The NFL trade deadline was this past Tuesday, and it was an active one compared to years past. See what it all means here, and keep reading for the effects of player movement on this weeks games. Don’t forget to read Larry Vannozzi’s weekly weather report to make sure you’re prepared for last minute alerts about mother nature’s plans in NFL cities across the country. Also, check out Brian Shade’s projection model to help you predict and prepare for this week’s slate of fantasy football!

First, a few housekeeping notes..

Q’s Quick Pick Total Record: 33-39, -12.4u

Week 1: 3-12, -8.96u; Week 2: 6-5, +0.3u; Week 3: 7-7, +0.88u; Week 4: 8-5, +1.6u; Week 5: 5-6, -4.65u; Weeks 6-8: N/A; Week 9: 4-4, -1.57u

Picks: Odds are from DraftKings. Picks are for entertainment purposes only. Check out the Wager Pass for legit gambling talk.

Start Sit Decisions: Start your studs. Otherwise, these are yours and yours alone to make. Hopefully my previews help provide context to assist you in making an informed, matchup winning decision.

Week 10 Positional Rankings: QB’s courtesy of Jacob Dunne, RB’s courtesy of Brandon Furtado, WR’s courtesy of Robert Szolosi, TE’s courtesy of Max Silveira, and DST’s courtesy of Jon Mosales

Bye Weeks: Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Las Vegas Raiders, Seattle Seahawks

Matchup: New York Giants at Carolina Panthers

Location: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 9:30a EST

Q’s Quick Pick: Tyrone Tracy OVER 100+ rushing yards (+200)

The Quarterbacks: (NYG) Daniel Jones is an enigma. He can show so much potential and promise, but them completely flip the script the next week, drive, or play. The Panthers have been bad against QBs all year, and the past four weeks makes no difference, giving up the fifth most points. Jones has the ability to get out of the pocket and scamper for chunk plays on the ground, and the Panthers are no better against the run. If you’re desperate for an option due to byes and injuries, plug your nose and plug Jones in as a streaming option who has top 10 upside even if it doesn’t feel great.. (CAR) Bryce Young looked competent last week, moving the without the handicap of garbage time or a short field. He goes up against a defense allowing the tenth most PPG to QB’s. He hasn’t finished about QB19 in any of his starts this season, and finished above that just three times in his 2023 rookie season (QB9 x2, QB17). He’s a bottom of the barrel option who is ideally left on waivers.

The Running Backs: (NYG) The real beneficiary of the poor run defense should be Tyrone Tracy. Since he got his first start in week 5. He’s been a top 10 back. He would have an even higher ceiling if Devin Singletary wasn’t around, but he’s a reliable veteran who the Giants staff really likes. Both can have value this week, and here’s why: The Panthers have allowed a touchdown (rushing or receiving) to at least one running back in every single game this season, and have also allowed at least one rushing touchdown in all their games (to a RB or QB). The RB2 (in this case, Singletary) has scored in six of nine games against the Panthers, and the same is true for their opponents RB1. Five of nine games saw multiple touchdowns from running backs. Tracy is set to be a top 15 play this week, and Singletary is a decent bet to finish in flex range.. (CAR) Chuba Hubbard continues to be one of the best fantasy values of drafts when it comes to running backs, currently sitting at RB7. After a poor two game start by the offense as a whole, he has double digit points in all but one game, which has helped him climb into the top 5 during that span. He was rewarded earlier this week with a lucrative contract extension to remain in Carolina for the foreseeable future. We continue to anxiously wait news on Jonathon Brooks (knee) making his much anticipated debut. Whenever that happens, Hubbard will begin to take a hit as his rookie counterpart gets up to speed. He’s been consistently ranked as an RB2, but seeing as he’s been a top five producer, he should be ranked more accordingly.

The Wide Receivers: (NYG) Malik Nabers feels like he’s lost a bit of luster from early on in the year, and the fantasy box scores concur. He was the WR2 after a start that felt reminiscent of former LSU turned Giants superstar Odell Beckham, Jr. At the end of the Week 4 battle against Dallas, Nabers suffered a concussion that held him out for two weeks. Since returning in week 7, he’s been the WR30. The same sentiment can be felt with early season PPR darling Wan’Dale Robinson. He was the WR27 through six while providing some consistency with 7.5-13 points. In short, he was a reliable flex option. The past three weeks have seen Darius Slayton (concussion) (WR43) outperform Robinson (WR70). Nabers continues to be a guy you’re starting no matter what. The volume and playmaking ability are too good. Slayton isn’t traveling to Germany, so Robinson gets a small bump and re-enters low end flex consideration if you’re otherwise shorthanded.. (CAR) The time is now for the youngsters in Carolina to make their mark. We have polar opposites in first round pick in Xavier Legette and an undrafted free against in Jalen Coker. Legette has back to back games with a touchdown, four catches, and between 11-12 fantasy points. Coker broke onto the scene in week 8, scoring his first career touchdown and amassing career highs in yards (78) and targets (6).

