This year, we’ve decided to do two streaming articles a week for our premium users. The podcast only provides one day of streamers at a time (a day ahead), whereas the streamer articles will provide three and four day streaming outlooks, giving you a leg up and a heads up on those non-premium Sports Ethos members (and those in your league who don’t use Sports Ethos at all…even though they should).

The articles will come out every Sunday and every Thursday. As I will be producing Sunday’s article, at the time it is published, it will have the most up-to-date information for Monday through Wednesday’s pitching schedules and streams. If there are any changes, the article will be updated to reflect that, so check back daily. On Monday night, I’ll update Wednesdays streamers, as I have more information and less TBD spots on the schedule. On Tuesday night, I will update and post any streams for Thursday, as there will be more information available for the few Thursday games we will have and there should be no TBD spots on the schedule for that day.

You will notice that I have very few single digit percentage rostered players during the early part of the week and that’s because I do not want to assume a ton of risk early in the week. There is zero reason to be desperate before Friday, at the earliest, so there is zero reason to take on any kind of high risk stream. But, if you DO want to have risk on a daily basis with your streams, I will highlight the low-rostered and/or high risk streams that might have a modicum of upside, but I wouldn’t personally start, after I’ve discussed the streams I do recommend.

**All stats for Monday and Tuesday streamers are through Friday’s games, Wednesday’s and Thursday’s are through Monday’s games.**

Monday – April 7th – Probable Starters

Dustin May – SP – LAD – @ Nationals – 49% (Yahoo)

The Nationals have fared well against RHP so far this season, with a 110 wRC+ (12th best) and 10 home runs (4th best), with the tied-fifth lowest amount of plate appearances against righties. But they also have the fourth worst strikeout rate (27.4%), tied-seventh lowest walk rate (6.9%), the third worst GB:FB (1.71) and the second highest HR/FB (29.4%). That home runs rate is nearly double the Yankees league leading HR/FB against RHP in 2024, so ultimately unsustainable.

May looked pretty good in his first start against the Braves, striking out six over five innings, walking three and allowing no runs. He generated a ton of whiffs (35.5%) and ground balls (66.7%), though he did struggle with allowing hard-hit balls far too often (55.6% hard-hit rate, 91.9 MPH avgEV). The Nationals are home run dependent when it comes to scoring runs against RHP (10 home runs, 21 runs), so if you can limit their long balls you can limit their ability to score runs. I think May will be able to limit base runners, get plenty of swing-and-miss and, because he is backed by the Dodgers offense, will most likely put himself in line for the win.

Matthew Liberatore – SP – STL – @ Pirates – 2%

Extremely small sample size and all, but the Pirates have been dreadful against left-handed pitching (and they had the 10th lowest wRC+ against lefties in 2024). They have a 49 wRC+, 34.1% strikeout rate (2nd highest), 6.8% walk rate (7th lowest), .500 OPS, 1.44 GB:FB ratio and a 32% soft hit rate, highest in baseball.

Liberatore isn’t a great starting pitcher, he’s probably a #4 in a five-man rotation at best, but he looked pretty good in his opening start of the year. He held the Angels to three runs on six hits, walking zero and striking out four. His day would have been much better if he had better strand luck (50% LOB) and batted-ball luck (.333 BABIP, league average is around .300). What he does do well is limit hard-hits (27.8% HH rate), induce ground balls (50%) and limit quality of contact (5.6% barrel rate). The Pirates hit tons of ground balls, don’t drive the ball well and rarely walk, which is the perfect recipe for Liberatore to perform well.

High-risk: Michael Lorenzen vs MIN; Hayden Wesneski @ SEA; Simeon Woods-Richardson @ KCR

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