DFS Delivery for Sunday, June 22

  • By goncaloteiga33

    Last Updated on June 22, 2025 6:38 am by goncaloteiga33 | Published: June 22, 2025

    The final stage is set – Paycom Center will host the first game seven of the NBA Finals since the epic 2016 season. The up-and-coming Indiana Pacers and OKC Thunder will be etched in history indepedently of today’s result, and we’re here to analyze it! Looking at some key stats from the six previous Finals games, the Pacers major weaknesses continue to be their interior defense, as they’re allowing 44.7 points in the paint per game to OKC while also being extremely foul-prone, with OKC taking 30.5 free-throws per game. On the other hand, Indiana is shooting lights out from deep, averaging 36.4% on 35.7 attempts, eight more than OKC. Besides being more efficient, they’re also averaging more 6.5 assists per game than OKC, and the rebounding battle, that has been a key to winning throughout the series, is virtually tied. Interestingly, OKC is shooting the same amount of threes as Indiana if we look through the lens of home playoff games, and at a better clip – 37.5%! Will the homecourt advantage translate into a better shooting output? Or will Indiana continue the dominance on both sides of the court that we saw in game six? Let’s get straight to it!

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    Tonight’s Prop

    Tonight’s Draft Kings Games Picks

    Pacers +7.5

    DFS Pillar Plays

    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

    Position: PG

    Salary: $21,600 / $14,400

    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s price-tag is sky-high and it seems like an easy decision to put him as the headline of the article. But when we further analyze his stat-set, there’s still value to be uncovered. Firstly, when we analyze the one-and-only game seven that OKC has been in this run, Shai put up 54.25 fpts on 63% from the field and zero turnovers. And looking at only the Pacers series, Shai has had by far his best games at home, with 60.5, 61.75 and 55.25 fpts. As a matter of fact, SGA is scoring four more points, dishing an extra 1.4 assists, doubling his steal tally, turning the ball over less 1.5 times and improving his shooting splits by +3.9/+6.5%/+4.6% (fg%/3pt%/ft%) when comparing home games to road games in the 2025 playoffs. Moreover, Shai has never scored less than 10 points in the paint in any game this series, and has scored 20 points off turnovers in this series at home and only eight on the road. Meanwhile, Indiana’s story is the exact opposite, with the Pacers having 46 points off turnovers in their three home games and only 20 on the road. The meaning of this? The home team has won the points off turnovers battle in this series, and SGA has benefited from that tremendously at home. And we’re not done highlighting Shai’s excess value for today, as he took 34 fta at home and… you guessed it, 10 less when playing in Indiana. SGA is the favourite to win the Finals MVP for a reason, and his improvement on playoff home games is noticeable!

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    June 22, 2025, 6:38 am

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