This year, we’ve decided to do two streaming articles a week for our premium subscribers. The podcast only provides one day of streamers at a time (a day ahead), whereas the streamer articles will provide three and four day streaming outlooks, giving you a leg up on those non-premium Sports Ethos members (and those in your league who don’t use Sports Ethos at all…even though they should).

The articles will come out every Sunday and every Thursday. As I will be producing Sunday’s article, at the time it is published, it will have the most up-to-date information for Monday through Wednesday’s pitching schedules and streams. If there are any changes, the article will be updated to reflect that, so check back daily. On Monday night, I’ll update Wednesdays streamers, as I have more information and less TBD spots on the schedule. On Tuesday night, I will update and post any streams for Thursday, as there will be more information available for the few Thursday games we will have and there should be no TBD spots on the schedule for that day.

You will notice that I have very few single digit percentage rostered players during the early part of the week and that’s because I do not want to assume a ton of risk early in the week. There is zero reason to be desperate before Friday, at the earliest, so there is zero reason to take on any kind of high risk stream. But, if you DO want to have risk on a daily basis with your streams, I will highlight the low-rostered and/or high risk streams that might have a modicum of upside, but I wouldn’t personally start, after I’ve discussed the streams I do recommend.

**All stats for Monday and Tuesday streamers are through Friday’s games, Wednesday’s and Thursday’s are through Monday’s games.**

Monday – April 14th – Probable Starters

Grant Holmes – SP – ATL – @ Blue Jays – 26% (Yahoo)

I’ve said it before and will say it again: the Blue Jays are two different offenses, depending on the handedness of the pitcher. Against lefties, they have a 141 wRC+, third highest in baseball.

Against RHP? They drop all the way down to an 87 wRC+ and ninth lowest in the league. They have the tied-for third lowest walk rate (7%), but also have the fifth lowest strikeout rate (18.8%), against RHP, with the seventh lowest OPS (.632). They have the fourth lowest hard-hit rate, tied-for second lowest fly-ball rate and the seventh worst GB/FB ratio (1.37), yet they also have the highest line drive rate in the league (line drives lead extra base hits and runs). They have the tenth most PA against RHP, but the least amount of home runs (three) and tenth lowest amount of runs scored (38).

Holmes has looked like two different pitchers so far this season, though both have struggled with walks. In his first start, he faced the Dodgers, walked four, allowed a home run and four earned runs. In his second start, he faced the Phillies, once again walked four, but allowed no home runs and no earned runs, while striking out six (notably, he only pitched four innings in both outings). Grant had pretty good walk numbers at all levels, so his struggles with walks are a little concerning, but not worrying. He has essentially the same strike rate (48% zone) as he did last year, he’s just getting less chases and less swinging strikes. I think some of that stems from less first pitch strikes (64.9% last year to 48.8% this year) and some of that stems from facing two of the best teams in all of baseball, both of whom are among the top three teams who walk the most against RHP. I am as high on Holmes as the Braves are, so I will definitely start him against the Jays.

Better days are on the horizon and they should start with a trip to Canada.

Taijuan Walker – SP – PHI – vs Giants – 11%

Before Walker’s first start against Colorado, I told you to stash and hold him and he rewarded those who stashed and started him, with a six inning shutout of the Rockies, striking out four. In his follow up start, against the Braves, he didn’t make it out of the fifth inning, but that was due to some strike throwing issues and not a runs problem, as he again allowed zero runs, but walked three and allowed five hits of four and two-thirds innings.

So, the good with Taijuan: barrel and hard-hit rates are really good (6.9% and 31%, respectively). He has a 1.30 GB/FB ratio, his contact rate is down to 77.6%, his swinging strike rate is up to 8.9% (not elite, but much better than the 6.7% mark of 2024) and his first-pitch strike rate is way up at 68.2%. First-pitch strikes will be key for Taijuan, who has allowed a .585 OPS in at-bats he starts with a strike over his career.

The Giants do have a wRC+ of 110, which is 11th best, to go along with the 11th best wOBA, OPS and walk rate, though they also have the 7th highest strikeout rate (24.2%). They do hit more fly balls than ground balls, but have the sixth lowest hard-hit rate. They are tied with seven teams for the sixth most home runs against RHP, with 12, though they have cooled off a bit over the last week or so.

This is a prove-it stream for me. If Walker can handle a team that hits righties pretty well and get through five innings without giving up more than two runs, then we will have to consider lengthening the leeway we give him for starts.

High-risk: Jameson Taillon @ Padres, Antonio Senzatela @ Dodgers, Carlos Carrasco vs Royals, Taijuan Walker vs Giants, Landen Roupp @ Phillies, Brad Lord @ Pirates, Tyler Alexander vs Tigers

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