September 1, 2020, 11:25 am
DFS Delivery: Tuesday September 1st, 2020
By Steven Williams (twitter: @ZeroStarkThirty)
Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors
(Note: DraftKings pricing)
Jaylen Brown ($7,300 DK)
Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum have similar FPPM (fantasy point per minute) production vs the Raptors in their five matchups so far this season. Because of that I prefer Brown at $1900 cheaper. Brown did not shoot well in game 1, he went 6-18 from the field. Foul trouble combined with the semi-blowout nature of this game limited Brown to 31 minutes. Brown has significant room to improve for game 2.
Daniel Theis ($5,200 DK)
Theis pulled down 15 rebounds in game 1, I do not expect that to happen again, but I do expect Theis to play a few more minutes as early foul trouble limited his minutes. Theis is the Celtics only starting caliber big and they will need him. I don’t expect another blowout.
Robert Williams ($3,300 DK)
Enes Kanter was a DNP-CD in game 1. Kanter is a bad match up for this Raptors team and Stevens has already showed us that he is not obligated to give Kanter minutes. Williams makes for a good punt option if you need someone cheap to fill out your lineups.
Kyle Lowry ($7,700 DK)
Lowry is priced at $100 below his back-court mate Fred Vanvleet. Lowry has higher DK point averages against the Celtics. We will have to see if we get any word on the matchups, but if Kemba is guarding Lowry again I like him at $7,700 as a pivot play against the highly-owned guards from the 2nd game.
Serge Ibaka ($6,200 DK)
Marc Gasol was bad in game 1. Look for Nurse to make some adjustments and go to the more agile Ibaka for more minutes in game 2.
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
Donovan Mitchell ($9,900 DK)
Mitchell has been amazing in this series against the Nuggets. He usage is all the way up to 37% on the playoffs. He will be the focal point of the Jazz offense and he will get his shots. Gary Harris came back for Game 6 and was not able to do anything to slow Mitchell down.
Rudy Gobert ($7,900 DK)
The Jazz have been getting killed in the non-Gobert minutes. His backups can not play significant minutes in a game 7. Gobert has been falling just short of value but I see no real reason for this. If he plays 40+ minutes he is capable of smashing value at $7,900.
Joe Ingles ($5,300 DK)
Ingles seems like the kind of guy that would not shy away from a game 5. I think the Jazz will keep their line up as short as possible. Ingles should have all the minutes he can handle.
Mike Conley ($6,800 DK)
Conley has averaged 38 DK points in 5 matchups vs the Nuggets this season. He should be matched up with Jamal Murray, who is not even a good defender when he not carrying such a massive offensive load. Look for Conley to be aggressive and go at Murray early and often.
Jamal Murray ($9,700 DK)
No one on the Jazz team is guarding Murray well. He is shooting over 50% from the field vs each of his primary defenders. I’ll bet Murray has been stewing all year of his lackluster game 7 against the Trailblazers last year where he went 4/18 from the field. I won’t have any exposure to this team outside of Murray and a few shares of Nikola Jokic. Can we please get one more Mitchell vs. Murray?