EPL 2024-25: Matchweek 7 Recap

Oh, we are so back! It’s been a tough two weeks without European soccer, and most importantly, without the English Premier League. For those of us in the U.S., the NFL provided a decent distraction, and for sports fanatics like myself, the NBA preseason offered some relief. Meanwhile, in Europe—and for some crazies like me on this side of the pond—the UEFA Nations League gave us glimpses of our favorite players during the international break (though mostly we just held our breaths so they didn’t get injured, let’s be real). But rest assured, the Premier League has returned, and I’m here with your Matchweek 7 recap, plus a preview of Matchweek 8 to keep us sharp without missing a beat.

Matchweek 7 brought some interesting results. We hit six out of ten correct outcomes—pretty solid—but I didn’t nail any exact scorelines. Just to clarify, these score predictions are meant to add a bit of fun and excitement to the analysis, rather than just summarize and analyze endlessly. If you’re looking for in-depth predictions and betting advice, my WagerPass work is where I share my serious betting picks. These articles are more for fun, while WagerPass is about making money. Correct score betting is volatile, so I usually avoid that when the stakes are real.

Now, with seven matches in, we’ve got Liverpool leading the pack with 18 points, followed closely by Manchester City and Arsenal with 17 points each. And would you look at that—Chelsea has cracked the top four with 14 points, while Tottenham sits 9th with 10 points. Manchester United is struggling in 14th place with eight points, and my preseason dark horses West Ham United are 12th, with Crystal Palace slipping into 18th, the final relegation spot. The league has been full of surprises, and I couldn’t be more excited for its return—it’s been a long two weeks without it. With that excitement in check (sort of), let’s dive in!

Crystal Palace 0 – 1 Liverpool

Liverpool continued their winning ways, although not without concern. Arne Slot’s rotation-heavy side dominated possession, but Palace’s deep, passive block limited clear-cut chances. Jota’s early goal, assisted by Alexander-Arnold, was the difference-maker, but the Portuguese forward was wasteful on several other occasions. Salah cut a frustrated figure, quiet for much of the match, and was substituted early as Slot continues to manage his minutes. Palace offered little going forward, with Eze’s usual spark missing and Mateta benched. Liverpool’s build-up in a 4-3-3 looked smooth, but their defensive fragility, with no Allison in goal—evidenced by Eze’s two big chances—will be a concern ahead of tougher fixtures against Chelsea and Arsenal. Palace’s lack of ambition, however, made Liverpool’s job relatively easy in the end.

Arsenal 3 – 1 Southampton

Arsenal’s class shone through in a match they gradually took control of. Cameron Archer’s goal just after halftime opened the floodgates, and from then on, it was all Arsenal. Saka was the star once again, creating seven chances—three of which were big opportunities. His directness and creativity were at another level, with Havertz also impressing with six shots inside the box. Southampton, though bright in patches, were undone by defensive mistakes, particularly for the third goal. Dibling provided some spark on the counter, hitting the post, but Arsenal’s dominance meant there was little chance of an upset. Jesus was largely ineffective, and Havertz’s injury before the international break will be a concern, but this was another professional display from Arteta’s men, who continue to quietly gather momentum and close the gap.

Brentford 5 – 3 Wolves

In an end-to-end affair, Brentford capitalized on Wolves’ woeful defending, scoring five goals to take all three points. Mbeumo, although quiet for most of the match, converted a penalty, while Wolves’ inability to deal with crosses and set-pieces was glaring—conceding a shocking 10 headers. Brentford’s attack was clinical, with Damsgaard pulling the strings and Schade missing a golden chance. Wolves, to their credit, showed fight, with Ait Nouri and Cunha both scoring and contributing creatively, but their weak defense left them too much to do. Both teams look vulnerable defensively, but Brentford’s fast starts—scoring in the first two minutes for the fourth match in a row—proved decisive.

Leicester City 1 – 0 AFC Bournemouth

Leicester edged out Bournemouth in a match where the visitors will feel hard done by. Buonanotte’s brilliant individual effort was the difference, but Leicester’s vulnerability at the back was evident, with Bournemouth hitting the post twice and having an Evanilson goal ruled out for offside. Vardy missed a good chance, and Mavididi was anonymous throughout, offering little in attack. Bournemouth, meanwhile, continued to show promise through Semenyo’s dribbling and energy, but their inability to finish cost them dearly. Leicester were fortunate to escape with a clean sheet, and their defensive frailties remain a concern moving forward.

Manchester City 3 – 2 Fulham

Fulham came agonizingly close to pulling off a shock result at the Etihad, outshooting City and creating three big chances, but poor finishing cost them. Adama Traore was a constant threat, exploiting City’s high line with his pace, but his wastefulness in front of goal—missing two one-on-ones—was the story of the match. City, while not at their best, managed to edge the match with Kovacic scoring a brace, yet Haaland was unusually quiet, registering just two shots inside the box. Fulham will take heart from their performance, but the absence of Rodri continues to expose City’s vulnerabilities in midfield and defense. A concerning display for Pep Guardiola’s men, but they held on for all three points.

