Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 6:50pm EST

Baltimore sends their ace, right handed Corbin Burns to the mound and Tampa Bay counters with young righty Ryan Pepiot. This handicap is simply the case of the better starting pitcher, stronger bullpen, and deeper lineup for the Orioles. Against right handed pitching this season Baltimore is tied for fifth in wRC+ at 114, while Tampa Bay is twenty-fourth at 91. I pivoted to the Baltimore run line as they’re on the road and guaranteed the full nine at bats. Currently they are getting 86% of the bets and 93% of the money on the run line.