Weekly Pitching Guide – Mar 30 – Apr 5

  • By Anthony Kates

    Last Updated on March 30, 2026 5:52 am by Anthony Kates | Published: March 30, 2026

    Every Monday this season, I will share my pitching guide for that week. It will include a table of the projected 2-start starting pitchers and their opponents, with my recommendations on starts and sits (including for weekly rosters), plus my recommended pitching streams for the week.

    WordPress Data Table Plugin

    For my recommended pitching streams, I will only suggest pitchers who are rostered in fewer than 50% of Yahoo leagues. All starts are projected, but are subject to change due to injury, a team deciding to have a bullpen day, expand to a six-man rotation, etc.

    Monday, Mar 30

    Cody Ponce – TOR – vs COL – 42% rostered

    We are going to pick on the Rockies on the road this year. Last year, they had the lowest road wRC+ in the league, 63, 12 points lower than the Pirates. The year before that, they had the second lowest, 77, just four points better than the White Sox. They played their first series of the season on the road against the Marlins and the results, well, were to be expected: seven runs scored, one home run, 30:5 K:BB, .531 OPS. Rockies players are statistically worse on the road than at home.

    Ponce gets to make his first big league start since 2021 in a pretty cozy situation: at home for the 3-0 Blue Jays against one of the worst offenses in the league. He was one of the best pitchers in the Korean professional league last year, striking out 252 batters over 180.2 innings, walking just 41, allowing 10 home runs and only 38 earned runs. He had a decent spring, with 12 strikeouts and four walks over 13.2 innings, with just seven hits and one earned run allowed. He did have some serious small sample luck, though, with a .206 BABIP and a 90.9% strand rate, but he limited quality hits (just one barrel in 34 events) and fly balls (23.5%). There’s not many softer starts than the Rockies on the road.

    Tuesday, Mar 31

    Max Scherzer – TOR – vs COL – 12%

    Rinse and repeat what I said about the Rockies above. I mean it when I say we are going to beat up on them on the road. The only arms we will not stream against them are truly terrible starters.

    Scherzer isn’t the elite arm he once was, but he is still a worthwhile starter to stream against bad offenses. Last year, he threw 85 innings and struck out nearly a batter per inning, with a decent walk rate (6.4%), but a less than ideal home run rate (2.01 HR/9). His barrel rate spiked (12.4%), though he kept his hard hit rate under 39% for the 11th consecutive season, but more than half of his in play balls were fly balls (54.2%). Scherzer still has the ability to turn back the clock and produce some great stats, so facing an offense as bad as the Rockies could producea really solid outing.


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    March 30, 2026, 5:52 am