July 12, 2022, 11:20 pm
DOUG REID (@Doug_Reid34)
NY Mets at Atlanta, 12:20pm EST
Bassitt Over 5.5 Ks (-125), 1.25 units
This is play on Bassitt’s ability to get strikeouts and the Braves bats striking out a lot. Over Bassit’s last seven starts, he has pitched 43 innings and has 45 K’s. Atlanta is striking out 9.30 times per game which is second worst in MLB, and a league worst 9.46/game at home. So as long as Bassitt can get through five innings he should have a good shot at this prop.
Pittsburgh at Miami, 6:40pm EST
– Pablo Lopez (Mia) Over 5.5 Ks (-130), 1.30 units
Lopez comes in with 98 strikeouts in 99 innings, and has five or ore in 15 of his 17 starts this season and gone over 5.5 Ks in eight starts. The angle here is that Pittsburgh strikes out a lot and are currently third most in Ks/game at 8.91 per game, which increases to 10.16 away from home. I think Lopez can limit the Pirates and pitch into the sixth inning which should allow him to get to this Prop.
Cincinnati at NY Yankees, 7:05pm EST
– Severino (NYY) Over 6.5 Ks (+120), 1 unit
Severino comes in with 94 Ks in 84 innings and while he only had 4 and 3 strikeouts in his last two starts he hit over 6.5 Ks in seven of his previous eight games. He is also facing a Reds lineup that is fifth worst in Ks/game at 8.82. Severino has pitched 6+ innings in seven of his last eight games so if he can get to 6+, he should be able to hit this Prop.
Houston at LA Angels, 9:38pm
– Javier (Hou) Over 7.5 Ks (+115), 1 unit
Javier has struck out 102 in 74.2 innings this year and 46 over his last 5 starts and 30 innings. In his last three games he has K totals of 13/14/7. Also, the Angels tend to strikeout a lot and are last in MLB with an average of 9.69 Ks/game so if Javier can get through six innings he stands to hit this Prop.