Early Week Streamers for July 7th – July 10th

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  • By Anthony Kates

    Last Updated on July 6, 2025 7:45 am by Anthony Kates | Published: July 6, 2025

    This year, we’ve decided to do two streaming articles a week for our premium subscribers. The podcast only provides one day of streamers at a time (a day ahead), whereas the streamer articles will provide three and four day streaming outlooks, giving you a leg up on those non-premium Sports Ethos members (and those in your league who don’t use Sports Ethos at all…even though they should).

    The articles will come out every Sunday and every Thursday. As I will be producing Sunday’s article, at the time it is published, it will have the most up-to-date information for Monday through Wednesday’s pitching schedules and streams. If there are any changes, the article will be updated to reflect that, so check back daily. On Monday night, I’ll update Wednesdays streamers, as I have more information and less TBD spots on the schedule. On Tuesday night, I will update and post any streams for Thursday, as there will be more information available for the few Thursday games we will have and there should be no TBD spots on the schedule for that day.

    You will notice that I have very few single digit percentage rostered players during the early part of the week and that’s because I do not want to assume a ton of risk early in the week. There is zero reason to be desperate before Friday, at the earliest, so there is zero reason to take on any kind of high risk stream. But, if you DO want to have risk on a daily basis with your streams, I will highlight the low-rostered and/or high risk streams that might have a modicum of upside, but I wouldn’t personally start, after I’ve discussed the streams I do recommend.

    **All stats for Monday and Tuesday streamers are through Friday’s games, Wednesday’s and Thursday’s are through Monday’s games.**

    Monday – July 7th – Probable Starters

    Landen Roupp – SFG – vs PHI

    Since June 1, Roupp has made six starts. He has allowed just 11 earned runs over 29.1 innings, though six of those earned runs came in a very bad start against the Dodgers. He walked 18 over those six starts and five of those came against the Dodgers. He allowed just two home runs (one against the Dodgers) and struck out 22. He had a BABIP right around league average, .295, but definitely had some luck stranding runners, with a 79.2% strand rate. He was hit pretty hard, with a 10% barrel rate and a 43.4% hard-hit rate, though only two teams had a barrel rate of 10% or higher and three teams had a hard hit rate of 33.3% or lower (the other three were 50% or higher, to be fair). Roupp has allowed more ground balls than fly balls though, with a 79.2% contact rate, 27.7% chase rate and an 8.5% swinging strike rate.

    He is facing a Phillies team that has a road offense that is not performing like a division leading squad when facing right handed pitching over the past month. They have a 71 wRC+, a .272 wOBA and a .620 OPS, all the fifth lowest in the league, with a .149 ISO, 14th lowest, and a 24.5% strikeout rate, ninth highest. They hit more ground balls than fly balls, have a line drive rate under 18%, with a middle of the pack hard hit rate, but the third lowest soft hit rate in the league. They have the 18th most plate appearances against a RHP over the past month, with the 19th most home runs, 10, tied with the Giants, 25th most runs, 31, tied with the White Sox, with five stolen bases.

    Roupp is more of a ground ball pitcher than a fly ball guy, has limited run scoring opportunities as of late and has kept the ball in the ballpark, all of which should play well against the Phillies. Though a struggling top level offense could snap out of its funk at any time, I think Roupp will be able to keep them in check for at least five innings and walk away with an opportunity for the win.

    Noah Cameron – KCR – vs PIT

    Other than running into the Dodgers and the Yankees in his last five starts, Cameron has performed very well. Against the Dodgers and the Yankees, he threw a combined 9.2 innings, allowing 11 earned runs, four home runs and four walks, though he did strike out ten. In his other three starts (Mariners, Padres, Athletics) he threw 15 innings, allowed two earned runs, no home runs, five walks and struck out 14. He has limited batters to more ground balls than fly balls, with just a 12.7% line drive rate, which is absolutely elite. His 8.5% barrel rate combined with a 39.4% hard-hit rate is right around league average, but would look a lot better if the Dodgers and Yankees hadn’t hit him around as much as they did. He has an average at best fastball that he supports with an above average curve, a plus-slider and a decent cutter, though he has just a 10.1% swinging strike rate and a 24.1% chase rate, so his 8.76 K/9 might not be maintained throughout the entire season.

