Week 8 SNF Fantasy Football Preview : GB vs. PIT

​

  • By Nathan Hernandez

    Last Updated on October 26, 2025 9:39 am by Jon Mosales | Published: October 26, 2025

    SNF – Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

    Point spread: GB -3 | PIT +3

    Moneyline: GB -154 | PIT +130

    Total: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5

    Make sure to get the draft guide for all our positional rankings, game reviews and waiver wire recommendations.

    Get the SportsEthos NFL FantasyPass!

    Overview:

    The Packers are heading into Pittsburgh as three-point road favorites, where QB Aaron Rodgers leads the 4-2 Steelers against his Lambeau successor, Jordan Love, marking the first matchup between the four-time NFL MVP and the team he spent 18 seasons with. Green Bay is sitting at 4-1-1 after pulling off a 4-point comeback win against the Jacoby Brissett-led Arizona Cardinals. The Steelers are coming off their second loss of the season, but that was a 33-31 loss to the Joe Flacco-led Bengals, so Pittsburgh will have a bit of an extended rest advantage over the Packers heading into this game. This game could be a sneaky fun one, with the Packers getting Christian Watson for the first time in 2025 added to an offense with a ton of potential and Rodgers coming off a game where he threw four touchdowns to three different tight ends. Both Teams are among the league-leading ranks in EPA/Play and EPA/Pass, so there’s definitely the potential for fireworks, but both quarterbacks haven’t performed great under pressure. I believe this game could be as simple as whose pass rush makes the biggest impact, or whose offensive line can keep the heat off their quarterback, as both QBs rank bottom-5 in completion rate when pressured. Rodgers might be able to adapt to the challenge better than Love, as he operates with a much faster average time to throw and a much lower QB pressure rate allowed than GB this season.

    Quarterbacks:

    Starting with Jordan Love on the visiting Packers, he might benefit from the potential return of Christian Watson from a 2024 season-ending injury, but will be without Dontayvion Wicks (calf) and rookie Matthew Golden (hip) is questionable after suffering a hip injury sometime in practice this week. The Packers are 3rd in EPA/Pass this season, but Jordan Love is just the fantasy QB16 in FPPG this season. Love has the 13th-highest sack rate among NFL QBs this season, and ranks 27th of 33 qualified QBs in EPA/Dropback when pressured, while Pittsburgh ranks second-best in average time to pressure. What he has going for him, is that the Steelers have generally struggled against the pass, allowing the 11th-highest EPA/Pass to opponents this season, and also the fourth-most fantasy points to QBs on the year. The Steelers have also been torched by tight ends, allowing three top-12 finishes at the position over their last four outings, and the Packers have one of the better pass-catching tight ends in Tucker Kraft. Part of why the Steelers allow a lot of points to opposing QBs, is because they have the fifth-highest Defensive Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) this season. Love is something of a fantasy QB2 with back-end QB1 upside in this game. Manning the offense for the Steelers, Aaron Rodgers has popped for a couple of four-touchdown games to bookend his Steelers tenure, but hasn’t eclipsed 250 passing yards in a game this season. The Packers got a serious dealing from Jacoby Brissett in Week 7, and I believe that Rodgers has the experience and the tools to put together a winning game plan against the Packers and their 13th-ranked pass rush. He connected with his tight ends in a big way with four TEs spread across them in Week 7, while the Packers allow the most receptions per game to opposing tight ends this season. Jaylen Warren looked awesome back as the team’s full-time lead back last week, and also gives a boost to the team in the ground game and pass protection. I think Rodgers is in a similar fantasy profile as Love this week, and while I feel his ceiling might not be as high, and I think he’s more likely to put together a successful offense, so I’d give him the higher floor.

    Running Backs:

    Josh Jacobs played through an illness and a calf injury last week to put up the RB7 overall performance against the Cardinals after falling in for what was ultimately the game winning TD and his second in the game. Part of it has to do with the offensive line getting healthier, but since the Week 5 bye, Jacobs eclipsed the 4.0 YPC mark in both games, but failed to do so once across the first month of the season. The Steelers haven’t been particularly great at defending the ground game this year, and rank 25th in run stop win rate. The Packers unfortunately rank 29th in Run Block Win Rate this year, but it is a unit that’s getting healthier and trending the right direction. Green Bay also ranks 4th in RB fantasy usage this season, so the volume makes Jacobs an auto-start in fantasy football. The Steelers might have a bit of trouble running the ball this game, because they run the ball outside the tackles at the eighth-highest rate in the NFL this season, while the Packers rank second in run stuff rate on outside rush attempts this year, thanks in large part to their addition of Micah Parsons this offseason. Jaylen Warren will likely have to get it done up the middle, and while he has just 35 attempts on inside handoffs this season, he ranks sixth among qualified RBs in EPA on carries between the tackles. He will also have to get involved in the passing game, and though the Packers allow the second-most RB receptions per game this season, they defend it really well and allow the 10th-fewest RB receiving yards per game in 2025. Warren will be more of a mid-RB2 with upside in this upside, relying mostly on volume and maybe a red zone touchdown.

    Wide Receivers: 


    Want to get access to Nathan’s articles? You’ll need to have a SportsEthos NFL FantasyPass membership. Click here to learn more and sign up!  

    October 26, 2025, 9:39 am