The Tight Ends: (NYG) Theo Johnson, a rookie 4th round pick, finally made a splash finding the end zone finishing as a top seven guy, sandwiched between elite options Brock Bowers and Trey McBride. Pencil Johnson as a streaming option heading into a game against the defense who give up the most points to the position. Be wary, the volume may not be there with the Giants relying on the run and having two target hog wide outs. Playing a shallow position makes anyone with a good matchup a decent shot in the dark.. (CAR) Fellow rookie Ja’Tavion Sanders also finished inside the top ten last week with his best fantasy performance of season as well. He’s slowly been more involved but, but faces an elite defense when it comes to limiting Tight end production. The Giants defense isn’t world beating by any means, so Sanders still stands a chance to build upon his first game scoring double digit points. The lack of firepower elsewhere in the passing game bodes well, but I’m not sure how much that cancels out other factors. I’d play Johnson over Sanders, but that’s the range we’re talking about.

Matchup: New England Patriots at Chicago Bears

Location: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 1p EST

Q’s Quick Pick: Drake Mye OVER 194.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The Quarterbacks: (NE) Color me shocked, but since week 6 (4 games), Drake Maye is the QB9(!!). NINE. And that’s missing a large portion of a game with a concussion. He’s showing poise as well, biding a lot of time on the final play of last weekend’s game to send it to OT. You know, the one where he evaded multiple pass rushers, bought what felt like 30 seconds, and floated one up to his running back for the game tying score. He’s got some rushing ability built into his skillset, reaching a season high 95 against the Titans. Maye has played a bit better on the road, completing 9% more of his passes and a couple hundred extra yards, but the TD:INT ratio is the same 3:2. The Bears are a feisty defense, but have been a letdown at home. QBs complete 10% more of their passes, seven of the nine passing touchdowns allowed have come at home, and only one of four interceptions have come at Soldier Field. Chicago has been dealing with a few key injuries on defense, so the door is cracked for Maye to be a sneaky start this week.. (CHI) Not only was Caleb Williams the first QB off the board in April’s draft. He’s also first when it comes to inaccurate throws, leading the league with 58. He’s averaging 6.3 yards per attempt, which sits right above Daniel Jones and right below Aaron Rodgers and Gardner Minshew. None of this is how we expected things to go with Williams coming into a seemingly loaded offense. He’s finished as a QB1 just twice, seeing QB6 and QB1 finished in weeks 5 and 6 respectively. I’ll note his week 3 QB13 finish that was 0.1 points away from a top 12 finish. His only other double digit performance (11 points) saw him finish as the QB21. The Patriots defense against QBs is better than advertised, making Williams a non starter this week in 1QB formats.

The Running Backs: (NE) Rhamondre Stevenson now has back to back two touchdown games. However, he did it on 2.82 and 3.6 yards per touch in weeks 8 and 9, scoring 22 and 19.9 points respectively. If we go back to week 7, Stevenson averaged 2.77 yards per touch and didn’t find the end zone. He scored just 3.5 points. This may unfortunately be who he is now, an inefficient touchdown depend player on a bad offense. Stevenson gets most of the opportunities out of the backfield, but there’s not a lot of production to inspire us outside of the most difficult variable to predict: touchdowns. The Bears defense has given up nine rushing touchdowns on the year, with two thirds of that coming in road games. Stevenson is a boom bust back end RB2, high end RB3. Antonio Gibson has 11 total touches over the past three weeks and is off the fantasy radar.. (CHI) New England regularly gets smoked by running backs, and D’Andre Swift has been regularly smoking folks, especially over his last five games. During that span he’s eclipsed 18 points in all but his most recent, which he scored 11. He’s a fringe RB1. With the departure of Khalil Herbert earlier in the week, Roschon Johnson has officially officially won the RB2 job. With the Patriots bleeding points to opposing rushers, Johnson has a decent shot at vultureing a touchdown near the goal line. The unfortunate news is that is probably his only path to fantasy relevance as he has earned less than ten opportunities in every game but one, where he had exactly ten. Risky business.

The Wide Receivers: (NE) DeMario Douglas has been the best of the bunch, but just WR64 on the season. It’ll be tough sledding against a staunch Bears defense. However, Chicago is still dealing with a few key injuries on that side of the ball. Douglas is a dart throw flex play if you’re missing one of the several key players at the position due to byes.. (CHI) Despite all the promise Williams brings to the offense, especially the passing attack, all three of the Bears receivers are in the top ten when it comes to highest rate of inaccurate targets, which aligns with our QB stat above. It’s been a collective struggle for all three players and tough to predict. In the six games all three have played together, Keenan Allen and DJ Moore have led the crew in targets three times each. Rome Odunze hasn’t been the top target earner in any of the six games played, and the second option just once. Allen has never been third in line, and Moore was just once. Despite being involved most consistently, Allen has the least fantasy points. Let’s throw another wrench into the ring:  Odunze leads this team in receiving yards. The Patriots provide an opportunity for someone to take advantage at home, it’s just impossible predict who. All three are some variation of WR3’s, and I’d probably order them Moore, Odunze, and Allen. The touchdowns will likely decide who delivers and who doesn’t. And we haven’t even thrown Cole Kmet into the mix yet (more on him below).

