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March 3, 2022, 12:05 pm
Today’s DFS Delivery brought to you by Panos Angelidakis (@PKerkidas on Twitter)
Welcome to today’s DFS Delivery article.
We are coming down the final stretch for the regular season and the games – most of them at least – have an extra intensity and meaning, something that I always enjoy and from a DFS point of view makes life easier because we are seeing tighter rotations and fewer surprises.
Tonight, we have 7 games on the slate and 6 of them have a very tight spread (sorry Pistons, you are the 7th game), and I do love close games for DFS purposes.
Player Tiers
Expensive Tier
Dejounte Murray ($10,600) – Murray is facing a Kings team that will be playing its third game in four nights and combining that with their awful defense sets up very well for him. Sacramento already comes in allowing the 10th-highest offensive efficiency to PGs (26.3 percent), along with over 47 fantasy points per game to the position. Murray is a play against any opponent but his matchup tonight makes him as close to a lock as possible.
Jayson Tatum ($10,000) – Tatum has a 35.4 percent usage rate without Brown on the floor and also averages 50 DK points per 36 minutes. He was already playing very well lately, averaging 28.7 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 4.9 assists across his last seven games and the increase in his workload would only benefit him. Memphis is an excellent team and won’t be an easy matchup for him but I just cannot ignore the fact that he is gonna have the ball in his hands for a ton of time and this game is projected to go down to the wire, which would mean huge minutes for him also.
Mid-Tier
Al Horford (6,100) – Horford has burned me so many times this season, so I really get scared whenever I am rostering him, but tonight he looks to be in an excellent spot. He is second in the team with 1.03 fantasy points per minute in the games without Brown on the floor and gets a huge bump in usage, rebounding rate, and assist rate also. He is also playing better lately, and if he gets the minutes, I believe that we will get a very good return out of him.
Danilo Gallinari ($5,100) – Gallinari is starting at power forward with Collins out, and since Collins is again listed as doubtful, I expect that to be the same for tonight. He is averaging 15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 1.2 assists in those games and is going up against the Bulls, a team that is allowing the fourth-highest offensive efficiency to the position (28.1%), along with over 46 fantasy points per game to the position.
Value
Donte DiVincenzo ($4,200) – The game between the Spurs and the Kings should provide a lot of fantasy points and a way to get exposure to that, on the low end, is taking a chance on a guy like DiVincenzo. He’s had at least 27.3 fantasy points in his last 2 outings and although his shooting is inconsistent, he can provide in a lot of categories, especially in rebounds and steals. That is what I am banking on tonight, given the fact that the game is going to be played at a high pace, with a lot of rebounding and stealing opportunities to go around.
Malachi Flynn ($4,200) – VanVleet might be back tonight, so this is a risky pick, but if he does not play again, I expect Flynn to draw the start again. If he does, he looks to be an excellent value, especially in a matchup against the Pistons, a team that is at or close to the bottom of every defensive category. In his two starts, he is averaging 35.5 fantasy points and I expect a similar outcome tonight.
Honorable Mentions: Luka Doncic ($12,200), Domantas Sabonis ($9,700), Pascal Siakam ($9,200), Reggie Jackson ($7,900), Robert Williams ($6,900), Brandon Clarke ($4,300)