMs will likely need to rely on him in order to secure a fantasy championship.
The Cowboys DST has a direct path to finish as the DST1 this in championship week. The Cowboys are 12-point road favorites and the Titans have absolutely no threats on their offense. They rank as the second-best fantasy defense this year and if they get ahead early, they will feast on the Titans’ rookie QB.