• Time for a Cinco de Mayo edition of LaMagna’s Locks. Tonight’s slate features Cavs/Raptors followed by Spurs/Rockets, two games that should be exciting and competitive. Tony Parker‘s injury on Wednesday night shook up many NBA fans, and it also shook up the Spurs rotation moving forward. My plays for tonight are both Spurs, so hopefully San Antonio can put up some points in Houston in Parker’s absence.

     

    Cash Game Play

    Patty Mills ($4,400)

    Mills is a no-brainer tonight. Go ahead and just plug him in. Tony Parker’s injury frees up 25+ minutes in the San Antonio backcourt, and I would be shocked if Coach Pop does not roll Mills out there for 30+ minutes. Patty can shoot the three and works well on the floor with the starting unit, so he is the logical choice to start against the high-powered Rockets offense.

    For some of the year, Popovich started Dejounte Murray ahead of Patty whenever Parker was injured. While I do not expect Murray to start tonight, even if he does, Mills usage should increase from playing fewer minutes with Kawhi and Aldridge and would therefore remain a strong play. If he starts, his usage may only be about 15%, but he’ll produce plenty to justify his price. Kawhi will control the ball for many possessions, but he will look for Mills on the perimeter once he draws a help defender.

    Patty is a solid three-point shooter and will capitalize on the open looks. Furthermore, the Rockets play extremely quickly, and Mills should grab a couple of steals in 30+ minutes. Patty has not showcased his top basketball this postseason, but tonight should be a different story under favorable conditions. His price tag is way too low, and you have to play him.

     

    Tournament Play

    LaMarcus Aldridge ($6,200)

    Again, there is not a lot of thought that needs to be put into this play. LaMarcus Aldridge has been visibly battling some soreness in his knee, but that will not prevent him from putting up a monster DraftKings performance tonight. In Game 1, Aldridge was a disaster. He improved in Game 2 but still has not been vintage LaMarcus. If the Spurs are going to win tonight, it’ll require a vintage LaMarcus game like he had against OKC last postseason.

    It’s hard to predict a vintage game, but even an average game from LaMarcus will be sufficient from a DFS perspective. His minutes in this series have been low solely due to the games being blowouts. In Round 1 against Memphis, Aldridge played almost 42 minutes in a couple closely contested games. In 30 minutes last game, he had 28.5 DraftKings points on 6-14 shooting with a similar usage and rebound rate to what can be expected tonight.

    An average shooting performance last game with an uptick in minutes could have easily produced 35+ DraftKings points. And a strong shooting performance last game with an uptick in minutes could have easily produced 40+ DraftKings points. LaMarcus is the clear second option in the Spurs offense, and if the shots are falling, they’ll look to feed him often. Especially with Parker out, the Spurs may need Aldridge to generate offense from the post. I am comfortable with LA in cash and tournaments, and he’ll probably be my largest tournament position.

     

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