• Last Updated on May 15, 2025 by goncaloteiga33

    It’s Thursday and we’ve got the amazing OKC (-4.5) @ Nuggets game six showdown! The O/U is set at 216.5 points and there are some interesting team stats that we should comb through before getting into our plays. In the 2nd round of the Playoffs, Denver is allowing the most fastbreak points out of every team, have the worst assist to turnover ratio and have the best rebounding %. On the other hand, OKC is allowing the worst ts% and efg% while allowing the 2nd least points in the paint! Even with this, Nikola Jokic can’t be stopped, as he put up 20+ shots in each of the last three games on his way to three 54+ fpts performances. There’s a lot more to get to, so let’s get started!

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    Tonight’s Prop

    Tonight’s Draft Kings Games Picks

    Nuggets +4.5

    DFS Pillar Plays

    Nikola Jokic

    Position: C

    Salary: $20,700 / $13,800

    While it’s true that both Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will have to be great today, OKC’s 10-man rotation is considerably deeper than Denver’s eight, leading to the Joker playing 131 minutes to SGA’s 122 in the last three games. And in those games, Jokic also outshot SGA from the field, with 77 fga from Jokic to 64 from SGA, with the same amount of fta, 23 total. More minutes and more shots should equate to more value coming from the Denver star and SGA posted his two worst games fantasy points wise in Denver, culminating in another point in favour for the Joker. And remember the statistical analysis that pointed toward Jokic never having a playoff run shooting below 50% from the field and 80% from the line in a previous article? Well, he shot 68% on 25 shots in the previous game and made every single one of his free-throws. In a must win game six in Denver, Jokic’s brilliance could top everything else yet again.

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