    The Pirates have been a well below average team when facing left-handed pitching over the past month. They have an 87 wRC+, a .298 wOBA and a .681 OPS, all 11th lowest in the league, with a .139 ISO, 13th lowest, and the seventh highest strikeout rate, 23.9%, tied with the Twins. They have the second highest ground ball rate and the lowest fly ball rate, to go along with a middle of the pack hard-hit rate and the 10th highest soft hit rate. This has resulted in just six home runs against lefties over the past month, the 10th fewest, and 27 runs, the 12th fewest and tied with the Reds, from the eighth fewest plate appearances, tied with the Rangers. They have the seventh fewest extra base hits and have ground into five double plays, 14th most in the league and tied with the Royals.

    This is the kind of team that Cameron has found success against, a below average offense that doesn’t hit a lot of fly balls, struggles to score runs and doesn’t hit for a ton of power. The Royals are the better team and Cameron has proven that he can will succeed against bad offenses, which he should do again here.

    High-risk: Sean Burke vs Blue Jays, Austin Gomber @ Red Sox, Janson Junk @ Reds, Brady Singer vs Marlins, Richard Fitts vs Rockies

    Tuesday – July 8th – Probable Starters

    Brayan Bello – BOS – vs COL

    Bello has been pitching fairly well as of late, breaking a five start quality start streak in his most recent game, when he left after just five innings. Over these last six starts, he has thrown 36.1 innings, walked 11, allowed 12 earned runs and three home runs, while striking out 26. His strikeout rate is right around where his season long rate has been, but his walks and home runs are down, while his ground ball rate is up to 58.3%. He has had some batted ball luck, with a .248 BABIP, but only a little luck on the base paths, with a 72.9% strand rate. He has some very solid statcast data, with just a 5.6% barrel rate, 34.3% hard hit rate and an 86.8 MPH avgEV. Because he has such a high ground ball rate, he has been able to limit line drives to just a 10.2% rate, which is absolutely elite, and fly balls to just 31.5%. He does have a rather high contact rate, at 83.8%, with an in-zone contact rate of 92.5%, but I think some of that comes from a low swinging strike rate, 7.3%, a high first pitch strike rate, 63.8%, and the fact that he throws 53.1% of his pitches inside the strike zone.

    He’s facing a Rockies team that has fared much better on the road over the last month than they had earlier in the season. Their 107 wRC+ is the 11th highest in the league. They have a .326 wOBA and a .747 OPS, both also the 11th highest, and a .199 ISO, the third highest in the league. On the downside, they have the worst strikeout rate, at 33.7%, and the fourth worst walk rate. 6.7%, tied with the Twins. They have hit exactly the same amount of ground balls as fly balls, they have the second highest HR/FB rate, with the third highest hard hit rate, tied with the White Sox, and the eighth lowest soft hit rate, tied with the Cubs. Though they have the third fewest plate appearances against a righty on the road over the past month, they have hit 13 home runs, tied for the ninth most, with four other teams, and they’ve scored 26 runs, tied for the 23rd most, with the Dodgers. They have the 10th most extra base hits, have hit into six double plays and have stolen just five bases.

    Even with how well their offense has performed overall, I think Bello is a solid stream. Over this month time span, only four of their hitters have a wRC+ over 100 and only two others even have one over 90 (that drops to three and zero, respectively, over the past two weeks, by the way), only four hitters have a strikeout rate under 24% and only three have a walk rate over 7%. I’m not saying Bello is going to have a dominant outing,  but I do think it will be his ninth straight appearance allowing three earned runs or less and his fifth win of the season.

