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June 3, 2025, 4:13 pm
Last Updated on June 17, 2025 1:08 pm by André Lemos | Published: June 3, 2025
The Jets should be considered a cautionary tale into not buying into hype over substance. Nearly everywhere you went, people were talking them up as being a complete team who could and would dominate on both sides of the ball. Spoiler alert, that did not happen. The Jets finished 5-12, fired just about everyone and are trying to reboot on the fly to try and salvage what was supposed to be an explosive roster. The crazy part is that if you have told me that the Jets would get healthy seasons from Aaron Rodgers, Garrett Wilson and (mostly) Breece Hall while trading for Davante Adams, I would have nearly guaranteed they would have been close to a .500 team. When it goes bad, it goes bad fast. The offense struggled to find balance, finishing 29th with a 39/61 rush/pass % while scoring only 19.9 PPG (25th). The revamped o-line didn’t really improve which killed the run game in it’s cradle and forced the Jets to spend another first round pick on Missouri OL Armand Membou.
Looking forward, the team has lost Rodgers and Adams and replaced them with Justin Fields and Josh Reynolds. It doesn’t scream upgrade., but football isn’t always linear, less can be more. As controversial as Rodgers was last season, he still finished with 28 TDs and nearly 4000 yards, numbers that Fields has never approached in his career. When projecting the Jets season forward, it’s easy to imagine a replica model of what the Steelers did last season with Fields under center. A run-heavy approach that doesn’t attack the entire field and settles for field goals and stalled drives. This might be good for Hall, who finished as the (RB16) despite going top-three in almost every draft. Hall had a nightmare season as he managed to play 17 games but was only over 100 rushing yards once and never carried the ball more than 18 times in one game. This tracks as the Jets were last in the league in runs per game (21.4). It’s scary to predict an even worse offensive season for the Green Machine, but that’s where we are heading. The only good news is that the only real threats on the team remain Hall and Wilson and we might finally see the team funnel the ball in their direction. They’ve got a new coaching tree in place with Aaron Glenn as the HC, Steve Wilks as the DC, Tanner Engstrand as the OC. The Jets need a fresh perspective and bury last season so deep, it’s ghosts can no longer haunt them.
Player most likely to beat ADP: Breece Hall (ADP 33, RB13)
RB production isn’t as directly tied to QB play as WR is, so Hall could succeed regardless of well Fields is able to perform. While there is a threat that Fields will usurp some of the goal-line work that Hall can’t seem to secure, we have seen rushing QBs actually be beneficial to running games re Ravens, Eagles and Bills. An improved o-line and a rededication to the run game should all work in Hall’s favor and he could be the perfect post-hype sleeper as long as he can stay healthy.
Player most likely to fade based on ADP: Garrett Wilson (ADP 37, WR17)
Wilson has been mostly cursed with terrible QBs and while last year Rodgers was at least competent, it wasn’t the breakout season many were predicting. This isn’t a bet against Wilson, but Fields and if the team is only getting 160 passing yards a game, that means Wilson needs about half of it. He will get the targets, but he will have to dominate after the catch and expect his yards-per-catch to crater from 11 and his top-seven red zone targets to also plummet from 23 a season ago.
Late-round Flier that could blow up: Braelon Allen (ADp 154, RB55)
Braelon Allen is a must-draft if you also take Hall because the handcuff lesson was never more apparent than last year with CMC and Jordan Mason. Allen doesn’t really have standalone upside as Hall is a dual-threat back, but the Jets are going to run the ball and we haven’t really seen Hall play a full healthy season. This will be a stash pick, but we saw enough flashes to at least be intrigued.
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