West Ham United 4 – 1 Ipswich Town

West Ham put on a clinical display against a defensively frail Ipswich Town. The Hammers were relentless in their attacking pressure, with Bowen and Antonio leading the charge. Bowen’s creativity was on full display as he produced three big chances and fired four shots inside the box. Antonio was sharp, influential in three goals and missing two other golden opportunities. Ipswich, shaky throughout, struggled to contain West Ham’s intensity, conceding several headers and big chances from set-pieces. Despite some moments of threat from Delap, Ipswich couldn’t cope with the onslaught. Kudus was also impressive for West Ham, creating several chances and hitting the post. Overall, Ipswich’s poor defensive display allowed West Ham to dominate from start to finish.

Everton 0 – 0 Newcastle United

This match ended in a stalemate, but it was far from uninspiring. Everton’s defensive resilience, highlighted by Pickford’s superb penalty save, earned them their first clean sheet of the season. Newcastle, missing their usual cutting edge in the final third without their strikers, struggled to break down Everton’s defense. The introduction of Anthony Gordon as a false 9 didn’t work as intended, with the forward missing a crucial penalty. Everton, while organized at the back, struggled to create anything substantial going forward. Calvert-Lewin, despite playing well, often found himself isolated. Newcastle dominated possession and had chances but ultimately lacked the precision to convert their opportunities. A well-earned clean sheet for Pickford, who was the hero of the night, but the match exposed both teams’ offensive limitations.

Aston Villa 0 – 0 Manchester United

This goalless encounter between Aston Villa and Manchester United was as uninspiring as it sounds. Both sides played cautiously, with Villa’s energy visibly drained from their midweek clash against Bayern Munich. United parked the bus, relying on a defensive setup that looked surprisingly solid, especially with the Evans-Maguire partnership at the back—a pairing that oddly thrilled the FPL community. Villa lacked their usual rhythm and sharpness, with their best chances falling to Watkins and Rogers, who both managed two shots inside the box but couldn’t break through. Bruno Fernandes hit the post with a free-kick, but his overall performance was lackluster. Rashford posed the biggest threat for United, cutting in dangerously a couple of times, but was denied by Martinez. A clean sheet is a small win for Erik ten Hag, but United’s ongoing struggles in attack remain a major concern. Villa’s defensive injuries will also be a worry moving forward.

Chelsea 1 – 1 Nottingham Forest

Chelsea’s attacking vigor was on display, but once again, they were held back by inefficiency in front of goal. Cole Palmer was at the heart of everything good for the Blues, creating six chances and taking four shots inside the box. Despite his best efforts, Chelsea couldn’t break through against a resolute Forest side playing with a low block. The hosts failed to capitalize even after Forest were reduced to 10 men, with goalkeeper Sels producing a string of fine saves to deny Palmer and Madueke. Forest, while limited in attack, found joy on the counter, with Wood clinically finishing one of their rare chances. Ultimately, Chelsea’s youthfulness and inconsistency were evident, while Forest’s well-organized defense frustrated the hosts, resulting in a point that will feel like a missed opportunity for Enzo Maresca’s side.

Brighton 3 – 2 Tottenham

In a thrilling match of two halves, Brighton pulled off a stunning comeback after being two goals down to Tottenham. Spurs started brightly, with James Maddison disallowing an early goal but making amends shortly after, thanks to a Verbruggen error. Tottenham’s front line exploited Brighton’s high line early, but Brighton’s introduction of Pervis Estupiñán at halftime changed the match. Mitoma was instrumental, creating two big chances and causing constant headaches for Spurs’ defense. Spurs, passive and lacking defensive structure in the second half, allowed Brighton to turn the tide with Danny Welbeck converting one of his three chances. Brighton’s Rutter impressed again, and Minteh’s strike—courtesy of an Udogie error—sealed the comeback. Defensive frailties were glaring on both sides, but Brighton’s resilience shone through in the end. Tottenham, on the other hand, will be left wondering how they let a commanding lead slip so easily.

EPL 2024-25: Matchweek 8 Preview

Saturday, October 19th

Tottenham vs. West Ham United – 7:30 AM EST

Tottenham come into this match as clear favorites, especially with their strong home form. West Ham have been struggling away from home, showing inconsistency despite a decent squad. Tottenham’s ability to create chances will be crucial, with players like Son and Johnson being pivotal to breaking down West Ham’s defense. West Ham, though dangerous on the counter, may not have enough to handle Spurs’ press, and their poor away form further supports this. West Ham came back to life last week with a home win against a poor Ipswich side, while Tottenham collapsed after their 2-0 lead. I expect a tight match where both teams’ desire to get back on track will lead to goals, but Tottenham should edge out the victory.