    Brandon Walter – HOU – vs CLE

    Walter has made six starts so far this season and has allowed more than two earned runs in only two of those starts – at the Angels and in Coors. Against the Cubs, Twins, Rays and Guardians, he allowed just four earned runs over 23.2 innings, with one walk, 24 strikeouts and three home runs. He has around a league average BABIP, though he’s had some strand rate luck (77.4%), but he has been a big ground ball guy, with a 51.9% ground ball rate. He has allowed just a 5.6% barrel rate and a 39.3% hard-hit rate, with a 78.7% contact rate, which is spurred on by a 65.5% first pitch strike rate and a 56.8% zone rate. He throws in the low 90’s, with a fastball that averages around 92 MPH, but he has amazing control and two solid breaking pitches to lean on.

    The Guardians have had one of the worst offenses against left-handed pitching over the past month, with their 79 wRC+ the fourth lowest, tied with the Cardinals. Their wOBA and OPS are bother the fourth lowest as well, though their ISO is 7th, .119, tied with the Orioles, and their strikeout rate is 13th, 22.7%. They hit more fly balls than ground balls, but have the second lowest hard hit rate and the eighth highest soft hit rate, which has led to just nine home runs over the past month against lefties (tied with the Yankees for 11th; they have 89 less plate appearances), even though they have the most plate appearances in the league. They’ve scored 32 runs, tied for ninth most with four other teams, and have ground into the most double plays and stolen the most bases.

    This is exactly the kind of offense that Walter can excel against and has already once this year, so a repeat of that line (6IP, 6H, 2ER, 1HR, 5K) would not be surprising.

    Jose Soriano – LAA – vs TEX

    Soriano has been wonderful over his last five starts, outside of one tough outing against the Nationals. He has four quality starts and two wins over 31.2 innings, with 10 earned runs, one home run and 10 walks, striking out 39. Eight of the ten runs were allowed in the game against the Nationals, so he was absolutely dominant in the other four starts (27.2 IP, 2ER, 8BB, 35K). He has an insane 65.8% ground ball rate, with some crazy statcast data: a 94.5 MPH avgEV, 7.8% barrel rate and 57.1% hard-hit rate, but a ridiculous -3.3 degree launch angle. So the ball is getting absolutely smoked, but right into the dirt more often than not. His 18.4% fly ball rate is one of the lowest in the league and his 15.8% line drive rate is elite. He has allowed just a 68.1% contact rate, while getting batters to chase 34.2% of the time and swing and miss 15.3% of the time. He is performing like an elite arm and has been great against some of the best teams in the league, allowing just one run and striking out 16 over 13.2 innings against the Astros and Yankees in back to back starts.

    He is facing a Rangers squad that has struggled against righties on the road over the last three weeks, with a 98 wRC+, right in the middle of the league. Their .309 wOBA is 15th worst, as is their .704 OPS, their .142 ISO is 11th lowest, but their 17.5% strikeout rate is the third best in the league. They have the fourth highest line drive rate and hit more fly balls than ground balls, with a middle of the pack hard hit rate and the lowest soft hit rate in the league. They have the sixth fewest plate appearances against righties on the road over the last three weeks, but have hit six home runs, the 11th fewest and tied with the Twins, while scoring 27 runs, the 10th fewest and tied with the Phillies. They have the eighth fewest extra base hits, have hit into four double plays and lead the league in stolen bases.

    The Rangers have not been performing well over these last three weeks, as they’ve struggled to get on base and to drive the ball, something that Soriano has excelled at keeping teams from doing. He may not average his 11 K/9 against the Rangers, but I think that Soriano will be able to keep the ball on the ground and in the stadium and produce a very nice line, with a strong possibility at grabbing his 11th quality start of the season.

    High-risk: Brandon Young vs Mets, Aaron Civale vs Blue Jays, Nick Martinez vs Marlins, Kyle Freeland @ Red Sox, Dietrich Enns vs Rays, Semien Woods-Richardson vs Cubs, Mick Abel @ Giants, Andre Pallante vs Nationals, Trevor Williams @ Cardinals, Jeffrey Springs vs Braves


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    July 6, 2025, 7:45 am