DOUG REID (@Doug_Reid34)
USC at Notre Dame, 7:30pm EST
– Notre Dame -2.5 (-112), 1.12 units (Fan Duel)
Notre Dame had their playoff hopes dashed last week when they lost 33-20 at Louisville. it’s because of that loss this line is so low as I believe the market has written off the Fighting Irish. USC has the countries number one scoring offence however, they are 80th on points allowed, giving up 27.0 points per game. Notre Dame’s defence is 15th, allowing just 15.9 points per game so they have the ability to put up more resistance and they should be able to move the ball behind quarterback Sam Hartman against this porous USC defence. I thIrish atink this game will be close, with plenty of points but I’m taking the Irish at home laying under a field goal.
ULCA at Oregon State, 8:00 pm EST
– Total Under 54.5 (-115), 1.15 units (Fan Duel)
UCLA’s defence has been elite this season which is why I’m on the Under. They are eighth in the nation in points scored against, allowing just 12.2 points against per game, and even if you remove their one game against North Carolina Central that number only jumps to 13.5, so less than two touchdowns. On the other side UCLA is 62nd in scoring offence at 30.6 points per game, but that number drops to 23.5 against the four D1 opponents, so decent but not great. Needless to say their strength is on the defensive side of the ball and they showed last week against a very good Washington State offence, when they allowed just seventeen points. Currently 55% of the bets are on the Over while 54% on the money being agreed is on the Under. This means that public money is on the Over while the larger pro money is leaning towards the Under. Add that all up and I’m on the side of the pros with the Under, but shop around for the 54.5 as many books have it at a flat 45.