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The Official "Ask Dan Besbris Anything" Thread

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(@kjay84gmail-com)
Posts: 475
Honorable Member
 

I had an offer in my collins for his Henson this morning which i promptly cancelled mid game to reassess. The guy is obviously keen to go ahead.

Im leaning Henson because hensons line today isnt out of the ordinary. He did what is expected on any given night. However collins was on maximum upside mode tonight.

I see ROS outlook for them as 10/10ish for both, it just comes down to 80%FT and 1 block vs 60%FT and 2 blocks.

My willingness to wear that 60% comes down to FTA, which sits at an avg of 3-4 attempts per game since monroe left.
Up from historic averages of about 2pg. Enough to hurt, but not catastrophic in a team shooting combined avg of ~30 attempts a game at 81%.

Do you see any reason his FTA should increase much further?

 
Posted : 20/11/2017 10:13 pm
(@kjay84gmail-com)
Posts: 475
Honorable Member
 

Edit:

Rechecked the maths.... henson going 4pg@50% drops that FT number to 77% (3rd last down from 2nd). Maths talks, Collins it is.

Unless henson somehow keeps his avg FTA around 2 (his long term average) whilst doubling playing time its Collins.

 
Posted : 20/11/2017 10:21 pm
(@dbesbris)
Posts: 9458
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Topic starter
 

@keiran - Hack-a-henson played a role in his numbers being so bad the other night.

These guys are pretty close for me, so make the call based on stat needs.

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 6:38 am
Tama Carr
(@tamacarr)
Posts: 195
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@Dan Besbris Jokic and Dinwiddie or KD?

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 8:38 am
(@martinezpich)
Posts: 48
Member Customer
 

9 Cat, 14 teams in a points league

Harris or nurkic

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 8:39 am
(@dbesbris)
Posts: 9458
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Topic starter
 

@Tama - Jokic and Din but just by a tiny hair.

@Sergio - Harris. Nurk is a mess right now.

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 8:47 am
(@jmarques1337)
Posts: 6
Member Customer
 

Hey Dan

10 team H2H 10 cat keeper league

Cousins/Tobias Harris/ Eric Gordon or John Wall/KAT/ Lonzo Ball

thanks!

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 10:45 am
(@dbesbris)
Posts: 9458
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Topic starter
 

@Marques - Keep your guys (Wall/KAT/Lonzo sucks now but could be a good keeper). Davis is tougher these days and gets a bad rap (which, to be fair, he DID earn). Lately he’s been playing through injuries a LOT more and might even end this year playing MORE games then Boogie. Cousins is due to drop off a bit, too, as the season wears on his bigger body.

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 10:57 am
(@jmarques1337)
Posts: 6
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Thanks Dan!!

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 10:59 am
(@auronx62)
Posts: 145
Reputable Member
 

Hiya Dan!
I'm in an 11 man 9 Cat roto. I'm currently dead last in points and reb, but also have a decent amount of less games played than the other manager (5-15 games less). With that being said there are a handful of intriguing options on the wire. Which one of these guys should I go for? Nance jr, Aminu, George hill, or everybody's favorite WCS (will require to place waiver for him, 2nd priority)? I gather none of these guys can boost my points total by that much, but i'm also hoping that some of my guys can do better sooner rather than later (I'm talking to you, Myles) From that pool I can probably afford to drop 1 player, Wilson Chandler...unless you think otherwise. As always, Thanks Dan!

Here is my current team:
Victor Oladipo Ind - PG,SG
C.J. McCollum Por - PG,SG
Spencer Dinwiddie Bkn - PG
Joe Ingles Uta - SG,SF
James Johnson Mia - SF,PF
Myles Turner Ind - PF,C
Karl-Anthony Towns Min - C
Paul Millsap Den - PF,C
Jrue Holiday NO - PG,SG
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson Bkn - SF,PF
Wilson Chandler Den - SG,SF,PF
Lonzo Ball LAL - PG
Marquese Chriss Pho - PF,C

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 12:32 pm
(@dbesbris)
Posts: 9458
Member Customer
Topic starter
 

@auron - Well, if it's just points and boarsd you need, Larry Nance focuses pretty hard on those. WCS had 2 good games and then 1 bad one, which once again puts a spotlight on the terrible Kings dysfunction.

I think George Hill is the best of the bunchfor overall numbers, but for your purposes Nance would fit better.

Final thoughts: with a wire that stacked, you should just let your guys go for a bit longer, unless you wanted to bail on Wilson Chandler or Chriss, but I usually advise sitting tight when a bunch of guys have similar ROS projections.

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 12:40 pm
(@auronx62)
Posts: 145
Reputable Member
 

I try not to have too much of a trigger finger...but I picked up Chandler as a pseudo ins policy for Millsap (hoping they would go small more). But of course he was out with a back injury. I'm more willing to cut bait on Chandler... I dont know how much I have left for Chriss though. On a side note, what would be a fair offer for John Collins, I tried to entice a manager who is looking for blocks and steals Chriss for Collins. Didn't work out =P. Maybe I could 2 for 1 him Chandler and chriss for Collins haha.

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 12:57 pm
(@sspartacus)
Posts: 25
Eminent Member
 

Hi Dan and team! thanks for the "Jermaine" shout out this morning hahaha! listen to your pod everyday!

In the near future will you be creating a column for overs/unders and lines? Saying that, is it possible if you could assist with my player performance questions for this evening game. any of these lines stand out to you?

Points
Lauri Markkanen Over (15.5) possible
Justin Holiday Over (15.5)
Bobby Portis under (14.5)
Kris Dunn Over (12.5)
Robin Lopez Over (11.5)
Kyle Kuzma Over (16.5)
Brook Lopez Over (16.5)
Jordan Clarkson Over (15.5)
Lonzo Ball under (9.5)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over (12.5) i like this one
Julius Randle Over (12.5)
Brandon Ingram Over (14.5)

Rebounds
Lauri Markkanen Over (8.5)
Bobby Portis Over (7.5)
Robin Lopez Over (5.5)
Kyle Kuzma Over (6.5)
Brook Lopez Over (4.5)
Brandon Ingram Over (5.5)
Julius Randle Over (7.5)
Lonzo Ball Over (7.5)

Assist
Lonzo Ball Over (7.5)
Kris Dunn Over (4.5)

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 1:03 pm
(@auronx62)
Posts: 145
Reputable Member
 

Fudge me. millsap out indef. Faried??

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 2:11 pm
(@toconnell14)
Posts: 27
Member Customer
 

Someone dropped D. Russell in my 10 team 9Cat. Drop JaM Green for him? 3-2 right now.

 
Posted : 21/11/2017 2:20 pm
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