Ravens 27 Buccaneers 22 (Ravens(-2) Over 45.5)

Pregame: Both the Ravens and Buccaneers come into this game needing this win, as the Ravens are 4-3 and the Buccaneers are 3-4. Both teams should have better records, but they’ve collapsed in key situations multiple times. This game will come down to the Buccaneers’ ability to contain Lamar Jackson and make him throw from the pocket. Another huge storyline will be the Ravens’ ability to pressure Tom Brady and make him uncomfortable.

Postgame: The Ravens were able to pressure Tom Brady all night. He was uncomfortable passing from the pocket, and he couldn’t rely on Leonard Fournette and the run game. Brady was forced to improvise, which is no longer his strength at this point in his career. The Buccaneers offensive line appears to not be at full capacity at this point, which puts Brady in uncomfortable positions that force him to play off-script. Their season will depend on the health of their offensive line, and Brady’s surrounding cast.

Ravens

QB

Pregame: Lamar Jackson:  Jackson has slowed down since the start of the season. The past four weeks have seen him have his four worst passer ratings of the year. Although he’s slowed down in the passing game, his rushing presence is still felt. He’s rushed for 58 or more yards in each of those four games, which seems like his floor. So far, Tampa Bay has allowed the 14th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but they haven’t faced someone with the rushing ability of Lamar. Lamar is too good to continue this cold streak, and even if he does, his rushing floor gives him top 5 upside every week. Jackson is a must-start this week. 

Postgame: Lamar had a solid game with 238 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and 43 rushing yards. His rushing production was non-existent during the first half, but he was able to bounce back in the second half. This was Lamar’s best game since Week 3, as he finally looks like he’s returning to form. Lamar remains a top-3 fantasy option at quarterback moving forward, and you shouldn’t think twice about starting him.

RB

Pregame: With JK Dobbins out with injury, the Ravens’ backfield is a mess. Two weeks ago, Kenyan Drake exploded with his best game of the year, yet he only had 0.5 fantasy points last week. While Drake struggled, Gus Edwards picked up the slack with 18.6 fantasy points. Justice Hill has also been given touches, making this backfield borderline untouchable in fantasy. If you have to start one, it would be Edwards, but it would be smart for fantasy owners to avoid this backfield until we see consistent production from one of these backs.

Postgame: Gus Edwards was the primary ball carrier with 11 rushes for 65 yards. He didn’t catch a pass, but he looked very explosive in the running game. This would be encouraging, but Kenyan Drake rushed 7 times for 62 yards. He averaged an efficient 8.9 yards per carry and added four catches for five yards. If the Ravens’ backfield is going to continue to be this divided, you can’t have any confidence starting any of them, especially when Lamar takes so much of the rushing production.

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WR

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