2025 Week 11 TNF Fantasy Football Preview : NYJ @ NE

​

  • By Jon Mosales

    Last Updated on November 13, 2025 10:28 am by Jon Mosales | Published: November 13, 2025

    TNF – New York Jets @ New England Patriots

    Point spread: NYJ +14.5 | NE -14.5

    Moneyline: NYJ +600 | NE -1000

    Total: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5

    Make sure to get the draft guide all our positional rankings, game reviews and waiver wire recommendations.

    Get the SportsEthos NFL FantasyPass!

    Overview:

    The NFL has done a great job scheduling solid TNF games over the last two seasons, but this is the exception.  This might be the worst primetime game of the season and it’s hard to get excited about anyone from a fantasy perspective.  The Jets offense started with so much promise, but since then has fallen of a cliff and ranks 26th or worse in EPA per/play, fantasy WR usage, pass rate over expectation and EPA per/pass.  It’s been the worst passing offense in recent memory and it’s a wonder that Justin Fields is still the QB1.  The Jets are a joke, but they also have had four separate games this season where they’ve scored at least 27 points.  The problem is what the Jets do well, run the ball is what the Pats defense is built around.  The NE defense is 2nd in run-stop win-rate and are allowing the least rushing yards in the league while only three TDs.  On the other side, the Pats do everything well on offense this season and the Jets just traded their best two defensive players.  It wouldn’t shock me if the Pats score on nearly every possession in this game.  Drake Maye is a top-three play this week and the running game should be explosive behind rookie RB TreVeyon Henderson who finally looks to be a must-start player.

    Quarterbacks:

    The only question for the Jets is do you start Justin Fields in Super Flex leagues?  He’s accounted for two total TDs in the last four games and hasn’t run more than 35 yards since Week 4.  Fields can attack the Pats defense through the air in theory, but with no Garrett Wilson, who do they even throw to.  Fields really isn’t on the radar because even with his rushing, his fantasy floor is so bad that he’s the QB30 in two of the last four games.  This shapes up as plenty of garbage time, but I don’t trust the NYJ offense to move to ball, let alone score.  Drake Maye is essentially must-start unless you have Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen.  He’s been outside the top-10 in b2b weeks, but the Jets defense is so depleted that it will a miracle if they actually show up.  Maye has at least seven rushing attempts in each of the last five games, so all he needs is to break one loose vs. a defense allowing top-10 fantasy points to QBs.  The biggest fear to Maye’s fantasy week is that he lights up the Jets too quickly and eases off the gas in the second-half.

    • Running Backs:

    TreVeyon Henderson is finally paying dividends and hopefully it’s not too late.  Rhamondre Stevenson is out, so Henderson has a great chance to follow up his RB4 finish last week. The Pats will move the ball at will and should live in red zone.  I would be shocked if Henderson doesn’t break one either on a rush or a reception.  He only had one target last week, but that should even out closer to the six he had before.  The Jets are middle-of-the-pack in allowing fantasy points to RBs, with trading Quennin Williams puts a massive hole in their ability to stop the run.  The Jets still have Breece Hall and you could argue they only have Breece Hall with Garrett Wilson out.  Hall has b2b top-seven finishes, but now goes against the best rush defense in the league.  He also only saw one target last week, but should see more as the Jets will be down and don’t have any credible WRs to throw to.  Hall is still a must-play, but it’s a matchup nightmare unless he gets plenty of checkdowns in garbage time.

     

    Wide Receivers: 


    Want to get access to Jon’s articles? You’ll need to have a SportsEthos NFL FantasyPass membership. Click here to learn more and sign up!  

    November 13, 2025, 10:28 am