The Tight Ends: (NE) Hunter Henry is surprisingly the TE8 this season in total points, but is just the TE14 in average points per game. It’s been boom or bust with the eight year pro. He’s scored four points or less on four separate occasions. On the flip side, he’s scored double digits three times, so we know the upside exists. He’s one of the better streaming options on a weekly basis because of his ability to emerge as the number one option and just gobble up targets and yards. Just remember, he’s a streamer and not a stud for a reason.. (CHI) Cole Kmet is catching an absurd 90% of his targets and is tied for the most receiving touchdowns (3) on the team. Last week made it very clear his floor is zero, and his current TE10 status is buoyed by two 20+ point performances. Like all the pass catchers in this offense, there’s some risk/reward here with almost no ability to predict which version of Kmet we get until it’s too late to change your lineup.

Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana

Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024 at 1p EST

Q’s Quick Pick: Jonathan Taylor OVER 81.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

The Quarterbacks: (BUF) When you have an elite player and a plus matchup, you know what to do. Start Josh Allen and never second guess it. He’s consistently been a top 5 player at the position. He was the QB5 weeks 1-4 and has been the QB4 over the past four weeks, all of that making him the QB4 on the year. After an up and down start that saw him bounce between 30 point performances and sub 10 point outings, he’s leveled out nicely, scoring over 20 in four straight. Expect nothing less on week 10.. (IND) Joe Flacco will get his second start since being named the starting QB not due to injury. Last week wasn’t pretty, and it’ll be another tough test this week against a Bills defense that has shut quarterbacks down. The Colts don’t seem to have an identity of offense right now, so it’s going to be hard to recommend starting the 39 year old in this spot despite his very recent history of producing at a high level, even at his age.

The Running Backs: (BUF) Folks were worried about James Cook hitting any sort of ceiling with Josh Allen being the goal line back. He has 23 carries inside the RedZone, which is already almost past his 31 carries in the same situations last year. Six of his seven touchdowns this year have come from those high value touches in scoring position, which is a massive upgrade from his one last season. in fact, between 2022-2023, Cook had a total of four rushing touchdowns. His highs have been high, scoring 26 and 28 points at his peak, and the lows, outside of a 5 point dud, have been stable, with two other performances within fractions of a point from hitting ten. The Colts stink, and James Cook doesn’t. Lock him in your lineup weekly.. (IND) It feels like it’s been a quiet year for Jonathan Taylor, probably because of a mid-season injury that caused him to miss 3 games. However, he’s sitting at RB9 when it comes to average PPG. While he was out, the secondary rushing options for the Colts didn’t impress, so there’s really no threat to  Taylor’s workload. That’s great, because the Bills are extraordinarily bad against the run. Fire Taylor up as a top option, like you probably do every single week.

The Wide Receivers: (BUF) Do we even know what’s going on with this receiving group? Khalil Shakir has been the most consistent of the bunch, scoring between 8-16 points in all but one game. Keon Coleman (wrist) has had some trouble finding a weekly role, but has put up some big weeks for us. Then we get to newly acquired Amari Cooper (wrist) who had his best game playing just 16 snaps. With the Colts being a top 12 matchup for receivers to take advantage of, Shakir figures to continue to do what he does, making him a fringe WR2 with some upside and little to no downside especially with Coleman missing at least this weekend, with head coach Sean McDermott hinting that it might be a multi week absence for the rookie. If Cooper ends up playing, which is still up in the air after three limited practices, he should hopefully be able to take advantage as a flex play at least. If not, there may be some larger concerns about Cooper moving forward.. (IND) Michael Pittman (back) won’t play this Sunday. He’s been playing through the issue for the past few weeks at least. That leaves Josh Downs alone at the top of the target pecking order. If we are being honest with ourselves, though, Downs passed Pittman earlier in the year as the guy to have in this passing offense. He’s been startable in five of seven games played and climbing up to the WR25 after missing the first two contests. He should once again be a startable asset, and one that continues to climb the value ladder one peg at a time. Alec Pierce is more of a deep threat that offers little else. He has three games of 14 plus, with two going over 20 points. Otherwise he sits at 5.6 or less, including a zero point week. If you’re the underdog by 15+ this weekend, Pierce is a moonshot flex play who’s paid off one third of the time. He hasn’t had a big game since week 5, so maybe he’s due.

The Tight Ends: (BUF) So, do we have to continue starting Dalton Kincaid every week? I mean, he’s only scored more than ten points twice, which is on pace to fall short of the amount of times he did so last season as a rookie (6). The volume, though may be tough to believe based off his fantasy totals, is still there. Kincaid has seen at least six targets in every game since week four. That keeps him on the TE1 radar, even if he doesn’t always hit the mark, volume alone is good enough for tight ends, so continue to roll with Kincaid unless you happen to have another smash option. The Colts give up the fourth most points to the position, so maybe Kincaid is that smash option you’re looking for this weekend.. (IND) Kylen Granson gets a mention here as the only TE on the Colts to see a target last week, but there’s just no path for him to get into your starting lineup.

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