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January 14, 2025, 12:23 pm
After a chaotic fantasy football season, it’s always hard to put a hard value on players as there are still injuries and player movement to take into account. Here is a list of five players to buy and five to sell before the off-season kicks in.
Five Dynasty Buys
- Browns WR Jerry Jeudy (WR12 in 2024, WR34 on KTC): Jerry Jeudy’s path to a WR1 season was a rocky one. After mostly struggling through his first four years with the Broncos, he got traded to the Browns and extended through at least 2027. And when Deshaun Watson went down in October, Jeudy went nuclear with Jameis Winston throwing the ball all over the yard. He’s a buy because he’s still not 26, and the tea leaves of the offseason QB carousel would suggest that Kevin Stefanski will push for his former protege Kirk Cousins, who is an elite fantasy WR supporter. Jeudy’s currently valued around an early second-round pick on KTC, and that’s an easy move in a draft class that lacks depth at QB and WR.
- 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk (WR100 in 2024, WR30 0n KTC): Aiyuk’s 2024 was off the tracks from the start, as his bizarre contract holdout, which did eventually yield a hefty extension, noticeably impacted his play to open the year. Then he tore his ACL, and that was all she wrote. At the time of his injury, he’d fallen to WR25, and he’s since sunk another five spots. The buy thesis on Aiyuk is clear. He’ll turn 27 this offseason, so he’s still in his prime, and there’s very little chance Deebo Samuel returns. If Aiyuk is ready to go in August, 10 months after the tear, there’s simply no way he’ll fall any lower than that, given his situation is almost guaranteed to improve. He’s a perfect injury-based buy low.
- Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence (QB27 in 2024, QB19 on KTC): Speaking of injury-based buy lows, how about the former No. 1 overall pick who’s almost certainly going to get an offensive guru as his head coach in 2025? The Jaguars organization isn’t exactly the standard for quality decision-making, but they’ll surely invest in helping Lawrence, and he’ll still be 25 when the 2025 season starts. It feels like a rare opportunity to get an early-prime former top prospect at the price of roughly a late first-round pick. If your league has trades open before the NFL playoffs conclude, I’d try to push for Lawrence before the Jaguars hire their next head coach.
- Steelers RB Jaylen Warren (RB40 in 2024, RB39 on KTC): Warren’s 2024 got off to a really bad start, after he came back too early from a preseason injury and missed weeks four and five. Before the Steelers’ Week 9 bye, the Pittsburgh backfield was dominated by impending free agent Najee Harris. But in the eight weeks after the bye, Harris was the RB21 while Warren was the RB22, which was much closer to the way the pair were drafted in the offseason. In five of those eight games, Warren played more than 50% of the backfield snaps. Pittsburgh looks certain to move on from Harris. They’d also likely invest in a rookie RB, but Warren’s almost sure to be a clear favorite for the lead back role for at least the first eight weeks of the season, unless the Steelers draft Jeanty. Warren’s valued around a late second-round pick on KTC.
- Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle (WR49 in 2024, WR26 on KTC): Waddle’s 2024 was complicated, as he struggled to overcome his own injury issues as well as Tua Tagovailoa’s at different points of the season. Waddle will play most of 2025 at age 26 and has a significant contract that ties him to Miami, who will return Tagovailoa and Mike McDaniel’s high-octane offense. Waddle is a buy regardless, but his stock could really skyrocket if Tyreek Hill forces his way out. His value is currently just about a late first-round pick on KTC, and that feels like a better use of resources than drafting the fourth or fifth WR in this upcoming rookie class.
Five Dynasty Sells
- Bengals RB Chase Brown (RB11 in 2024, RB11 on KTC): Brown is probably the riskiest asset of the 2025 offseason. His 2024 sophomore season was phenomenal, but a lot of it was predicated on the true bellcow workload he took on after Zack Moss was lost for the season. Brown played at least 80 percent of snaps in every game after Moss was injured, until he himself went down in Week 17. Brown’s a good player, but he’s being valued as a great player, and his situation is begging for the Bengals to return him to more of a timeshare. This is a very good rookie RB class, and Brown would be more of a steady RB2 if the Bengals drafted a player like Omarion Hampton or Kaleb Johnson or brought in a quality veteran free agemt. If they were to draft Jeanty, Brown’s value would plummet. He’s worth selling for a mid-to-late first.
- Eagles WR DeVonta Smith (WR24 in 2024, WR19 on KTC): Smith just turned 26 and is locked into a WR2 role for the rest of his prime unless something happens to A.J. Brown. Jalen Hurts is a great fantasy QB, but he ranked 20th or 21st in attempts, completions and passing yards this year. Smith himself is obviously a premium WR2, but there just isn’t much upside in this situation that he’s locked into until he’s too old to be considered an elite asset. If you’re holding him, I’d look to sell for a higher upside player ranked around him like Odunze, George Pickens, or even Chris Olave.
- Commanders RB Brian Robinson, Jr. (RB29 in 2024, RB20 on KTC): Brian Robinson’s third season was really good when he was healthy, and the Commanders offense progressed significantly in 2024. But Robinson heads into 2025 in the final year of his rookie contract at 26 years old, and he feels too ordinary for a significant contract extension or excellent free agent landing spot for his final pre-age cliff years. He’s a solid, unspectacular veteran at this point, and the influx of talented rookie RBs could drive his value down significantly, possibly for good. I’d take a 2nd or future 1st for him in a heartbeat, and I’d rather have higher upside similarly ranked players like Zach Charbonnet or Jalen McMillan.
- Lions WR Jameson Williams (WR19 in 2024, WR23 on KTC): It feels like a gamble to sell a key player out of the most-productive fantasy offense. My rationale for this is Williams is a low-volume big-play threat who plays with two absolute stars as well as an elite TE. How much better can he realistically do than WR19? Add that to him having two years with the Lions remaining and multiple off-field issues that have led to suspensions, and I just don’t see a contract extension in the cards. This might not need to be an immediate sell, as Williams’ value like won’t drop unless he gets in trouble off the field again or the Lions draft or sign a very specific few receivers, which seems unlikely. Williams just isn’t a player I believe in long-term despite his obvious talent.
- Packers QB Jordan Love (QB16 in 2024, QB9 on KTC): Love’s value in the dynasty community makes sense, since he’s a 26-year-old franchise QB on long-term contract on a great offense and organization. He checks every possible box from a situation perspective. How about his production, though? Love last had a top-10 fantasy week at the QB position in Week 7. The Packers made it a priority to lean heavily on the run game, buoying Josh Jacobs to a top-five finish at the position. Love is one of a dozen quarterbacks on KTC valued above a 2025 early first-round pick right now, and of the 12, he had the fewest rushing yards in 2024 by more than 100. Maybe a healthier season portends steadier production in 2025, but the only elite weapon Love has is a running back that doesn’t score receiving touchdowns. Love feels like the easiest of that top 12 at QB to part with, at the moment.