Decision Matrix: Similar Player Dilemmas, Part 2

  • Previously I’d started to share my thoughts on a Decision Matrix for selecting between two players. I mean it’s a hard but necessary task to predict the superior fantasy performance between the two. That decision tree begins with the idea that Flags Fly Forever.

    I play to win, but winning is hard, so I have to first ask which of the two players will help me win now rather than later. But if I can’t win now, I want to win later. That’s an early question every manager in dynasty or robust keeper leagues needs to answer: What is the window to window?

    Let’s move on to stage two of the decision matrix. Ask first #1a, What’s the difference in likely playing time difference between the two players? We can look at the Real-World Value at this point and ask #1b, which of the two players is likely to help their MLB team win now? To help determine that, I look at Team Makeup. To that end ask #1c, where will each player likely hit in the lineup? Or if a pitcher, do they have a spot now?

    Want to get access to the rest of our players who will be wearing different uniforms come opening day while you get the rest of our MLB Draft Guide? You’ll need to have a FANTASYPASS membership. Click here to learn more and sign up!

    Yes, I believe talent wins out, but sometimes it takes a little while for real-world managers and coaches to assess which players have the most talent at any given point in time and therefore deserve a shot to contribute via a regular role.

    Premium Access Required

Would love your thoughts, please comment.x