Prediction: Tottenham 2-1 West Ham

Fulham vs. Aston Villa – 10:00 AM EST

This matchup screams balance, with both teams showing strong attacking intent but also vulnerability at the back. Villa have been solid away, while Fulham’s home performances have been impressive, scoring in every match except against Manchester City. Fulham will rely on their disciplined forward line to break down Villa’s injured defense, but Villa’s pace on the break and physicality could cause problems. This match feels like one where neither side will dominate, with both teams likely sharing the points after a gritty affair.

Prediction: Fulham 1-1 Aston Villa

Ipswich Town vs. Everton – 10:00 AM EST

Ipswich have been proving themselves as a tough team to beat at home, with notable performances against strong sides. Everton, although rejuvenated by a respectable draw against Newcastle, have shown a lack of attacking sharpness, especially away from home. Ipswich’s organized defense and their ability to frustrate opponents and grind out draws at home could make the difference here. Everton may struggle to break through, and Ipswich’s home advantage should see them scrape through. I’m leaning towards a draw.

Prediction: Ipswich Town 1-1 Everton

Manchester United vs. Brentford – 10:00 AM EST

Brentford have been one of the more unpredictable teams this season, consistently finding the net against strong opposition and doing so early in the matches. Manchester United, despite their reputation, are still looking for fluidity in attack. United will lean heavily on their star players to make the difference, but Brentford’s structured approach and ability to score in most matches should cause concern. Ultimately, United’s quality and desire to turn things around sooner rather than later at Old Trafford will likely see them through, but don’t be surprised if Brentford make this a tricky match.

Prediction: Manchester United 2-1 Brentford

Newcastle United vs. Brighton & Hove Albion – 10:00 AM EST

Newcastle, fresh off a disappointing draw against Everton, will be eager to bounce back in this clash with Brighton. Brighton, riding high after their thrilling win against Tottenham, will look to continue their aggressive, attacking play. However, Newcastle’s defensive resilience and strong home form at St. James’ Park give them the edge in what could be a feisty encounter. Brighton will have their moments, but Newcastle’s overall solidity at the back should keep the Seagulls from scoring.

Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Brighton

Southampton vs. Leicester City – 10:00 AM EST

Southampton have been dire at home this season, but facing a Leicester side equally out of form, this match could finally see them capitalize. Leicester have shown sparks of promise but lack consistency, especially on the road. Southampton, battling to avoid relegation, will be desperate for a result in front of their home fans. Both teams will have chances, but Southampton’s urgency may be the deciding factor as they look to climb out of the bottom three.

Prediction: Southampton 2-1 Leicester

AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal – 12:30 PM EST

Arsenal head into this match as heavy favorites, despite traveling to a resilient Bournemouth side. With Bournemouth’s struggles to find goals, Arsenal’s well-organized defense will likely be tough to break down. However, Arsenal are dealing with a shorthanded squad and may be forced to rotate deeper than they’d prefer, especially with Champions League fixtures looming. While Arsenal have the depth to handle this match, it may not be as high-scoring as fans would like. I’m still backing them to edge out Bournemouth, but be ready for surprises.

Prediction: AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Arsenal

Sunday, October 20th

Wolves vs. Manchester City – 9:00 AM EST

Despite Wolves pulling off a shock result the last time they faced Manchester City, it’s hard to see history repeating itself. Even without key players, City’s system and squad depth remain formidable. Wolves will rely on a low block and counter-attacking opportunities, but City’s relentless attacking pressure, combined with their ability to control possession, should lead to a comfortable victory. I expect Wolves to struggle to contain City’s firepower for 90 minutes.

Prediction: Wolves 1-3 Manchester City

Liverpool vs. Chelsea – 11:30 AM EST

This matchup could go either way, with Liverpool being the stronger side on paper, but Chelsea having enough quality to spring a surprise. Liverpool’s attack will need to be at its best to break down a Chelsea defense that has been vulnerable this season. Both sides are prone to moments of brilliance and disaster, although we have seen it less from Liverpool this season in comparison, making this a difficult match to predict. Liverpool’s form at Anfield, coupled with Chelsea’s inconsistencies, gives them the upper hand in what should be a closely contested and exciting affair.

Prediction: Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea

Monday, October 21

Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace – 3:00 PM EST

Nottingham Forest have been solid at home, and Crystal Palace, with their frustratingly inconsistent form, face an uphill battle. Palace have been difficult to predict, often failing to perform in matches where they were expected to deliver, especially in my predictions. Forest’s strong defensive organization and ability to nick goals at home should see them edge out a Palace side that has struggled for consistency this season, though if Palace suddenly were to get back on form in this match, it wouldn’t surprise me either.

Prediction: Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace