Browns @ Dolphins

Browns(+162) @ Dolphins(-3.5) O/U 48.5

Key storylines/What to Watch

The Browns are fully rested and coming off a huge win against the Bengals on Halloween followed by their Week 9 bye. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are coming off a close win against the Bears, where they let Justin Fields do whatever he wanted. Luckily for the Dolphins, Jacoby Brissett is nowhere near as dynamic as Fields, so their defense should have an easier time. Their run defense has been strong this year, so if they are able to limit Nick Chubb, they should be able to win this game comfortably. 

Top Starts

Tyreek Hill: Hill comes into week 10 as the most-targeted receiver in all of football. Everything Mike McDaniel does runs through him, and he’s performed despite inconsistent quarterback play. Hill already has over 1,100 yards on nearly 80 catches, as he’s averaging 122 yards per game. He is one of the only players in football who has a chance to find the end zone every time he has the ball, and when he’s getting over 11 targets per game, it’s hard to make a case against him being the top fantasy receiver.

Amari Cooper: Cooper’s targets have been there all year, but his catch percentage has improved, and he’s benefited from Jacoby Brissett’s increased willingness to throw downfield. Cooper is averaging 14.2 yards per reception, which is the highest mark since his pro-bowl season in 2019. His production should only increase when Deshaun Watson comes back, but he remains a high-end WR2 until then.

Nick Chubb: Nick Chubb continues to amaze football fans every week as he continues to build his case for being the best running back in the NFL. Chubb is averaging 5.6 yards per carry (.2 yards per carry higher than his career average), but he’s seeing the most attempts per game in his career. Chubb also has increased his touchdown rate, as he already has 10 in just eight games. Chubb can’t be sat in any matchup, as his talent and volume are both some of the best among all NFL running backs.

Boom/Bust Dart-Throw

Jeff Wilson Jr: Despite playing just 49% of offensive snaps in his first game as a Dolphin, Wilson managed 16.2 PPR points. He saw nine carries for 51 yards, adding three catches for 21 yards and a touchdown. The Dolphins don’t trust Raheem Mostert to be their featured back, which was made apparent by their trade for Wilson. Theoretically, Wilson should play more snaps next week as he becomes more comfortable with his new offense, but there’s always the risk that Mostert gets hot and sees the ball more in any given game. Wilson is a good flex option this week, as he should see the ball 15-plus times in a game where the Dolphins could be playing with a lead for the majority of the day. 

David Njoku: Njoku hasn’t played since Week 7, but he was seeing six targets per game before his injury. He is still the great athlete that he was coming out of college, and the Browns were finally starting to use him like that. Only two teams in the NFL allow more fantasy points to opposing tight ends than the Dolphins. Njoku may be limited in his first game back, which is why he has bust potential. If he picks up where he left off, however, he should be treated as a top-12 tight end this week in Miami.

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Texans @ Giants

Texans(+228) @ Giants(-6.5) O/U 40.5

Key storylines/What to Watch

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