Early Week Streamers for Apr 20th – Apr 24th

  • This year, we’ve decided to do two streaming articles a week for our premium subscribers. The podcast only provides one day of streamers at a time (a day ahead), whereas the streamer articles will provide three and four day streaming outlooks, giving you a leg up on those non-premium Sports Ethos members (and those in your league who don’t use Sports Ethos at all…even though they should).

    The articles will come out every Sunday and every Thursday. As I will be producing Sunday’s article, at the time it is published, it will have the most up-to-date information for Monday through Wednesday’s pitching schedules and streams. If there are any changes, the article will be updated to reflect that, so check back daily. On Monday night, I’ll update Wednesdays streamers, as I have more information and less TBD spots on the schedule. On Tuesday night, I will update and post any streams for Thursday, as there will be more information available for the few Thursday games we will have and there should be no TBD spots on the schedule for that day.

    You will notice that I have very few single digit percentage rostered players during the early part of the week and that’s because I do not want to assume a ton of risk early in the week. There is zero reason to be desperate before Friday, at the earliest, so there is zero reason to take on any kind of high risk stream. But, if you DO want to have risk on a daily basis with your streams, I will highlight the low-rostered and/or high risk streams that might have a modicum of upside, but I wouldn’t personally start, after I’ve discussed the streams I do recommend.

    **All stats for Monday and Tuesday streamers are through Friday’s games, Wednesday’s and Thursday’s are through Monday’s games.**

    Monday – April 21st – Probable Starters

    Walker Buehler – SP – BOS – vs White Sox – 50% (Yahoo)

    It’s going to feel like I am picking on the White Sox in this article…and I am. Three of the four days we are streaming against the White Sox. The only reason we don’t have all four days listed is because they face Bailey Ober on Tuesday and he is universally owned.

    The White Sox are bad against RHP, with a 68 wRC+, .261 wOBA, .575 OPS and the second least amount of runs scored (even though they have the 22nd most PA against RHP). Universally. Bad.

    Buehler, on the other hand, has been better his last two starts than he was in his first two. Facing the Blue Jays and the Rays in his last two starts, he’s struck out 10 over 11.1 innings, allowing one home run, walking four and allowing only three earned runs (less total earned runs than he allowed in either of his first starts). The three walks were a little uncharacteristic for a guy with a career 2.39 BB/9, but limiting the two teams to just one home run was the highlight of the two starts. He’s not going to get back to his strikeout per inning days, but somewhere between a 7.5 and 8 K/9 isn’t too terrible, especially since he limits walks, keeps the ball on the ground and limits hard-hits (his barrel rate is unwieldy this year, at 10.9%, but he had never had a rate over 6.9% in his career, so I do think that will come down to a more comfortable number).

    At the beginning of the week I like safe streams and Buehler at home against one of the worst offenses in baseball is pretty damn safe to me.

    Max Meyer – SP – MIA – vs Reds – 47%

    The Reds are not as bad as the White Sox against RHP, but they’re also not good, with an 84 wRC+, .299 wOBA, .667 OPS and just a 7.8% walk rate (seventh lowest in the league). They hit more ground balls than fly balls, have a line drive rate under 20% (18%) and have the lowest hard hit rate in the league (22%).

    Meyer is one out away in his first start of the season from throwing four consecutive quality stats to kick off his 2025, so he’ll have to settle for three straight as we speak. He has struck out 27 over 24 innings, with seven walks and three home runs. He has a 58.1% ground ball rate, a 30.6% fly ball rate and just an 11.3% line drive rate. His 31.8% chase rate, 72.7% contact rate, 13.2% swinging strike rate, 10.13 K/9 and 2.63 BB/9 all constitute MLB career bests. The Marlins have a spotty record with developing pitchers, but when they hit, they HIT (think Pablo Lopez, Sandy Alcantara, Eury Perez). I think Meyer is a hit.

    Clarke Schmidt – SP – NYY – vs Guardians – 57%

    This is less of a stream situation and more of a scoop-and-hold situation. I know he’s rostered in more leagues than our normal streamers, but Schmidt looked like an early season breakout in 2024 before missing three months due to a right lat strain. He had mixed results in his first start of the year, against the Royals, walking two, striking out two and allowing three earned runs, but he missed plenty of time with shoulder tendinitis, so he was likely shaking off some rust.

    The Guardians are MUCH better against RHP than the Royals are, so they will be a stiffer test this time around. I will be looking for Schmidt to attack hitters early and often, limiting contact and getting them to chase pitches out of the zone. He’s mainly been a neutral pitcher when it comes to GB/FB, with a career 1.13 in that area, so I will be looking to see if he can limit fly balls and line drives and induce more ground balls. Also, more sinker, less cutter and shred righties with the breaking stuff.

    If he looks better and strikes out hitters at a near strikeout per inning or better, while limiting fly balls and inducing ground balls, run, don’t walk, to your waiver wire and scoop him up during the game if you can. We will not get a chance to see him rostered this low again if he looks good against the Guardians.

    High-risk: Erick Fedde @ Braves, Randy Vasquez @ Tigers, Tylor Megill vs Phillies, Gavin Williams @ Yankees, Jonathan Cannon @ Red Sox, Quinn Priester @ Giants


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